I am sorry for having sent an intended personal mail, in this thread...

Regards
Afthab Ellath


On Wed, Sep 10, 2008 at 6:56 PM, damodar prasad <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>wrote:

> Aftab, I think you have not posted in FEC. May I do so.
>
> On Wed, Sep 10, 2008 at 3:56 PM, Afthab Ellath <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
>>  *Nuclear Waiver - Blow To Non-Proliferation*
>>
>> *By Praful Bidwai*
>>
>> 08 September, 2008
>> *Inter Press Service <http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=43818>*
>>
>> *NEW DELHI, Sep 8 (IPS)* - The special waiver granted to India by the
>> Nuclear Suppliers' Group (NSG) from its nuclear trade rules is being seen as
>> a massive setback to the cause of global nuclear non-proliferation and
>> disarmament.
>>
>> The NSG's waiver will allow India to resume nuclear commerce with the rest
>> of the world with very few restrictions although India is not a signatory to
>> the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and has refused to accede to any
>> other agreement for preventing the spread of, reducing the numbers of, or
>> abolishing nuclear weapons.
>>
>> The 45-nation conglomerate, a private arrangement set up after India's
>> first nuclear weapons explosion in 1974, turned a full circle at its special
>> meeting in Vienna, on the weekend, the second one in a fortnight, held at
>> the behest of the United States.
>>
>> The NSG was originally established "to ensure that nuclear trade for
>> peaceful purposes does not contribute to the proliferation of nuclear
>> weapons or other nuclear explosive devices".
>>
>> But it has now done the very opposite by agreeing to the exceptional
>> waiver for India as part of New Delhi's controversial nuclear cooperation
>> deal with the U.S. inked three years ago.
>>
>> Washington hailed the waiver as "historic" and one that would boost
>> nuclear non-proliferation, while New Delhi described the deal as an
>> "important step" towards meeting the challenges of climate change and
>> sustainable development.
>>
>> Clearly though, the waiver only became possible because of the strong-arm
>> methods used by the U.S. to bludgeon dissenting NSG members into agreeing to
>> the exemption text it had drafted in consultation with India.
>>
>> Contrary to the claim that the waiver, and more generally, the U.S.-India
>> nuclear deal, will bring India into the global "non-proliferation
>> mainstream" or promote nuclear restraint on India's part, *it will allow
>> India to expand its nuclear weapons arsenal and encourage a nuclear arms
>> race in Asia, particularly in the volatile South Asian subcontinent, where
>> Pakistan emerged as India's nuclear rival 10 years ago. *
>>
>> The special waiver has been roundly criticised by nuclear disarmament and
>> peace groups throughout the world, including in India.
>>
>> *The waiver, says the U.S.-India Deal Working Group of the disarmament
>> network 'ABOLITION 2000', comprising more than 2,000 peace groups worldwide,
>> "creates a dangerous distinction between 'good' proliferators and 'bad'
>> proliferators and sends out misleading signals to the international
>> community..." *
>>
>> "The exemption" it adds, "will not bring India further into conformity
>> with the non-proliferation behaviour expected of the member-states of the
>> NPT."
>>
>> Barring the exceptional situation in which India might conduct another
>> nuclear test, the NSG imposes no significant conditions on nuclear trade
>> with India. Even this condition is not stated up-front, and is mentioned in
>> reference to a general statement by India's Foreign Minister Pranab
>> Mukherjee on Sep. 5, in which he reiterated India's unilateral and voluntary
>> moratorium on nuclear testing and its non-proliferation commitments.
>>
>> *But a voluntary moratorium can be lifted easily and unilaterally.* In
>> any case, it falls short of a legally binding commitment not to test.
>>
>> India had insisted on a "clean and unconditional" waiver from the NSG, and
>> has very nearly secured it, thanks to the indulgence of the U.S., which
>> proposed the deal in the first place and lobbied hard and furiously for it.
>>
>> *With the waiver under its belt, India can proceed to import uranium
>> fuel, of which it is running short, and a range of other nuclear materials,
>> equipment and technologies for its civilian nuclear programme. But it can
>> divert domestic uranium exclusively for weapons purposes. *
>>
>> "Under the U.S.-India nuclear deal, India signed an agreement to separate
>> its military nuclear facilities from civilian installations and subject some
>> of the latter to safeguards under the International Atomic Energy Agency,"
>> says Achin Vanaik, head of the department of political science at Delhi
>> University, and a national coordination committee member of the Coalition
>> for Nuclear Disarmament and Peace (India).
>>
>> *According to Vanaik, India will only put 14 of its 22 operating or
>> planned civilian nuclear reactors under IAEA safeguards, which are meant to
>> ensure that no nuclear material from them is diverted to military purposes.
>> ''But it can use the remaining eight reactors to produce as much plutonium
>> as it likes for its weapons programme." *
>>
