https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-025-04026-y

*Authors*: Amanda Sie, Steven R. Brechin & Christopher P. Borick

*23 October 2025*

*Abstract*
Geoengineering (GE) represents technologies designed to address climate
change, either through carbon dioxide removal or solar radiation
management. Researchers and stakeholders worry GE technologies will
distract the public’s and policymakers' attention away from supporting more
proven climate mitigation strategies, creating a “mitigation deterrence”
effect. Missing from the discussion is investigating who is more likely to
support GE over all other climate actions in general. “GE prioritization”
turns our attention to those who are supportive of focusing efforts on GE
instead of mitigation and other climate actions. This group is understudied
but potentially as concerning as mitigation deterrence in future contexts
of climate policymaking. We use a unique dataset to explore the US public’s
preferences for four GE technologies, and whether these preferences predict
GE prioritization. We also explore social factors including political,
environmental, and climate beliefs, and confidence in scientists to conduct
GE. We use data from the Summer 2020 wave of the National Surveys on Energy
and Environment, a nationally representative survey in the US, and employ
multinominal logistic regressions to examine the factors that predict GE
prioritization. We find that three GE technologies, ocean fertilization,
ambient air capture, and space mirrors positively predicted GE
prioritization, as does higher confidence in scientists, conservative
political beliefs, and being non-White. We argue that individuals who
prioritize GE may provide justification for mitigation deterrence at the
policy level in the future, and that further research is needed to create a
more complete model to understand why individuals prioritize GE.

*Source: Springer Nature Link *

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