Joseph Esposito and I still are not understanding one another: Green OA 
self-archiving is not, as Joseph has suggested, a *parasite*: It is an 
*enzyme*, a catalyst, accelerating and facilitating the natural process of 
transition from today's access for subscribers-only to tomorrow's (online) 
access (to the author's refereed final draft) for all would-be users. That is 
far as my own interest, as a researcher, goes. But it is unlikely (as Joseph 
notes) to end there: universal Green OA is eventually likely to make 
subscriptions unsustainable, thereby inducing a universal transition to Gold OA 
publishing, at a much lower price (for peer review alone) per article 
published, paid by institutions out of their windfall annual subscription 
cancellation savings, with text-generation, (online-only) access provision and 
archiving and their costs all offloaded onto the distributed global network of 
Green OA institutional repositories.

The moral of the story is that there is no need for the research community to 
wait for the publishing community to convert to Gold OA of its own accord, and 
particularly not at Gold OA's needlessly high current asking price, and while 
the money to pay for it is still locked into subscriptions: Universities and 
research funders can mandate Green OA self-archiving, now. That will ensure 
100% Green OA; and publishing can and will adapt as need be, as a matter of 
natural course, if and when it becomes necessary.

Harnad, S. (2007) The Green Road to Open Access: A Leveraged Transition. In: 
The Culture of Periodicals from the Perspective of the Electronic Age, pp. 
99-105, L'Harmattan.
http://eprints.ecs.soton.ac.uk/15753/
ABSTRACT: What the research community needs, urgently, is free online access 
(Open Access, OA) to its own peer-reviewed research output. Researchers can 
provide that in two ways: by publishing their articles in OA journals (Gold OA) 
or by continuing to publish in non-OA journals and self-archiving their final 
peer-reviewed drafts in their own OA Institutional Repositories (Green OA). OA 
self-archiving, once it is mandated by research institutions and funders, can 
reliably generate 100% Green OA. Gold OA requires journals to convert to OA 
publishing (which is not in the hands of the research community) and it also 
requires the funds to cover the Gold OA publication costs. With 100% Green OA, 
the research community's access and impact problems are already solved. If and 
when 100% Green OA should cause significant cancellation pressure (no one knows 
whether or when that will happen, because OA Green grows anarchically, article 
by article, not journal by journal) then the cancellation pressure will cause 
cost-cutting, downsizing and eventually a leveraged transition to OA (Gold) 
publishing on the part of journals. As subscription revenues shrink, 
institutional windfall savings from cancellations grow. If and when journal 
subscriptions become unsustainable, per-article publishing costs will be low 
enough, and institutional savings will be high enough to cover them, because 
publishing will have downsized to just peer-review service provision alone, 
offloading text-generation onto authors and access-provision and archiving onto 
the global network of OA Institutional Repositories. Green OA will have 
leveraged a transition to Gold OA.

Harnad, S. (2010) No-Fault Peer Review Charges: The Price of Selectivity Need 
Not Be Access Denied or Delayed. D-Lib Magazine, 16 (7/8). 
http://eprints.ecs.soton.ac.uk/21348/
ABSTRACT: Plans by universities and research funders to pay the costs of Open 
Access Publishing ("Gold OA") are premature. Funds are short; 80% of journals 
(including virtually all the top journals) are still subscription-based, tying 
up the potential funds to pay for Gold OA; the asking price for Gold OA is 
still high; and there is concern that paying to publish may inflate acceptance 
rates and lower quality standards. What is needed now is for universities and 
funders to mandate OA self-archiving (of authors' final peer-reviewed drafts, 
immediately upon acceptance for publication) ("Green OA"). That will provide 
immediate OA; and if and when universal Green OA should go on to make 
subscriptions unsustainable (because users are satisfied with just the Green OA 
versions) that will in turn induce journals to cut costs (print edition, online 
edition, access-provision, archiving), downsize to just providing the service 
of peer review, and convert to the Gold OA cost-recovery model; meanwhile, the 
subscription cancellations will have released the funds to pay these residual 
service costs. The natural way to charge for the service of peer review then 
will be on a "no-fault basis," with the author's institution or funder paying 
for each round of refereeing, regardless of outcome (acceptance, 
revision/re-refereeing, or rejection). This will minimize cost while protecting 
against inflated acceptance rates and decline in quality standards.

Harnad, S. (2011) Gold Open Access Publishing Must Not Be Allowed to Retard the 
Progress of Green Open Access Self-Archiving. Logos, 21 (3-4). pp. 86-93.
http://eprints.ecs.soton.ac.uk/21818/
ABSTRACT: Universal Open Access (OA) is fully within the reach of the global 
research community: Research institutions and funders need merely mandate 
(green) OA self-archiving of the final, refereed drafts of all journal articles 
immediately upon acceptance for publication. The money to pay for gold OA 
publishing will only become available if universal green OA eventually makes 
subscriptions unsustainable. Paying for gold OA pre-emptively today, without 
first having mandated green OA not only squanders scarce money, but it delays 
the attainment of universal OA.

Stevan Harnad
EnablingOpenScholarship
http://www.openscholarship.org

On 2011-08-18, at 8:58 PM, Joseph Esposito wrote:

> 
> In response to a message by Professor Harnad:  I believe that 
> most librarians are very smart.  Because they are smart, they 
> will not purchase things that they can get for free.  Therefore 
> so-called Green OA, which depends on publishers to manage 
> editorial review and assert brands as indicators of quality, 
> undermines the basic economics of one kind of journal publishing. 
> You can self-archive all you want until the journals that support 
> the publishing process disappear.
> 
> Green OA in the short term misleadingly appears to have little 
> effect on journal subscriptions (how many journal subscriptions 
> have thus far been cancelled because of the availability of OA 
> versions of articles?), and that is because the OA version is 
> still missing components (e.g., the full run of articles of a 
> particular journal) that appear only in the formal published 
> version.  But all things being equal, a Green copy would 
> substitute for a paid copy. The question is how long before all 
> things will be equal.  Publishers have various strategies for 
> preventing all things for being equal, as has been noted 
> countless times on this list.
> 
> Of course, there is an interesting challenge in discussing this, 
> in that you cannot have evidence for a future state.
> 
> The author-pays method pioneered by BMC and ingeniously modified 
> by PLOS among many others solves this problem--though neither is 
> a substitute for established publications with traditional 
> economic models.
> 
> You cannot have OA PLUS peer review PLUS editorial brands PLUS 
> subscription-based economics.  You get two out of three, which 
> ain't bad.
> 
> But let's not lose sight of the context.  It was suggested on 
> this list that I was somehow opposed to OA.  I am not.  There are 
> many varieties of OA.  I see no reason to insist on one flavor, 
> Green.
> 
> Joe Esposito
> 

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