----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Alastair" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Newsgroups: gmane.science.general.global-change
Sent: Friday, August 04, 2006 6:57 PM
>
> Coby Beck wrote:
>
>> >
>> > Try http://www.whrc.org/southamerica/drought_sim/results.htm
[snip]

> It seems to me that the Indy has hyped the report and you have hyped
> the Indy article :-)

In my defense, I did just say "amazon very vulnerable", not "gone 
tomorrow!".  But I was admittedly more upset by the journalism than the 
report it described (thanks for that link, and thanks to WH for the very 
nice web site).

> OTOH we don't know that Lean and/or Pearce have not spoken to the the
> Woods Hole scientists and got a more alarming picture from them.

This could be true, and I actually have no problem with reporting 
scientist's personal, yet expert, concerns.  I would prefer however if it 
were clearly identified as such, and not implied that whatever study in 
question clearly supports them.

> Also, note that this was an experiment - not real life.  In this case
> the trees put down their roots to find deeper water.  In this
> experiment, as I understand it, there was no attempt to prevent the
> deep water table from being replenished from the surrounding forest
> which was not covered, and thus the only trees in the centre of the
> test area would feel the full effects of the artificial drought.  This
> would not be the case in a real drought, where all the trees would have
> difficulty finding deep water.   So in real life the situation may be
> worse than in hte experiment.

I thought of that too, and it seems a very likely significant factor.  More 
so now that I read how deep the soil is.  I had always been under the 
impression that amazonian soils were very shallow.

Coby


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