On 15/02/2008, Tom Adams <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> One could make an argument that the most troubling potential effect of
> global warming is not sea level-rise or drought.  The most toubling
> potential effect of global warming is  *more global warming*.
>
> Yet there seems to be little public awareness of this.  The public
> seems view global warming as a problem that can be dealt with later,
> but this might not be true.
>
> "Greenpeace International polled 400 climate scientists during
> December 1991 and January '92. The sample included all scientists
> involved in the 1990 study of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
> Change, and others who have published on issues relevant to climate
> change in `Science' or `Nature' during 1991. Scientists were asked
> whether they thought there would be a point of no return at some time
> in the future, if emissions continued at their present rate. By the
> end of January 1992, 113 had replied, in the following way: probably -
> 15 (13%), possibly - 36 (32%), probably not - 53 (47%). In other
> words, 45% believe the runaway greenhouse effect to be possible. "

no they don't. "point of no return" is open to many interpretations.
you might take it to mean "greenland will melt" for example.

> http://archive.greenpeace.org/climate/database/records/zgpz0638.html
>
> "Runaway global warming" (RGW) is the best term I have found for this
> (based on googling).   Is there a better term?
>
> What is the status of RGW in the scientific community these days?  It
> is frige alarmist or mainstream?

no-one believes it

-william

> Is there any research that might sort out RGW, determine if its a real
> probability, put a probability on it?
>
> What are the time frames for RGW?  Perhaps it would play out over such
> long time frames that it would not scare the public into action even
> if the mainstream of scientists considered it probable.
> >
>


-- 
William M. Connolley | www.wmconnolley.org.uk | 07985 935400

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