CobblyWorlds wrote:
> Hello James,
> 
> I've not noticed the 'onward march of Maize', here in Lancashire.
> However in view of the mild weather we've been having it seems
> reasonable that this could change the practicalities and economics of
> what crops to grow.

First page I googled (just now, *not* prior to my previous post):

http://www.edinburgh.ceh.ac.uk/iccuk/indicators/23.htm

"Although stable in area throughout the 1980s, the area of forage maize 
roughly quadrupled through the 1990s. This large expansion is due to a 
combination of factors, including the introduction of new varieties 
which are better adapted to UK conditions, perceptions of a warming 
climate, recent experience of warmer weather and the introduction in 
1993 of an arable payment scheme under the Common Agricultural Policy."

Pretty good guess huh? I think I'll award myself full marks for that! 
Lancashire may be a bit too grim for it to have caught on so far - it 
was common in Cheshire when I lived there >5 years ago (ok, so I was 
actually living on Wirral, which is Merseyside really, but we like to 
pretend we are posh).

 > And as the forcing changes from
> CO2 are so fast compared to our best analogy - glacial/interglacial,

Note however the Dansgaard-Oeschger events, reckoned to be about 8C 
warming in 40 years (on a regional basis - but we live on a regional 
basis, as do ecosystems!). Indeed there is a research program (RAPID) 
largely predicated on the possibility of this sort of thing (THC 
shutdown/rapid cooling is the main focus), but it's believed (by most 
rational people) to be very unlikely irrespective of anthropogenic 
forcing, AIUI.

> I still feel disquiet about our
> British summer being 2degC above average.

Think of all the CO2 savings with people no longer flying south for the 
summer :-) Living in Lancashire, I'd have thought you would welcome it 
more than most!

James

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