*Mr. D. Prasad, * ** *You taking out just a figure from the article of Vaikom Viswan and defining it. As you said, a small swing can change the victory to one side and that is what happened here. *
*Of course, there was erosion in CPI-M vote base (internal problems and divisions are the problem) and some LDF partners also vote against them to an extend. * **** *A large scale voters from BJP did vote for Congress * *(comparing with last time it is above 6 % - but that calculation is not right because last time, BJP got more percentage due to personal votes of Rajagopal and PC thomas of IFDP - Anyway we can say approximately they lost between 4-5 % votes). * ** *Actually PDP do not have much vote share - now their vote bank is actually with NDF and NDF supported UDF. * *present NDF cadres are once PDP/ISS workers. * ** *A section of people did not vote for LDF due to different reasons (They did not beleive in Third front, They didn't like Adwani and Modi and for them Dr.Manmohan was a better choice) * *Minorities (A section of muslims and christians) worked against LDF* *But even after all these problems worked against CPI-M (LDF), if there is only 2 lacks vote they lost from last time, sure, CPI-M still remains STRONG. * ** *regards * *Rasheed * ** On Sun, May 24, 2009 at 6:44 PM, damodar prasad <[email protected]>wrote: > If any one has missed reading this Devika's witty and sharp take on > people's verdict for the 2009 LS elections, pls. follow the link: > http://kafila.org/2009/05/19/vaikom-viswan-and-little-bo-peep/#more-2607 > > a precise excerpt from this is as follows: > > The CPM leadership doesn’t seemed to have learned anything from this > thrashing, though. The LDF convenor, Vaikom Viswan, observes that the CPM’s > share of the votes have reduced only by 2,28,638 and therefore its mass base > remains intact. Well, we would like to remind him that there is little > consolation to be drawn from this. It is a well-known fact that the LDF and > the UDF are more or less equally matched and a small swing can alter the > balance. This time the swing was certainly not small, compared with earlier > elections, which is something the leaders of the CPM have admitted.And > besides, the erosion of support was most evident in CPM’s core areas of > strength; therefore it is not as if the non-political strata decided to vote > UDF. Voters in core areas usually are loyal, while the support received in > non-core areas may be driven by other, more local calculations. This is > evident to the most ordinary voter but Vaikom Viswan and his peers are so > used to thinking that the rest of us Malayalees are morons — and hence > continues dish out such weak argument. > > > > > > --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Green Youth Movement" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/greenyouth?hl=en-GB -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
