Still, its interesting that few (no?) glaciologists have publicly
embraced Hansen's projections. One would think that Hansen might be
going out on a limb a bit with his predictions of dynamic ice sheet
collapse, given that its not really his field.
That said, there are some interesting hints that ice sheet melting may
be occurring considerably faster than most models to date have
projected. I expect we will hear a lot more about this in the next few
years, especially as a result of Hansen's outspokenness.
Oh, and the quote in the documentary implied a complete melting of the
Greenland icesheet in the next half century, which is quite a
different thing than a few meters of sea level rise by 2100. No one
would claim that there is any reasonable probability of a complete
loss of the Greenland (or West Antarctic) ice sheets in the timeframe
of a century.
On Jul 26, 4:48 pm, "[EMAIL PROTECTED]" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
wrote:
> > "I find it almost inconceivable that "business as usual" climate
> > change will not result in a rise in sea level measured in metres
> > within a century. Am I the only scientist who thinks so?"
>
> It seems he might have been quoted fairly in that alarmism ad absurdum
> documentary then.
>
> What probability is "almost inconceivable" I wonder? >99%
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