*Housing Development Finance Corporation** - Sharekhan
*Recommendation: Hold
Price target: Rs910
Current market price: Rs886

*Price target revised to Rs910*

Result highlights

   -

   Housing Development Finance Corporation (HDFC)’s Q4FY2013 results were
   in line with our estimate as its net profit grew by 17.3% year on year
   (YoY; up 36.4% sequentially) to Rs1,555 crore driven by a healthy growth in
   the operating profit (up 14.6% YoY).
   -

   The net interest income (NII) growth was largely in line with our
   estimate as it increased by 11.9% YoY (up 26.8% quarter on quarter [QoQ])
   to Rs1,950.8 crore. A strong growth in the advances and stable spreads
   contributed to the NII growth.
   -

   Overall, the loan book expanded strongly by 20.7% YoY (up 24% YoY,
   including the loans sold). The individual loans were up 25.4% YoY (up 31%
   YoY, including the loans sold), thereby leading to an increase in the
   proportion of individual loans to ~66.0%.
   -

   The loan approvals saw a growth of 14.5% YoY whereas the disbursements
   grew by 15.9% during the quarter. The borrowings increased by 32.1% YoY.
   -

   The asset quality improved as the gross non-performing asset (GNPA) was
   at 0.7% vs 0.75% in Q3FY2012. The outstanding provisions including the
   standard asset provisions on the balance sheet were higher by Rs286 crore
   as against the regulatory requirement of Rs1,506 crore.

*Valuations: *HDFC’s strategy of reaching out to newer geographies is
bearing fruits as the loan book continues to expand at a healthy rate
despite competition. The company’s strong distribution network (both metro
and non-metro regions) and competitive pricing of products are likely to
contribute to a strong growth. We have marginally tweaked the estimates for
FY2014 and FY2015, and revised the sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) based price
target to Rs910. However, we maintain Hold rating on the stock due to
premium valuation.



-- 
CA. Rajesh Desai

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