>> *According to a report prepared by independent scientists and experts for
>> the International Panel on Fissile Materials two years ago, these eight
>> reactors alone can yield fuel for as many as 40 Nagasaki-type bombs every
>> year. *
>>
>> In addition, India can produce more bomb fuel from its dedicated military
>> nuclear facilities and fast-breeder reactors, which it can maintain and
>> expand.
>>
>> India accepts no limits or restrictions on the size of its nuclear arsenal
>> and has an ambitious nuclear doctrine under which it continues to stockpile
>> fissile material for weapons use.
>>
>> The NSG has all but put its imprimatur on India's nuclear activities which
>> would allow it to expand its arsenal of mass-destruction weapons and thus
>> set a negative example for the rest of the world, in particular, wannabe
>> atomic states.
>>
>> In the process, says Daryl F. Kimball of the Arms Control Association
>> (U.S.), the NSG has undermined "efforts to contain Iran's and North Korea's
>> nuclear programmes, and it will make it nearly impossible to win support for
>> much-needed measures to strengthen the NPT" at its next review conference
>> due in 2010.
>>
>> The waiver may weaken and harm the NPT itself by aiding the acquisition of
>> nuclear weapons by a country not recognised by it as a nuclear
>> weapons-state, which it explicitly prohibits. Effectively, it expands the
>> Nuclear Club to include a member which has refused to sign the treaty.
>>
>> Within the NSG, there was a great deal of resistance to the waiver. An
>> earlier meeting of the group, on Aug. 21-22, failed to produce a consensus
>> -- necessary for any decision to go through.
>>
>> The resistance was led by six "like-minded" countries --Austria, Ireland,
>> the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway and Switzerland -- which argued that
>> India must accept three conditions in order to resume nuclear trade.
>>
>> These included a periodic review of compliance with India's
>> non-proliferation pledges, exclusion from trade of sensitive technologies
>> such as uranium enrichment and spent fuel reprocessing, and cessation of
>> nuclear commerce in case India tests.
>>
>> In the event, India only accepted the first condition and doggedly refused
>> to go beyond reiterating its unilateral moratorium on testing.
>>
>> However, on the second day of the NSG meeting, *Foreign Minister
>> Mukherjee made a general statement saying that India is opposed to nuclear
>> proliferation, does not subscribe to an arms race, and will behave
>> responsibly as a nuclear weapons-state. *
>>
>> *"The statement was inane and dishonest because India initiated and has
>> sustained a nuclear arms race in South Asia,"* says M.V. Ramana from the
>> Centre for Interdisciplinary Studies in the Environment and Development,
>> Banagalore. "It is really a sad commentary on the state of debate at the NSG
>> if such statements actually create what was described by the U.S. delegate
>> as a 'positive momentum'..."
>>
>> Eventually, the "positive result" in the form of the waiver was achieved
>> after Mukherjee's statement effectively split the "like-minded" group and
>> led to the desertion of the Netherlands, Norway and Switzerland on the
>> evening of Sep. 5.
>>
>> Behind the change was crude pressure, blackmail and induced fear of
>> "isolation" on account of antagonising the "emerging power" that is India.
>> The topmost leaders of the U.S., India and their allies worked the telephone
>> lines to mount this pressure.
>>
>> Kimball said that ''it appears as if George Bush and his team engaged in
>> some nasty threats, misinformation about positions, and intimidation, to
>> wear down the core six members … and their allies. You have to assume the
>> conversations among foreign ministers, presidents, and prime ministers
>> didn't focus on the policy and non-proliferation issues, but raw politics".
>>
>> "Another factor,'' Kimball added, ''was the role of Germany, ostensibly
>> the NSG chair. At this meeting, the Germans apparently sat on their thumbs
>> and let the Americans run the show and keep asking for more consultations
>> despite the remaining differences. A more competent and less biased chair
>> would have provided more balance and would have adjourned the meeting Friday
>> night when it was clear there was still disagreement on some fundamental
>> issues..."
>>
>> China briefly emerged as a supporter of the Group of Six, when it asked
>> that the waiver decision not be rushed. But, say Indian media reports, a
>> critically timed telephone call from Bush to Chinese president Hu Jintao did
>> the trick and China quickly fell in line.
>>
>> "This was a triumph of crass power politics," says Vanaik. "It is sad and
>> profoundly disturbing that nobody resisted U.S. or Indian pressure and stood
>> up for elementary principles in a group where even a single member could
>> have blocked the waiver. *India's 'victory' is founded on crude muscle
>> power and cynicism, and negates rational, democratic decision-making based
>> on a commitment to making the world a safer place."*
>> (Praful Bidwai is a noted peace activist and co-founder of the Movement in
>> India for Nuclear Disarmament (MIND), based in New Delhi.)
>>
>>
>>
>
> >
>

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