On Apr 23, 3:10 am, Robert I Ellison <[email protected]>
wrote:
> ...
>
> So k (on the right hand side) is determined from the GISSTEMP record
> of global temperature anomalies?
Yes. So is A, siumultaneously. Standard
parameter estimation method was employed.
>
> You then calculate temperature anomolies and correlate the result with
> the GISSTEMP record?
Yes, AE and then AEP are calculated, but
not correlated. The difference between the
estimate and the actual GICTEMP GTA is the
residual. The two parameters are estimated
so as to minimize the RMS of the residuals.
> ...
> threshold, triggering a transition to a new state at a rate determined
> by the climate system itself and faster than the cause.
Well, consider recent Artic sea ice melt.
Nobody seems to have predicted such a large
change would happen in 2007 CE.
--
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups
Global Change ("globalchange") newsgroup. Global Change is a public, moderated
venue for discussion of science, technology, economics and policy dimensions of
global environmental change.
Posts will be admitted to the list if and only if any moderator finds the
submission to be constructive and/or interesting, on topic, and not
gratuitously rude.
To post to this group, send email to [email protected]
To unsubscribe from this group, send email to
[email protected]
For more options, visit this group at
http://groups.google.com/group/globalchange
