You were in very fine company, James! If that bunch can't come up with anything much it's little wonder I can't.
>From hanging around with proxy people of late, I'd venture it is not so much missing data as spatial scale mismatch, though. There are local records, I would think. mt On 7/12/07, James Annan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Michael Tobis wrote: ... > > My expectation that interannual oscillatory behavior in response to > > strong forcing will increase is sufficiently strong and the evidence > > of such behavior in GCMs sufficiently weak that it causes me to > > suspect that GCMs have a sort of near-equilibrium bias. That is, I > > suspect GCMs filter out forced transient variance on interannual to > > decadal time scales. I have no sensible ideas as to how to investigate > > this hunch, and it would likely be a more expensive proposition than I > > can muster anyway, but I'd welcome speculation by others on the topic. > > It's an interesting idea, and it certainly seems plausible that > some/many GCMs underestimate natural variability in various ways. > > One main goal of this workshop was to think of ways to compare observed > and modelled variability, but the data are really pretty poor once one > goes back beyond a century or so. > > http://www.astr.ucl.ac.be/index.php?page=Wokshop_assim --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups Global Change ("globalchange") newsgroup. Global Change is a public, moderated venue for discussion of science, technology, economics and policy dimensions of global environmental change. Posts will be admitted to the list if and only if any moderator finds the submission to be constructive and/or interesting, on topic, and not gratuitously rude. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/globalchange -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
