Aftab, I think you have not posted in FEC. May I do so.

On Wed, Sep 10, 2008 at 3:56 PM, Afthab Ellath <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> *Nuclear Waiver - Blow To Non-Proliferation*
>
> *By Praful Bidwai*
>
> 08 September, 2008
> *Inter Press Service <http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=43818>*
>
> *NEW DELHI, Sep 8 (IPS)* - The special waiver granted to India by the
> Nuclear Suppliers' Group (NSG) from its nuclear trade rules is being seen as
> a massive setback to the cause of global nuclear non-proliferation and
> disarmament.
>
> The NSG's waiver will allow India to resume nuclear commerce with the rest
> of the world with very few restrictions although India is not a signatory to
> the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and has refused to accede to any
> other agreement for preventing the spread of, reducing the numbers of, or
> abolishing nuclear weapons.
>
> The 45-nation conglomerate, a private arrangement set up after India's
> first nuclear weapons explosion in 1974, turned a full circle at its special
> meeting in Vienna, on the weekend, the second one in a fortnight, held at
> the behest of the United States.
>
> The NSG was originally established "to ensure that nuclear trade for
> peaceful purposes does not contribute to the proliferation of nuclear
> weapons or other nuclear explosive devices".
>
> But it has now done the very opposite by agreeing to the exceptional waiver
> for India as part of New Delhi's controversial nuclear cooperation deal with
> the U.S. inked three years ago.
>
> Washington hailed the waiver as "historic" and one that would boost nuclear
> non-proliferation, while New Delhi described the deal as an "important step"
> towards meeting the challenges of climate change and sustainable
> development.
>
> Clearly though, the waiver only became possible because of the strong-arm
> methods used by the U.S. to bludgeon dissenting NSG members into agreeing to
> the exemption text it had drafted in consultation with India.
>
> Contrary to the claim that the waiver, and more generally, the U.S.-India
> nuclear deal, will bring India into the global "non-proliferation
> mainstream" or promote nuclear restraint on India's part, *it will allow
> India to expand its nuclear weapons arsenal and encourage a nuclear arms
> race in Asia, particularly in the volatile South Asian subcontinent, where
> Pakistan emerged as India's nuclear rival 10 years ago. *
>
> The special waiver has been roundly criticised by nuclear disarmament and
> peace groups throughout the world, including in India.
>
> *The waiver, says the U.S.-India Deal Working Group of the disarmament
> network 'ABOLITION 2000', comprising more than 2,000 peace groups worldwide,
> "creates a dangerous distinction between 'good' proliferators and 'bad'
> proliferators and sends out misleading signals to the international
> community..." *
>
> "The exemption" it adds, "will not bring India further into conformity with
> the non-proliferation behaviour expected of the member-states of the NPT."
>
> Barring the exceptional situation in which India might conduct another
> nuclear test, the NSG imposes no significant conditions on nuclear trade
> with India. Even this condition is not stated up-front, and is mentioned in
> reference to a general statement by India's Foreign Minister Pranab
> Mukherjee on Sep. 5, in which he reiterated India's unilateral and voluntary
> moratorium on nuclear testing and its non-proliferation commitments.
>
> *But a voluntary moratorium can be lifted easily and unilaterally.* In any
> case, it falls short of a legally binding commitment not to test.
>
> India had insisted on a "clean and unconditional" waiver from the NSG, and
> has very nearly secured it, thanks to the indulgence of the U.S., which
> proposed the deal in the first place and lobbied hard and furiously for it.
>
> *With the waiver under its belt, India can proceed to import uranium fuel,
> of which it is running short, and a range of other nuclear materials,
> equipment and technologies for its civilian nuclear programme. But it can
> divert domestic uranium exclusively for weapons purposes. *
>
> "Under the U.S.-India nuclear deal, India signed an agreement to separate
> its military nuclear facilities from civilian installations and subject some
> of the latter to safeguards under the International Atomic Energy Agency,"
> says Achin Vanaik, head of the department of political science at Delhi
> University, and a national coordination committee member of the Coalition
> for Nuclear Disarmament and Peace (India).
>
> *According to Vanaik, India will only put 14 of its 22 operating or
> planned civilian nuclear reactors under IAEA safeguards, which are meant to
> ensure that no nuclear material from them is diverted to military purposes.
