---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: damodar prasad <[email protected]>
Date: Sun, May 17, 2009 at 12:39 PM
Subject: [FEC] Re: India doesn't vote for change. But it didn't vote
for reforms either.
To: [email protected]


1. LDF gets a desrving defeat, says an SMS. It must be true. Now
anyone can  advise the Left and CPM in particular for introspecting
and even abuse its leaders.
(In defeat you have so many analysts who actually kept complete mum
when there were reasons for arguing with Left. I don't find anything
to rejoice in this moment of Left's failure to secure a good mandate)

2. If you just envision the parliament to be constituted, you will see
a brodband of righwing ruling party and oppositon and very narrow band
of Left, the excitment for the Left defeat may fizzle out immediately
for those who may share a Left persepctive on  policy and legislation
matters.

3. , Dr.KPKannan's article on "aam admi" politics in the annual issue
of seminar (Jan. 2009) opens with an anticipation that "aam admi" will
occupy centre stage in the forthcoming election ( that time election
was not declared). It came true. Congress campaign was mainly on
empowerement of aam admi.

4. Actuallly Left facilitated this victory for Congress. It was the
partnership with Left that qualitativey and squarely changed and
determined the content of the UPA govt. programme. Congress could
leverage on this. This govt unlike the previous NDA and Congress govt.
acted less on reforms. In fact, Left was accused for stalling the
reforms agenda.

5. Some one was pointing this on TV. Andhra govt implemented NREGA
succesfully and derived benefits for it. CPM and other lefdt parties
failed to leverage on this goodwill which is majorly a contribution of
the LF.

6. Left was overshadowed by other priorities, as we know. It worked
opposite in WB and Keala. Besides this, Vamozhis of ministers and
Party secretariat meetings  eclipsed decisions like 2kg rice, farmer's
debt relief, some other welfare measures.

In additon to this, there was also a CPM brand politics of
intimidation. Kerala's "hartal-peace" loving middle class was
regularly intimidated thorugh media by "Poda pule CBI" dialogues!! In
fact, media did not have to play any additonal role, they only had to
replay the visuals.

7. CNN-IBN post-poll says: Most preffered CM: VS and 67 %
no-disaffection for UPA. Read together it has a message. Sampling has
its own problems, we know. Btw, some commentator said CM enjoys so
much popularity bcoz he has no alternatives in opposition as well as
in his own party. Is that correct?

8. Did the organizational machinery of CPM able to "educate the
masses"  on Nuke deal or anythng agnst UPA. In the mind of the voter,
there was hardly anything against UPA. Neo-liberalism were all in
theory..... to be discussed in FEC. FEC is not even a microcosm of
society at large or even ( Tvm or golf club like) chatterati class..

9. Congress now securing a majority of its own by the formal methods
of liberal democracy by way of seat numbers discouting vote share to
each parties will be disastrous on two accounts: unchecked reformism
and powerful centre with negation of federalism and along with this,
the US-Israel - India relations will be cemented and concreted.
(Anyways, there are reasons for Malyalees to rejoice)

However, our only hope is Rahul Gandhi. I am sure he will think of
Kalavathi and sasikala of Vidhraba and will have sweet memories of
sleeping in Dalit huts of UP.

Yrday in TV, I heard Lord Meghanad Desai saying that: Now this
"decisive" mandate proves the resurgence of national parties and end
of regionalism and also added that bi-polar politcs of Congress and
BJP-led front is going to stay long. Such essentalist readings may be
reelavnt to UK and I think Lord still is a UK citizen and only
vaccationing in India!!

PS: 1. a report in Mangalam says the CPI is going to loose its status
as national party.

2. What makes one wonder looking at the poll results is how did
O.Rajettan fialed to secure a majority in this great constituency of
TVPM with a spledid of lineage of aristocracy and a similar mind-set.


