Google published the statistics about the Royal Wedding, so this might
help:
http://googleappengine.blogspot.com/2011/05/royal-wedding-bells-in-cloud.html

In these cases, maybe you should think about a P2P solution and not
downloading from one point.

Are the devices arranged in any hierarchy? So only several devices
would download from your server
and they would push on the file to the other devices?

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