----- Original Message -----
From: "Phil Randal" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: [Global Change: 2326] Re: Public Awareness of Energy Issues
>
> The Oil Drum Europe has an article by David Fleming up today entitled
> "New Nuclear Reactors For The UK: Is This Really A Good Idea?"
>
> http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/3450
>
> Cheers,
>
> Phil
>
>From elsewhere in this thread, those assumptions about net energy are of
extremely dubious validity. There are good reasons to question whether UK
should build more reactors, but "not enough fuel" isn't one of them.
Reasonably assured recoverable uranium in 2005 was 4.7 x 10^9 kg; annual
global consumption was recently about 6.4 x 10^7 kg/year; so there is enough
reasonably assured recoverable uranium to power the world's 440 nuclear
plants for 73 years at current rates of consumption.
Multiply that supply by 60 for reprocessing & breeding and divide by 10 for
a 10-fold expansion world-wide, and we have enough fuel to run a global GHG
stabilization nuclear fleet for about 400 years. David Fleming's estimates
appear to be low by a factor somewhere between 100 and 1000, certainly not
reliable enough for sound decision making.
Thanks,
-dl
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