Stevan:
My proposal goes farther and has much greater payoff. It is much more
far-reaching than just adopting Gold OA, and I would certainly not fund the
hybrid Gold model, which is ridiculous. My proposal is to make many more
resources available for OA by shifting funds out of inefficient uses. What you
call wishful thinking is based on years of being an observer of and participant
in the system. I also apply a modicum of established free-market principles.

Here are the key insights.

Insight 1: Site licenses are bad for researchers.
Universities and libraries are not doing any favors to researchers by buying
access to journals on their behalf. Site licenses are merely an extension of
paper-era thinking. If subsidized directly, researchers would be able to
assemble their own customized library far more effectively than the library can.
In the current system, researchers are forced to use a digital library put
together for the typical user of their campus. When they change universities,
their digital library changes. This non-individualized product is a relic of the
paper era.

Because researcher information needs are subsidized through libraries, there is
no incentive for publishers to develop an ITunes-like environment for scholarly
articles.

Insight 2: Site licenses are bad for universities.
Every site license requires months of negotiations: library committees,
consortium meetings, publisher negotiations, etc. Then, to make the site
licenses accessible to the community, there are OpenURL servers, proxy servers,
and various databases to maintain. This library overhead significantly adds to
the total cost of site licenses.

This would be justifiable if by "buying in bulk", there are economies to be had.
In fact, it is just the opposite. Site licenses are an inherently
anti-competitive product that has led to the price hikes of the past twenty
years. Letting researchers be in charge of their own subscriptions would create
a more competitive market, because each researcher is able to make the
price/value judgement for each journal.

Insight 3: Site licenses are bad for libraries.
Site licenses let libraries pretend they are running a digital library. With
site licenses, libraries are merely middlemen in digital-lending transactions,
to which they do not contribute any value. In fact, they detract value, as they
make the transactions more complicated. Libraries cannot remain relevant
institutions if this is the core of their services.

Insight 4: Site licenses are bad for publishers.
Publishers are currently able to extract quite a lot of value out of their
holdings. However, their costs are also very high. Every license negotiation
requires sales staff, back-office support, and executive attention.
Authentication and user-centered services are difficult because libraries stand
in between the publisher and the user.

Insight 5: Consider the current TOTAL cost of site licenses (the acquisition
cost plus all of the overhead). Use some of these funds to subsidize researchers
directly for their information needs. Use the rest to acquire and manage OA
information. This would pump significant resources into OA and build permanent
digital information infrastructure.

The long version can be found in the following posts:
http://scitechsociety.blogspot.com/2011/07/what-if-libraries-were-problem.html
http://scitechsociety.blogspot.com/2011/08/libraries-paper-tigers-in-digital-wo
rld.html
http://scitechsociety.blogspot.com/2011/08/fourth-branch.html
http://scitechsociety.blogspot.com/2011/09/publishers-dilemma.html
http://scitechsociety.blogspot.com/2012/04/annealing-library.html

--Eric.

http://scitechsociety.blogspot.com

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On Tue, May 1, 2012 at 4:45 PM, Stevan Harnad <[email protected]> wrote:
      Let's be honest with ourselves, because OA will not come
      through fantasy or wishful thinking:

      It is undeniable that OA is desirable,  beneficial, inspires
      a lot of enthusiasm (even in those who don't do a thing about
      it, which is most people, including most researchers) and is
      probably inevitable.

      But it is also undeniable that despite the desirability,
      benefits, enthusiasm and inevitability, and a good deal of
      euphoria it periodically inspires, OA is extremely slow in
      coming, it has been hovering around 20% for years, and its
      growth rate is minimal.

      Enthusiasts who deny or are oblivious to this reality are
      fooling themselves and not doing OA a favor either.

      So the realistic question is: what is a credible, viable way
      to accelerate the growth of OA to 100% before this generation
      of OA advocates reaches its dotage?

