On 11/11/06, James Annan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> http://www.extropy.org/

hmmm...

> TBH it looks like a bit of a kooky sect. But I think you can take the
> interesting parts of their POV without the full-on loopiness.

Minsky. Kurzweil. brrrr.... Don't get me started. (sigh,  too late.)

Loopy indeed, but not easily dismissed. Their cure may be worse than
the disease. See

http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/8.04/joy.html

for a contrary argument that takes the possible dangers of autonomous
artifacts seriously.

For historical reasons, Minsky is often mentioned in the same breath
as John McCarthy (a disservice to McCarthy in my opinion). Still, I
think McCarthy's cross-that-bridge-when-we-get-to-it optimistic
futurism is to be distingushed from the Minskyite lunacy that our
purpose in the world is to replace ourselves with more reliable
inorganic mechanisms.

That's an important context for the "proactionary principle"

http://www.extropy.org/proactionaryprinciple.htm

that the extropians advocate in opposition to the "precautionary
principle". It's important to watch out for loopholes into which
"transhumanism" might try to slip in without proper consideration by
us run-of-the-mill humans.

It's the "according to available science" part that seems to me
spectacularly fraught with peril; artificial intelligence people think
AI is a science, and economists think economics is a science. I think
both are to a consderable extent ideologies rather than sciences.

I think climatology is a science. Others believe that it is to a
considerable extent an ideology.

And then there is string theory.

This is really a big issue. Everyone wants to defer to science but
nobody has a general methodology for distinguishing between science
and ideology.

That all said, I think the proactionary principle is worth looking at.

mt

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