https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2024EF005567

*Authors*
Alistair Duffey, Matthew Henry, Wake Smith, Michel Tsamados, Peter J. Irvine

First published: *28 April 2025*

https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005567

Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) is a proposed method of climate
intervention in which aerosols or their precursors would be injected into
the stratosphere to reduce or halt global warming. It is often assumed that
to produce a substantial global cooling, SAI would require a fleet of
specially designed high-altitude aircraft. However, in the extra-tropics,
where the tropopause is lower, injection into the stratosphere using
existing large jets is plausible. Here, we simulate an ensemble of 41 short
stratospheric aerosol injection simulations in the UK Earth System Model in
which we vary the altitude, latitude, and season of SO2 injection. For each
simulation, we diagnose aerosol optical depth and radiative forcing and
estimate the global cooling under a sustained deployment. For altitudes up
to around 14 km, high-latitude injection maximizes global forcing
efficiency. Aerosol lifetime variation is the largest contributor to
changes in efficiency with injection location. Seasonal SAI deployment with
low-altitude (13 km) and high-latitude (60°N/S) injection achieves 35% of
the forcing efficiency of a high-altitude (20 km), annually constant,
sub-tropical (30°N/S) strategy. Low-altitude high-latitude SAI would have
strongly reduced efficiency and therefore increased side-effects for a
given global cooling. It would also produce a more polar cooling
distribution, with reduced efficacy in the tropics. However, it would face
lower technical barriers because existing large jets could be used for
deployment. This could imply an increase in the number of actors able to
deploy SAI, an earlier potential start date, and perhaps a greater risk of
unilateral deployment.

*Key Points*
Seasonal SAI with low-altitude high-latitude injection achieves 35% of the
forcing efficiency of a high-altitude subtropical strategy

If injection altitude is limited to below 14 km, then high-latitude
injection maximizes efficiency for annually constant injections

Low-altitude high-latitude SAI with large existing jets is feasible, but
with strong disadvantages relative to a high-altitude strategy

*Plain Language Summary*
Stratospheric aerosol injection is a proposed method of cooling the planet
and reducing the impacts of climate change by adding a layer of small
particles to the high atmosphere, where they would reflect a fraction of
incoming sunlight. While it is likely that SAI could reduce global
temperature, it has many serious risks and would not perfectly offset
climate change. Most SAI deployment scenarios envisage releasing material
20 or more kilometres above the ground, altitudes well above the limit of
large commercial aircraft. These deployments would require the development
of novel, specially designed, aircraft. Here, we use new climate model
simulations to assess how effective SAI could be if the altitude of release
was lower, including at altitudes within the reach of existing large jets.
These lower altitude strategies must also inject at more polar latitudes,
since the stratosphere is lower in the polar regions. Our results suggest
SAI could meaningfully cool the planet even if using only existing jets, if
injection is in the high latitudes during spring and summer. However, this
low-altitude strategy requires three times more injection than
high-altitude SAI, and so would strongly increase side-effects such as acid
rain.

*Source: AGU*

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