Great to look at such figures, but why people forget time value of money.

On Wed, Aug 18, 2010 at 11:17 AM, alok agarwal <[email protected]>wrote:

>
>
>
> If compound interest is so simple that it is taught in high school, how
> come it took Albert Einstein, arguably the greatest scientist in the world,
> to call it the 8th wonder of the world?
>
> Was it to remind us that we forgot about a magic theory? Really,
> understanding compound interest is very, very difficult. The human mind does
> not comprehend such growth so easily. We in our physical selves have a
> simpler type of growth. So we do not comprehend compounding of growth. A few
> old, really old stories might just help.
>
> Let us start with the famous story of the Persian emperor who was so
> enchanted with a new 'chess' game that he wanted to fulfill any wish the
> inventor of the game had. This inventor, a mathematician, decided to ask for
> one seed of grain on the first square of the chessboard doubling the amounts
> on each of the following squares.
>
> The emperor, at first happy about such modesty, was soon to discover that
> the total yield of his entire empire would not be sufficient to fulfill the
> 'modest' wish.
>
> The amount needed on the 64th square of the chessboard equals 440 times the
> yield of grain of the entire planet. Just try converting into money in any
> currency and you will realise the importance of compounding.
>
> A similar analogy is that one penny invested at the birth of Jesus Christ [
> Images <http://search.rediff.com/imgsrch/default.php?MT=jesus+christ> ] at
> 4% interest would have bought one ball of gold equal to the weight of the
> earth in the year 1750. In 1990, however, it would buy 8,190 such balls of
> gold.
>
> At 5 per cent, interest it would have bought one ball of gold by the year
> 1466. By 1990, it would buy 2,200 billion balls of gold equal to the weight
> of the earth!
>
> The example shows the enormous difference 1% makes. It also proves that the
> continual payment of interest and compound interest is arithmetically, as
> well as practically, impossible.
>
> Just see what a difference it would have made if your great grandfather had
> invested in a bank fixed deposit only Rs 100 say 150 years back. What it
> would have grown to?
>
> Here is a dream sheet. See for yourself. Imagine Rs 100 is invested and it
> grows at 10 per cent every year.
>
> Column 2 is what it will grow to if it was held for the number of years in
> column 1. So if your great grandfather invested Rs 100, 150 years ago, you
> would have inherited Rs 16 crore (Rs 160 million).
>
> *No. of years it is invested for:*
>
> *What it would grow to
> in Rupees:*
>
> 1
>
> 110
>
> 5
>
> 161
>
> 10
>
> 259
>
> 15
>
> 418
>
> 25
>
> 1,083
>
> 50
>
> 11,739
>
> 100
>
> 1,378,061
>
> 150
>
> 161,771,784
>
> 200
>
> 18,990,527,646
>
> 300
>
> 261,701,099,618,845
>
> 400
>
> 3,606,401,402,752,540,000
>
> 500
>
> 49,698,419,673,124,400,000,000
>
> So what is the learning from this sheet? Even a 1 per cent difference can
> make a mountain of a difference, but the greatest difference is made by the
> number of years the money remains untouched. That is the key.
>
> For those more mathematically inclined, I state below the formula:
>
> Vn = Vo * (1+r)^n
>
> 'n' in the compounding formula is the number of times the amount is
> compounded.
>
> But for practical purposes if you take that as the time for which you stay
> invested in an instrument, you would not be too wrong either.
>
> What it means is that:
>
> *The amount of money that you require (Vn) is equal to the amount invested
> today (Vo) multiplied by [1+ interest rate (r)] raised to the number of
> times the amount is compounded (n).*
>
> In this formula you as a client can control how much money you want at the
> end of the waiting period (Vn), how long the money can be invested (n), and
> how much money you can invest today Vo.
>
> Instead of worrying about 'r', just start investing. That is the key.
>
> *Takeaways:*
>
>    - Start investing early.
>    - Do not touch the amount for a long time.
>    - Do not keep jumping from one investment instrument to another.
>    - Let the power of compounding work for you. It would have worked for
>    your grand-dad, dad and you. If they knew it, great. If they did not, you
>    can start the line. At least your grandchild will praise you for it.
>    - To see what it would have become over 500 years is fantasy. What it
>    could have become over 150 is Ratan Tata [ 
> Images<http://search.rediff.com/imgsrch/default.php?MT=ratan+tata>].
>    - When you read about 'the rich get richer, and the poor get poorer,'
>    it is not about socialism. It is about compounding.
>
> *The author is a chartered accountant and a financial domain trainer. He
> can be reached at [email protected]*
>   http://in.rediff.com/money/2006/jun/29perfin.htm
>
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-- 
*Thanks

Manoj Damani
+91 9903009493*

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