On Feb 25, 8:48 pm, Raymond Arritt <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Our good friend S. Fred Singer has been assigned an oral presentation at > the upcoming European Geosciences Union General Assembly in Vienna. The > abstract for his presentation is here: > > http://www.cosis.net/abstracts/EGU2007/05728/EGU2007-J-05728.pdf > > He argues that climate models are worthless (surprise) and cites their > inability to reproduce trends shown in plots from the CCSP report on > lower tropospheric temperatures. Given Singer's talent for, shall we > say, "creative" interpretation of data I'm curious as to what others think.
The last paragraph of the abstract: "An overall test for climate prediction may soon be possible by measuring the ongoing rise in sea level. According to my estimates, sea level should rise by 1.5 to 2.0 cm per decade (about the same rate as in past millennia); the U.N.-IPCC (4th Assessment Report-Reviewer draft) predicts 1.4 to 4.3 cm per decade. Using a "semi-empirical" approach, Rahmstorf (in SciencExpress Dec 12, 2006) obtains 5 to 14 cm/decade. In the New York Review of Books (July 13, 2006), however, James Hansen suggests 20 feet or more per century - equivalent to about 60 cm or more per decade." The current satellite measurement of sea level rise: http://sealevel.colorado.edu/ shows 3.0 +- 0.5 mm/year with no apparent acceleration. Only the IPCC 4AR is at all realistic. Singer is under; Rahmstorf is over and Hansen has reached escape velocity. --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups Global Change ("globalchange") newsgroup. Global Change is a public, moderated venue for discussion of science, technology, economics and policy dimensions of global environmental change. Posts will be admitted to the list if and only if any moderator finds the submission to be constructive and/or interesting, on topic, and not gratuitously rude. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/globalchange -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
