New Delhi: The chances of the RBI signalling higher interest rates in its
April policy review grew stronger with finance minister Pranab Mukherjee on
Tuesday saying double-digit inflation was a matter of concern. He, however,
said it was not beyond control and a 9-10% economic growth rate was still
achievable.
   “We shall have to move towards betterment, towards development and 9-10%
growth is achievable. It is not a pipedream,’’ he said, winding up the
discussion on the Budget in the Rajya Sabha. But he said it was important to
control inflation to ensure that it did not eat into the benefits of growth.
“Benefit of growth is necessary, price control is necessary, fiscal
consolidation is necessary,’’ Mukherjee said, adding that double-digit
inflation was not new. He pointed out that in 1980, when Indira Gandhi came
to power, inflation was 20% and in 1991, when Manmohan Singh became finance
minister, it was 16%.
   On Monday, data had pegged the overall inflation at a 16-month high of
9.89% for February. *

FM defends duty hikes on petro products

*
New Delhi: Finance minister Pranab Mukherjee’s statement on Tuesday,
outlining the government’s inflation worry, is being seen as the strongest
hint yet to the RBI to tighten purse-strings further.
   Mukherjee, however, told the Rajya Sabha that high inflation was mainly
due to a low base. During these months last year, inflation was in the
negative zone and the impact of low base may remain for a few more months
till May-June. “I will not be surprised if it (inflation) reaches double
digits in March,’’ Mukherjee said.
   Justifying the hike in duties on petroleum products, Mukherjee said he
had the option to increase it outside Budget. “In a federal structure, I did
it so that even states get a share of the Rs 26,000 crore that will come to
the Centre. States will get a 32% share,’’ he said.
   Global financial services firms such as Goldman Sachs, Citi and Nomura
are expecting the RBI to raise CRR (cash reserve ratio) — the money banks
park with it overnight — by 50 basis points to suck out liquidity from the
financial system. The RBI had, in its quarterly review, raised CRR by 75
basis points to 5.75%. This was expected to absorb Rs 36,000 crore from the
system. Already, some banks such as ICICI, HDFC and Bank of India have
raised interest rates.

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