http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/opinion/edit-page/Modis-Himalayan-miracle/articleshow/20765218.cms

Modi’s Himalayan miracleAbheek Barman | Jun 26, 2013, 12.00 AM IST

On the evening of Friday, June 21, as India reeled from the shock of the
calamity in Uttarakhand<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Uttarakhand>
and Himachal Pradesh<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Himachal-Pradesh>,
Gujarat chief ministerNarendra
Modi<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Narendra-Modi> landed
up in Dehradun <http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Dehradun> with a
handful of officers. By Sunday, it was claimed that he had rescued 15,000
stranded Gujaratis from the wreckage of Uttarakhand and sent these grateful
folks back home.


This miracle was played up in media. But how was this feat achieved in a
day or so, when India's entire military establishment has struggled to
rescue around 40,000 people over 10 days?

Reports say that Modi pulled off this coup with a fleet of 80 Innovas. How
did these cars manage to reach places like Kedarnath, across roads that
have been washed away, over landslides that have wrecked most access
routes?

But let us assume Modi's Innovas had wings as well as helicopter rotors.
Including the driver, an
Innova<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Innova> is
designed to carry seven people. In a tough situation, assume you could pack
nine passengers into each car. In that case, a convoy of 80 Innovas could
ferry 720 people down the mountains to Dehradun at one go. To get 15,000
people down, the convoy would need to make 21 round trips.

The distance between Dehradun and
Kedarnath<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Kedarnath> is
221 km. So 21 trips up and down would mean that each Innova would have to
travel nearly 9,300 km.

It takes longer to travel in the
hills<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/The-Hills> than
in the plains. So, assuming an average speed of 40 km per hour, it would
take 233 hours of driving to pull off the feat.

This assumes non-stop driving, without a second's rest to identify the
Gujaratis to be rescued and keeping the
rest<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/The-Rest-(musician)> of
the distressed folk at bay, or any time to load and unload the vehicles.
And forget about any downtime for the gallant rescuers.

That is nearly 10 days of miraculous work. And Modi pulled it off in a day.

Actually, in less than a day: a breathless media reported that by Saturday,
25 luxury buses had brought a group of Gujaratis back to Delhi. For some
reason, four Boeing <http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Boeing> aircraft
also idled in some undisclosed place nearby.

Modi, ever modest, himself did not make the claim of rescuing 15,000
Gujaratis from Himalayan disaster in a day. It was likely dumped on a
gullible media by his public relations agency, an American outfit called
Apco Worldwide. In 2007, Apco was hired, ostensibly to boost the VibrantGujarat
summits, but to actually burnish Modi's image, for $25,000 a month.

He is in good company. Apco has worked for the dictator of Kazakhstan,
Nursultan Nazarbaev, the governments of Malaysia and Israel and the
American tobacco lobby.

For the latter, it set up front organisations to rubbish evidence which
proved that tobacco causes cancer. Apco has also worked for pariah regimes
like Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan and Nigerian strongman Sani Abacha.

Its powerful advisory council includes former Israeli diplomats Itamar
Rabinovich <http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Itamar-Rabinovich> and
Shimon Stein, as well as Doron Bergerbest-Eilon, who was the highest ranked
officer in the Israel security agency.

Apco is credited with Modi's makeover and his holographic campaigns. Before
Apco, VibrantGujarat was a tame affair: the first three summits generated
investment promi-ses between $14 billion and $150 billion. After Apco, in
2009 and 2011, these jumped to $253 billion and $450 billion.

Apco worked tirelessly to rope in investor interest from America. It also
lobbied with politicians in Washington to remove the ban on Modi travelling
to the US. The ban was imposed after
themassacre<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Massacre-(musician)>
of
Muslims in Gujarat as Modi presided over the state in 2002. So far, Apco
hasn't succeeded in getting Modi a US visa.

And the Vibrant Gujarat numbers are all hot air. An analysis by my
colleague Kingshuk Nag in his biography of Modi shows that only 3.2% of the
2009 number has materialised on the ground. Of the 2011 figure, a mere 0.5%
is for real.

But Modi does not need Apco to lie. In 2005 he announced that state-owned
company GSPC <http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/GSPC> had made
India's biggest gas discovery: 20 trillion cubic feet (tcf) valued at more
than $50 billion, off Andhra Pradesh. This was 40% more than what Reliance
had found in the same area. Modi then egged on GSPC to grab projects in
Egypt, Yemen and Australia.

Many suspected that Modi's gas claim was hot air, but in the absence of
evidence few could say so. But by 2012, the Centre's directorate general of
hydrocarbons (DGH), which analyses and certifies all energy finds, said
that it could vouch for only a tenth of Modi's claim: there was only 2 tcf
of gas. And that too in areas tough to exploit.

Meanwhile, under Modi's rousing leadership, GSPC had poured in nearly $2
billion into exploration, much of it raised as debt based on its supposed
20 tcf gas find. When the gas vanished, GSPC went bust.

To rescue it, Modi asked the company to venture out into more areas, like
city gas distribution. There have been problems with these businesses as
well, including a very dubious transaction with a company in Barbados.

In every area the Modi narrative is a tale of bluster and bluff. But his
Himalayan miracle is a barefaced, cynical lie.


-- 
Peace Is Doable

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