On Sat, May 16, 2009 at 9:35 PM, Bobby Kunhu <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> aha - you could not even wait for the election results to be announced :P
> Warmly
> Bobby Kunhu http://community.eldis.org/myshkin/Blog/
>
>
> 2009/5/16 Santhakumar Velappan Nair <[email protected]>
>>
>> That cannot be revealed my dear...obviously sponsored by some imperialist 
>> agencies...
>>
>> On Sat, May 16, 2009 at 5:59 PM, Bobby Kunhu <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>> :)
>>> So where are you celebrating the victory?
>>> Bobby Kunhu http://community.eldis.org/myshkin/Blog/
>>>
>>>
>>> 2009/5/16 Santhakumar Velappan Nair <[email protected]>
>>>>
>>>> Bobby, I am enjoying what is happening in india, and sitting in an unusual 
>>>> place of the world.
>>>>
>>>> On Sat, May 16, 2009 at 5:10 PM, Bobby Kunhu <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>> and as an intuitive afterthought, my sense is that rahul Gandhi (despite 
>>>>> all my reservations about him) might be a better bet and connected with 
>>>>> the indian social/developmental reality than Dr. Singh and his chicago 
>>>>> schhol mates!!! :)
>>>>> I also forgot to congratulate Santha on the realisation of his 
>>>>> wishlist!!!!
>>>>> Warmly
>>>>> Bobby Kunhu http://community.eldis.org/myshkin/Blog/
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> 2009/5/16 Bobby Kunhu <[email protected]>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> A qucik response to a rather important concern that Anivar raised- and 
>>>>>> the concern is that I do not think the form of the core planning team is 
>>>>>> going to change much and that the "Growth" Pundits - who are rather 
>>>>>> sceptical and often condescending to the democratic norms - would rule 
>>>>>> the roost in both the finance ministry and planning commission (I mean M 
>>>>>> S Ahluwalia and gang). this will be a cause for concern as the effects 
>>>>>> of the recession are just translating insofar as india is concerned, 
>>>>>> there will be no pressure from the left this time around (the left 
>>>>>> played a large role in NREGA formulation). If the congress plays to the 
>>>>>> growth pundit gallery - it will be disastrous both for the nation and 
>>>>>> itself. BJP is still licking its shining india wounds
>>>>>> Bobby Kunhu http://community.eldis.org/myshkin/Blog/
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> 2009/5/16 Anivar Aravind <[email protected]>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> A passing Comment
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Alright.. if things hold, its back to the board for our political 
>>>>>>> scientists. The Congress is back to being the biggest (by a margin) 
>>>>>>> party in the country and its back to the 1980s.
>>>>>>> Far from it, this is a not a vote for reforms...Not at all. that would 
>>>>>>> be complete mis-reading of the mandate. the Congress went to town 
>>>>>>> asking for a mandate on its NREGA, Bharat Nirman performance. They 
>>>>>>> didn't mention Growth or Reform anywhere.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> It was the reform lobby which was skeptical about the NREGA and even 
>>>>>>> wanted to scuttle it. And by all means, the NREGA is a programme that 
>>>>>>> is a deviation from neoliberalism. It eats into the FRBM, it is a 
>>>>>>> spending programme used both for stimulus and for demand driving, and 
>>>>>>> most importantly it is rural (as of now). In other words, it is 
>>>>>>> anti-reform.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Manmohan Singh didn't contest elections. Chidambaram is trailing (as of 
>>>>>>> now) in Sivaganga. So, I hope the Congress can get the story
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Anivar
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> --
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> "The resources of the world are for us all to share. Let us affirm our 
>>>>>>> faith in that common cause" - Dr. Ilina Sen
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> --
>>>>> V. Santhakumar
>>>>> Associate Professor
>>>>> Centre for Development Studies
>>>>> Trivandrum 695011
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> --
>>> V. Santhakumar
>>> Associate Professor
>>> Centre for Development Studies
>>> Trivandrum 695011
>>>
>>>
>
> >



-- 
"The resources of the world are for us all to share. Let us affirm our
faith in that common cause" - Dr. Ilina Sen

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