I have been under the impression that the world's current population
cannot be fed without the use of chemical fertilizers. Admittedly this
is based on an article I read in Scientific American decades ago and a
more recent radio interview with some old gent to whom much of the
"green revolution" (the fist one) was attributed.

Nevertheless Dr Ivette Perfecto of U Michigan

http://www.snre.umich.edu/contact/faculty-detail.php?people_id=20

is quoted in the press as stating otherwise, based on a modeling study.

http://www.planetark.com/avantgo/dailynewsstory.cfm?newsid=43040

http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2007/7/11/192726/134

Presumably, this refers to

Badgley, C., J. Moghtader, E. Quintero, E. Zakem, J. M. Chappell, K.
Aviles-Vázquez, A. Samulon, and I. Perfecto. In press. Organic
agriculture and the global food supply. Renewable Resources and Food
Systems (in press)

Is this a realistic result? Do I need to reconsider my understanding
of this matter?

A Grist reader points to a similar study out of Iowa State

http://www.leopold.iastate.edu/pubs/nwl/2007/2007-2-leoletter/ltar.htm

but that just talks about profit margins, not calories.

mt

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