      100% OA will not be reached within our lifetimes via a
      concerted strategy by institutions to phase out subscription
      journals in favor of OA journals. Publishers already have a
      strategy for countering that, and it's called hybrid gold OA:

      Those institutions who want to pay subscriptions pay
      subscriptions; those who want to pay for Gold OA pay for Gold
      OA. No money is saved by universities, because journals can
      and do adjust the price of hybrid Gold OA however they wish,
      to preserve their revenue streams. Hence there's no incentive
      for institutions to join or stick to the concerted strategy.

      What the non-subscribing institutions get is a patchwork of
      Gold OA articles, missing the non-Gold articles. (This is a
      classic example of what is called an "evolutionarily unstable
      strategy." It looks good in theory; it crumbles in practice.)

      I won't say much about the variant strategy of institutions
      trying to force ("mandate") that their researchers publish
      only in pure Gold OA journals. Enthusiasm there may be, for
      OA, among researchers, be they ever so passive. But if any
      institution starts telling them that they may no longer
      publish in the journals they choose based on their
      appropriateness for their work, but must choose journals
      based on their cost-recovery model, and I predict these
      passive authors will break into active revolt. Another
      evolutionarily unstable strategy.

      I'll say even less about the Elsevier boycott threat --
      10,000 strong. The biomedical researcher boycott
      threat in 2000 was 34,000 strong, but they all had
      their fingers crossed (and so do the Elsevier authors).
      Like all gestures from authors who are fervent
      enough about OA to threaten boycotts for it, but
      not fervent enough to provide themselves, by
      self-archiving their published articles -- yet another
      evolutionarily unstable strategy.

      What does that leave (besides waiting for the current
      sluggish course of events to continue slogging on till we
      expire)?

      If FRPAA mandates *institutional* green OA self-archiving for
      all funded research, not only will this make the huge tranche
      of FRPAA-funded research OA, but it will oblige institutions
      to monitor and ensure fulfillment of the funder conditions, in
      their own institutional repositories -- for which the natural
      mechanism is for all institutions to adopt complementary
      green OA self-archiving mandates as well, making
      self-archiving part of routine academic procedure.

      FRPAA is just US funders. But it reaches into virtually all
      US research institutions. And it will be emulated worldwide.
      (The EU may even beat them to it, if Alma Swan has her way!)

      That is an evolutionarily stable strategy.

      Now I am ready for the usual welter of nay-sayers. But I
      urge the uncommitted reader to be attentive to the grounds
      for the objections. I suggest being suspicious of those that
      are based on ideology or on speculation. Mandates have been tried
      and tested; and where properly implemented (e.g., at Southampton
      ECS, QUT, Minho and Liege), they work. What has not yet been
      tested is funder mandates designating *institutional* deposit.
      But that's only because the funders have only been listening to the
      nay-sayers. I recommend a little p[en-mindedness and empiricism.

