http://www.eurasiareview.com/28102011-india-decision-to-stop-nuclear-program-may-trigger-problems-analysis/

India Decision To Stop Nuclear Program May Trigger Problems – Analysis*

Written by: Ria Novosti <http://www.eurasiareview.com/author/ria-novosti/>
*October 28, 2011

By Konstantin Bogdanov

India is experiencing a wave of protests against the construction of Russian
nuclear power plants. Public fears, fuelled by the Fukushima accident and
exacerbated by the regional politicians’ populist slogans, may provoke a
chain reaction of problems, hampering power generation development and
depriving the Indian economy of its critical advantages over China.

Russian and Indian nuclear experts cannot meet to discuss the launch of
Kudankulam NPP’s first unit because of public protests, Alexander Glukhov,
the head of the Russian contractor, Atomstroyexport, told the media. This
could set back the deadline for the launch of the plant, which is being
built with Russia’s assistance.

Tensions in Tamil Nadu, where the nuclear power plant is being built,
started growing early this year and resulted in a public blockade of the
construction site by local public activists in the fall. They are protesting
for environmental reasons, and their concerns have only grown following the
Fukushima tragedy in Japan. Unsure of what would happen next, the Indian
regulators are procrastinating with the issue of permits to commission the
power plant.
Delegation Of Responsibility

The situation is further complicated by political maneuvers in Indian
parliament, which has been amending and augmenting the Civil Liability for
Nuclear Damage Bill for years. The current wording includes unusual
provisions, in particular on the division of responsibility for the plant’s
hypothetical operational accident between the operator and the general
contractor. In other words, reactor suppliers will have to pay damages in
case of a nuclear or radiation accident even though they have no connection
to the causes of the accident.

This provision has caused great irritation among foreign operators on the
Indian nuclear market, including Russia, the United States and French group
Areva. The three parties, once bitter rivals on the Indian nuclear market
that is too big to be serviced by any one supplier, are now unanimous in
their refusal to acknowledge additional expenses.

The Indian government is advocating a balanced approach to the bill based on
respect for international law, but the opposition-led parliament is unlikely
to approve amendments beneficial for foreign businesses.

Indians have been eco-conscious since one of the world’s worst industrial
accidents at the Union Carbide plant in Bhopal in 1984, when over 3,000
people were killed on the spot and at least 15,000 died from diseases caused
by chemical poisoning.

The Civil Liability for Nuclear Damage Bill may become effective in December
2011.

The Indian government claims that the bill will not affect nuclear power
plant projects, but the international nuclear businesses have hinted broadly
that India will have to pay for its decision – construction costs will have
to be raised to include payment for potential damage.

“To a large extent it’ll come down to individual companies making individual
decisions – to evaluate the risks in this market and whether they want to be
in this market or not,” The Wall Street Journal quotes Vijay Sazawal,
director of government programs at the U.S. Enrichment Corp. and also a
member of the U.S. Civil Nuclear Trade Advisory Committee.
Selective Anti-Nuclear Panic

Anti-nuclear sentiments started growing in India in spring 2011, when the
world was shocked by reports from the Japanese Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant
damaged by a tsunami after a destructive earthquake. At that time, people in
Kudankulam elected a new mayor, who promised to stop the construction of the
nuclear plant.

Tensions came to a head in the fall, when protesters barricaded the
construction site and local workers started leaving the unfinished plant.
This has had a sobering effect, because local residents’ incomes from
renting out housing and selling basic necessities to the plant’s workers
have plummeted over the past few months.

It is interesting that public wrath in Tamil Nadu is highly selective:
people are barricading the unfinished Kudankulam power plant but feel quite
indifferent about the Madras Atomic Power Station (MAPS), which has been in
operation in Kalpakkam since the mid-1980s.

The MAPS has two heavy-water CANDU type reactors that are not as safe as
Russia’s AES-92 pressurized light water reactors built for Kudankulam. It
appears that people in Kalpakkam have grown used to the benefits of having a
nuclear power plant, the taxes it pays to the local budget and its positive
influence on the region’s economy.

Nevertheless, anti-nuclear protests in India have almost provoked a chain
reaction. The authorities of West Bengal, which Communists had governed for
more than three decades until May 2011, have been fighting against the
Russian nuclear project in Haripur since 2009. According to the latest media
reports, the West Bengal government has announced that it will not allow the
construction of nuclear power plants in the province.
Everyone Will Suffer, But To A Different Degree

The local authorities, which are using populist slogans to stop the
construction of nuclear plants, are depriving municipal governments of
potential tax revenues and stunting economic growth in their far from rich
provinces.

Refusal to modernize the nuclear industry could have far-reaching
consequences for the whole of India, such as growing system-wide
disproportions in the economy due to the hampered development of the power
industry.

The world’s nuclear corporations will lose a prized client. What other
country will have enough funds to build several dozen power units? But a
much stronger blow will be delivered to India’s interests.

India has set the goal of priority industrial development, in particular in
high-tech sectors, which is impossible without modern power generation,
especially amid growing rivalry with China for influence in South Asia and
in the global division of labor.

*The views expressed in this article are the author’s and may not
necessarily represent those of RIA Novosti.*
*About the author:*

*Ria Novosti <http://www.eurasiareview.com/author/ria-novosti/>*

RIA Novosti is Russia's leading news agency in terms of multimedia
technologies, website audience reach and quoting by the Russian media.

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