https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2752-5295/ae15b6
‎
‎*Authors: *Hounsou-Gbo, A. Nathanael Dossa, Maiella Toupe, Marcel Kouakou,
Arnaud Kouekam, Toussaint Mitchodigni, Zacharie Sohou, Alan Robock, Ben
Kravitz

DOI 10.1088/2752-5295/ae15b6

*21 October 2025*

*Abstract*
Sea level rise is a global concern in the era of climate change, prompting
the exploration of interventions such as solar radiation modification
through stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI). This intervention could
affect the physical system in various ways. The present study analyzes the
global and regional impacts of SAI using ARISE-SAI-1.5 (SAI-1.5)
simulations with the Community Earth System Model 2. We calculated the
regional thermosteric sea level under different scenarios. After validating
our methodology for sea level components over the period 1995-2014, we
determined changes in sea level variables under both SAI-1.5 and the
underlying Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2–4.5 (SSP2-4.5) relative to the
reference period (1995-2014). In contrast to sea surface temperature, which
under this SAI strategy should be maintained near 1.5°C above preindustrial
values, global sea level rise would continue increasing under SAI-1.5.
However, SAI would significantly impact thermal expansion in SSP2-4.5
simulations, reducing the global long-term sea level trend from 3.7± 0.03
mm/year for SSP2-4.5 to 1.9± 0.04 mm/year for SAI-1.5, a 49% reduction. The
associated ocean heat content (OHC) is reduced from (2.0 ±0.3)×10²² J/year
under SSP2-4.5 to (1.17 ±0.30)×10²² J/year under SAI, a 42% reduction.
Additionally, SAI would impact the Atlantic Ocean in the Gulf Stream region
by reducing the sea level rise rate. These findings underscore the
potential of SAI as a climate intervention strategy with significant
implications for sea level change.

*Source: IOP Science *

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