      Stevan Harnad

      On Tue, May 1, 2012 at 4:17 PM, Eric F. Van de Velde
      <[email protected]> wrote:
      > Jan:
      >
      > I thought for a long time that conflating the two was wrong, but I
      have
      > changed my view on that. On Michael Eisen's blog, two comments,
      one by John
      > C and one by JJ, illustrate the point.
      >
      > Let's start with JJ, a grad student looking for a postdoc or
      assistant prof
      > position, but it could also be someone up for tenure. These junior
      > researchers need to know that their personal open-access
      initiatives will be
      > valued. Universities must show real commitment on their part. If
      they
      > communicate that library subscriptions will disappear in three
      years,
      > promotion and tenure committees will be on notice, all faculty
      will be on
      > notice that the university is serious about the change.
      >
      > John C is a researcher who paid gold open access out of his
      research grants.
      > The overhead on his grants sponsors his library subscriptions AND
      he pays
      > the full freight of gold open access. That is not sustainable.
      >
      > Three years is plenty long enough for faculty, libraries, and
      publishers to
      > adapt to a new reality, and it is short enough for the transition
      not to
      > impact junior researchers adversely.
      >
      > Stevan will say that gold open access is not necessary. And he is
      right, but
      > green open access has been moving too slowly and it requires
      mandates that
      > will be difficult to enforce in the long term. The quality of
      institutional
      > repositories is sufficient for access to research, but it is not
      at the
      > level necessary for long-term archiving. For institutions
      participating in
      > green open access, all the costs of open access are additive to
      subscription
      > costs. If IRs are the answer, their quality have to improve and
      that means
      > more resources are required.
      >
      > I don't know what the end result will be. No one can plan a
      disruptive
      > change. However, I have come to the view that site licenses cause
      the
      > stasis. Phasing out of paid subscriptions is the disruption that
      will set
      > everything else in motion. Then, let faculty, students,
      publishers,
      > libraries, and startups figure it out. The money saved on
      subscriptions can
      > help smooth the transitory effects and can be invested in open
      access.
      >
      > --Eric.
      >
      > http://scitechsociety.blogspot.com
      >
      > Google Voice: (626) 898-5415
      > Telephone:      (626) 376-5415
      > Skype chat, voice, or web-video: efvandevelde
      > E-mail: [email protected]
      >
      >
      >
      > On Tue, May 1, 2012 at 11:44 AM, Jan Velterop <[email protected]>
      wrote:
      >>
      >> Eric,
      >>
      >> Why the second sentence? As long as they require OA, do we care
      how they
      >> spend – or waste – their money? (Except as tax payers, perhaps,
      but the
      >> access issue isn't the financial issue. Conflation of the two has
      stymied
      >> progress in my view. Just as dirigiste solutions have.)
      >>
      >> Jan
      >>
      >>
      >> On 1 May 2012, at 19:16, Eric F. Van de Velde wrote:
      >>
      >> How about the following:
      >>
      >> "Because Open Access (OA) maximises research usage, impact and
      progress,
      >> funders and institutions must require that all researchers
      provide OA to
      >> their published research results. Institutions and their
      libraries will
      >> phase out all electronic journal subscriptions by May 1st, 2015
      and invest
      >> in OA initiatives instead."
      >>
      >> --Eric.
      >>
      >> http://scitechsociety.blogspot.com
      >>
      >> Google Voice: (626) 898-5415
      >> Telephone:      (626) 376-5415
      >> Skype chat, voice, or web-video: efvandevelde
      >> E-mail: [email protected]
      >>
      >>
      >>
      >> On Tue, May 1, 2012 at 8:04 AM, Peter Murray-Rust
      <[email protected]> wrote:
      >>>
      >>>
      >>>
      >>> On Tue, May 1, 2012 at 3:25 PM, Jan Velterop
      <[email protected]> wrote:
      >>>>
      >>>> I would simplify it further:
      >>>>
      >>>> "Because Open Access (OA) maximises research usage, impact and
      progress,
      >>>> funders and institutions must require that all researchers
      provide OA to
      >>>> their published research results."
      >>>>
      >>>> Any form of dirigisme as to how this is to be achieved is best
      avoided.
      >>>> Avoiding prescriptions for the means helps keep the focus on
      the goal and
      >>>> also leaves the door open for imaginative ways of convincing
      researchers,
      >>>> funders and institutions, and even of achieving more OA in
      possibly more
      >>>> effective ways.
      >>>>
      >>> I support this.  A simple sentence powerful and this probably
      has what we
      >>> want - like all sentences this may need slight crafting.
      >>>
      >>> The reality of the present situation is that we seem to need a
      mix of
      >>> strategies. What works for one discipline may not work for
      another. Things
      >>> have changed over the last 10 years and we need to look for
      changing
      >>> methods, changing finances and changing allies.
      >>>
      >>>
      >>> --
      >>> Peter Murray-Rust
      >>> Reader in Molecular Informatics
      >>> Unilever Centre, Dep. Of Chemistry
      >>> University of Cambridge
      >>> CB2 1EW, UK
      >>> +44-1223-763069
      >>>
      >>> _______________________________________________
      >>> GOAL mailing list
      >>> [email protected]
      >>> http://mailman.ecs.soton.ac.uk/mailman/listinfo/goal
      >>>
      >>
      >> _______________________________________________
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      >>
      >>
      >> _______________________________________________
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      >
      >
      > _______________________________________________
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