> ''But it can use the remaining eight reactors to produce as much plutonium
> as it likes for its weapons programme." *
>
> *According to a report prepared by independent scientists and experts for
> the International Panel on Fissile Materials two years ago, these eight
> reactors alone can yield fuel for as many as 40 Nagasaki-type bombs every
> year. *
>
> In addition, India can produce more bomb fuel from its dedicated military
> nuclear facilities and fast-breeder reactors, which it can maintain and
> expand.
>
> India accepts no limits or restrictions on the size of its nuclear arsenal
> and has an ambitious nuclear doctrine under which it continues to stockpile
> fissile material for weapons use.
>
> The NSG has all but put its imprimatur on India's nuclear activities which
> would allow it to expand its arsenal of mass-destruction weapons and thus
> set a negative example for the rest of the world, in particular, wannabe
> atomic states.
>
> In the process, says Daryl F. Kimball of the Arms Control Association
> (U.S.), the NSG has undermined "efforts to contain Iran's and North Korea's
> nuclear programmes, and it will make it nearly impossible to win support for
> much-needed measures to strengthen the NPT" at its next review conference
> due in 2010.
>
> The waiver may weaken and harm the NPT itself by aiding the acquisition of
> nuclear weapons by a country not recognised by it as a nuclear
> weapons-state, which it explicitly prohibits. Effectively, it expands the
> Nuclear Club to include a member which has refused to sign the treaty.
>
> Within the NSG, there was a great deal of resistance to the waiver. An
> earlier meeting of the group, on Aug. 21-22, failed to produce a consensus
> -- necessary for any decision to go through.
>
> The resistance was led by six "like-minded" countries --Austria, Ireland,
> the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway and Switzerland -- which argued that
> India must accept three conditions in order to resume nuclear trade.
>
> These included a periodic review of compliance with India's
> non-proliferation pledges, exclusion from trade of sensitive technologies
> such as uranium enrichment and spent fuel reprocessing, and cessation of
> nuclear commerce in case India tests.
>
> In the event, India only accepted the first condition and doggedly refused
> to go beyond reiterating its unilateral moratorium on testing.
>
> However, on the second day of the NSG meeting, *Foreign Minister Mukherjee
> made a general statement saying that India is opposed to nuclear
> proliferation, does not subscribe to an arms race, and will behave
> responsibly as a nuclear weapons-state. *
>
> *"The statement was inane and dishonest because India initiated and has
> sustained a nuclear arms race in South Asia,"* says M.V. Ramana from the
> Centre for Interdisciplinary Studies in the Environment and Development,
> Banagalore. "It is really a sad commentary on the state of debate at the NSG
> if such statements actually create what was described by the U.S. delegate
> as a 'positive momentum'..."
>
> Eventually, the "positive result" in the form of the waiver was achieved
> after Mukherjee's statement effectively split the "like-minded" group and
> led to the desertion of the Netherlands, Norway and Switzerland on the
> evening of Sep. 5.
>
> Behind the change was crude pressure, blackmail and induced fear of
> "isolation" on account of antagonising the "emerging power" that is India.
> The topmost leaders of the U.S., India and their allies worked the telephone
> lines to mount this pressure.
>
> Kimball said that ''it appears as if George Bush and his team engaged in
> some nasty threats, misinformation about positions, and intimidation, to
> wear down the core six members … and their allies. You have to assume the
> conversations among foreign ministers, presidents, and prime ministers
> didn't focus on the policy and non-proliferation issues, but raw politics".
>
> "Another factor,'' Kimball added, ''was the role of Germany, ostensibly the
> NSG chair. At this meeting, the Germans apparently sat on their thumbs and
> let the Americans run the show and keep asking for more consultations
> despite the remaining differences. A more competent and less biased chair
> would have provided more balance and would have adjourned the meeting Friday
> night when it was clear there was still disagreement on some fundamental
> issues..."
>
> China briefly emerged as a supporter of the Group of Six, when it asked
> that the waiver decision not be rushed. But, say Indian media reports, a
> critically timed telephone call from Bush to Chinese president Hu Jintao did
> the trick and China quickly fell in line.
>
> "This was a triumph of crass power politics," says Vanaik. "It is sad and
> profoundly disturbing that nobody resisted U.S. or Indian pressure and stood
> up for elementary principles in a group where even a single member could
> have blocked the waiver. *India's 'victory' is founded on crude muscle
> power and cynicism, and negates rational, democratic decision-making based
> on a commitment to making the world a safer place."*
> (Praful Bidwai is a noted peace activist and co-founder of the Movement in
> India for Nuclear Disarmament (MIND), based in New Delhi.)
>
> >
>

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