THE INDEPENDENT - ONLINE EDITION

Bush administration 'secretly plans air strikes' as it seeks regime change in 
Iran 

By Raymond Whitaker 
Published: 09 April 2006 

The Bush administration has sent undercover forces into Iran, and has stepped 
up secret planning for a possible major air attack on the country, according to 
the renowned US investigative journalist Seymour Hersh. 

While publicly advocating diplomacy to stop Iran from pursuing a nuclear 
weapon, Hersh reports in the next issue of The New Yorker magazine that "there 
is a growing conviction among members of the United States military, and in the 
international community, that President Bush's ultimate goal in the nuclear 
confrontation with Iran is regime change".

One former senior intelligence official is quoted as saying that Mr Bush and 
others in the White House have come to view Iran's president, Mahmoud 
Ahmadinejad, as a potential "Adolf Hitler". According to a senior Pentagon 
adviser on the "war on terror", "this White House believes that the only way to 
solve the problem is to change the power structure in Iran, and that means 
war". The danger, he adds, is that "it also reinforces the belief inside Iran 
that the only way to defend the country is to have a nuclear capability".

One option under consideration, Mr Hersh reports, involves the possible use of 
a B61 nuclear "bunker-buster" bomb against Iran's main centrifuge plant, at 
Natanz. Last week the Federation of American Scientists alleged that a weapons 
test to be carried out in the Nevada desert in June was designed to simulate 
the effects of just such a bomb. Conventional explosives would be used, it 
said, for "a low-yield nuclear weapon ground shock simulation against an 
underground target".

The US Defence Threat Reduction Agency told The Independent on Sunday that the 
test, codenamed "Divine Strake", was intended "to assess the capability of 
computer codes" to predict the effects of the explosion. The experiment aimed 
to improve "warfighters' confidence in their ability to plan to defeat hardened 
and deeply buried targets". It did not refer to tactical nuclear weapons like 
the B61.

According to Mr Hersh, some officials are shocked at what they describe as 
"operational" planning which goes far beyond the usual work on hypothetical 
scenarios. One former defence official is quoted as saying the planning was 
based on a belief that "a sustained bombing campaign in Iran will humiliate the 
religious leadership and lead the public to rise up and overthrow the 
government".

Some operations, apparently aimed in part at intimidating Iran, are already 
under way, Mr Hersh reports, including "simulated nuclear-weapons delivery 
missions" by US navy aircraft operating from carriers. Undercover units are 
also said to be working with ethnic minorities in Iran, including the Kurds, 
Baluchis and Azeris. While one goal was to have "eyes on the ground", the 
broader aim was to "encourage ethnic tensions" and undermine the regime.

Britain and other European states support the need for a military option to 
deter Iran from developing nuclear weapons, The New Yorker article says, but 
want nothing to do with regime change. "The Brits think this is a very bad 
idea, but they're really worried we're going to do it," Flynt Leverett, a 
former member of the US National Security Council, is quoted as saying.

Critics of military action against Iran point out that it would convulse world 
oil markets and could lead to retaliation in Iraq. Mr Hersh says he was told by 
a Pentagon adviser that the southern half of Iraq, where Britain's 8,000 troops 
are based, would "light up like a candle" in the wake of any strike on Iran, 
while a general said that, despite the British presence, "the Iranians could 
take Basra with 10 mullahs and a sound truck".

The greatest disquiet within the military is said to be over the possibility of 
using nuclear weapons against Iran. Some planners argue that it would be 
impossible to be certain that underground facilities such as those at Natanz 
had been completely destroyed unless a nuclear "bunker-buster" was used. Mr 
Hersh says he was told by a former senior intelligence official that some 
officers had talked about resigning after an attempt to remove the nuclear 
option from the war plans failed.

The Pentagon adviser warns, as do many others, that bombing Iran could provoke 
"a chain reaction" of attacks on American facilities and citizens throughout 
the world. "What will 1.2 billion Muslims think the day we attack Iran?" he 
asks.

Mr Hersh reports that the White House refused to comment on military planning, 
but insisted, as did the Pentagon, that a diplomatic solution was being sought 
with Iran. The CIA said there were "inaccuracies" in his account, but would not 
specify them. 

---

Fonte: http://news.independent.co.uk/world/middle_east/article356679.ece

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