https://academic.oup.com/oocc/advance-article/doi/10.1093/oxfclm/kgaf009/8042357?searchresult=1

*Authors*
Jeffrey Nielsen

https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfclm/kgaf009

Published: *25 February 2025*

*Abstract*
This research examines stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) policy options
through a dyadic international relations framework between the United
States and People’s Republic of China (China). Deploying large-scale SAI to
manage solar radiation presents states with a novel source of geopolitical
influence through influencing global climate systems. While multiple
political bodies like the United Nations, European Union, United States,
China, and India could feasibly deploy SAI without full global consent, the
United States and China are powerful enough to deploy large-scale SAI
unilaterally. The United States and China currently perceive themselves as
locked in “great power competition” with each other which exposes a mutual
SAI national security gap and accompanying policy dilemma. Given their
divergent global power strategies but mutual global climate interests, this
research assesses how the United States and China could compete or
cooperate on SAI strategies. This research’s dyadic analysis of four policy
scenarios provides three conclusions. First, the United States and China
could each benefit from SAI cooperation whether they are cooperating to
deter or deploy SAI. Second, SAI cooperation presents a potential political
off-ramp from great power competition that aligns with each state’s mutual
climate security interests. Third, expanding SAI research and conventional
mitigation could support near-term United States and China policymaking
regardless of whether they ultimately pursue SAI deployment or deterrence
strategies. SAI advocates and critics alike can use these scenarios and
conclusions to better discuss SAI as a geopolitical security dilemma.

*Source: Oxford Open Climate Change*

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