https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-025-07882-7

*Authors: *Zeqian Feng, Mou Leong Tan, Mohd Amirul Mahamud, Shiyuan Cheng &
Chenglei Hou

*29 October 2025*

*Abstract*
Solar Radiation Modification (SRM) has been proposed as a potential
strategy to mitigate climate extremes and hydrological disasters, but its
effects on Central China remain unclear. This study assesses the impacts of
SRM on precipitation patterns and extremes in Central China using
simulations from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6
(GeoMIP6). Two SRM scenarios (G6solar and G6sulfur) were employed alongside
baseline socio-economic scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585) for the late
twenty-first century (2080–2099), with the historical period (1995–2014)
serving as a reference. The China High-Resolution Land Temperature and
Precipitation Dataset (HRLT), a high-resolution observational dataset, was
used for downscaling and bias correct the GeoMIP6 models via bilinear
interpolation and linear scaling methods. Eight precipitation indices were
analyzed to evaluate changes in total precipitation, intensity, and extreme
weather events under different scenarios. Results show that SSP585 leads to
substantial increases in total precipitation, daily intensity, and
precipitation extremes, particularly in northern and southern regions,
while SSP245 exhibits more moderate and less intense changes. SRM scenarios
effectively offset the more intense precipitation increases seen under
SSP585, aligning patterns more closely with SSP245, with G6sulfur showing
greater and more spatially uniform suppression than G6solar. However,
significant spatial heterogeneity in SRM impacts persists, with contrasting
trends in different regions and precipitation indices. G6solar shows
stronger reductions in wet periods in southern regions like Jiangxi and
Hunan, where monsoonal rainfall dominates, while G6sulfur leads to
increased precipitation in northern areas such as Shanxi and Henan, driven
by sulfate aerosol-induced atmospheric circulation changes.

*Source:Springer Nature Link*

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