http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/aug/24/revolution-1989-1979

....The 21st-century revolution pits the educated, western-oriented,
socially liberal, economically neoliberal urban middle class against the
economically egalitarian, socially traditionalist rural poor. The green
armbanded protesters – again, on the right side – against Ahmadinejad's
election "victory" in Iran were urban and liberal, the president's
supporters rural and conservative. As the BBC's John Simpson noted in the
streets of Tehran, the two big differences between the 1979 and 2009
uprisings were the presence of women and the absence of beards.

.....

The sedimentation of this new fault line would be a disaster for the left.
Like the Russian revolution, all of the great progressive campaigns of
reform in the 20th century – from the international campaign for the Spanish
Republic via the American New Deal and the European postwar welfare state to
the American civil rights movement and women's liberation – grew out of an
alliance between the progressive intelligentsia and the poor. That alliance
was betrayed in Russia when Stalin turned on the intelligentsia in the Great
Purge of the 1930s, as Mao Zedong did in the Cultural Revolution of the late
60s.

But today, the alliance is being undermined by the intelligentsia itself,
here as well as elsewhere. Proclaiming old left-right divisions as out of
date, progressive thinkers posit a raft of new fault lines – liberty versus
authority, secularism versus religion, free speech versus censorship,
universalism versus multiculturalism, feminism versus the family – all of
which are cast in forms that put the progressive middle class on one side
and significant sections of the poor on the other. The pro-war belligerati
wrap themselves in borrowed progressive banners and set about cementing a
new barrier between freedom and equality. Abandoned and berated, sections of
the non-white poor turn to religious fundamentalism and parts of the white
poor to the BNP.

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