[Putin asking the Russian parliament to revoke the right granted earlier on
March 1 last to intervene militarily in Ukraine to protect Russian
interests in Ukraine is a sort of first definitive public statement, though
only sort of, to the effect that Putin is abandoning the option of direct
military intervention in Ukraine, on the pretext of preventing massacre of
Russian-speakers or whatever, in the immediate future.
Earlier, of course, Moscow had eventually demobilised its forces,
presumably in tens of thousands, amassed on the Ukraine border. (That was
only half a statement.) But subsequent to that it asked its forces in
Siberia, the Urals and beyond (far from Ukraine) to be on combat-ready
alert. (See: <http://rt.com/news/167496-putin-central-military-drills/>.)
That sent out a contradictory signal.

The rulers in Kiev, and their international backers - the US/NATO, allege
that apart from moral support Russia is regularly supplying both fighters
and armaments, including tanks, to the rebels in Ukraine from across the
border, which Moscow, of course, denies.
The act of revoking the right to militarily intervene will have no direct
bearing on that.
But it'll definitely dim the hopes, if any still persisting, of the rebels
that Russia would resort to direct military intervention in their favour if
the situation turns bloody enough.
That may, to an extent, affect their morale despite Putin continuing to
make contradictory noises.

But the situation in the troubled regions is, nevertheless, sure to remain
troubled, at least for quite a while.]

I/II.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/06/24/us-ukraine-crisis-putin-idUSKBN0EZ0Y120140624

Russia's Putin renounces right to send troops to Ukraine

BY KEVIN LIFFEY AND ALEXEI ANISHCHUK

MOSCOW/VIENNA Tue Jun 24, 2014 7:20pm EDT

(Reuters) - President Vladimir Putin asked Russia's upper house on Tuesday
to revoke the right it had granted him to order a military intervention in
Ukraine in defence of Russian-speakers there.

Minutes before he spoke, Kiev said pro-Russian rebels in east Ukraine had
shot down a military helicopter, most likely killing all nine on board. It
was the most serious breach of a temporary ceasefire agreed in talks
between government and rebels less than 24 hours earlier. (Full Story)

Putin's move received a cautious welcome in the West as a sign Moscow was
ready to help engineer a settlement in Ukraine's largely Russian-speaking
east, where a pro-Russian uprising against Kiev began in April.

Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko called it a "first practical step"
following Putin's statement of support last weekend for Poroshenko's peace
plan for eastern Ukraine.

But later he told security chiefs to "open fire without hesitation" if
government forces came under attack, and "did not rule out bringing the
ceasefire regime to an early end" if rebels continued to breach it, his
press service said.

Putin himself said he now expected Ukraine to begin talks on guaranteeing
the rights of its Russian-speaking minority, which Russia would continue to
defend.

"It is not enough to announce a ceasefire," he told reporters on a visit to
Vienna. "A substantive discussion of the essence of the problems is
essential."

In the March 1 resolution, the Federation Council had granted Putin the
right to "use the Russian Federation's Armed Forces on the territory of
Ukraine until the social and political situation in that country
normalises".

That resolution, together with Russia's March annexation of Crimea from
Ukraine, helped push East-West relations to their lowest ebb since the Cold
War and led the United States and Europe to impose sanctions on Moscow.

The Federation Council was due to discuss the reversal requested by Putin
on Wednesday and expected to approve it.

NATO spokeswoman Oana Lungescu said: "We expect Russia to withdraw its
troops and military infrastructure from the Ukrainian border, end its
support for armed separatist groups, and the flow of weapons and
mercenaries across its border, as well as denounce publicly separatist
violence in Ukraine."

EU SANCTIONS

A spokeswoman for EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton declined comment
when asked whether Putin's step would reduce the likelihood of tougher
sanctions being agreed at an EU summit in Brussels on Friday.

The White House welcomed Putin's backing for the ceasefire, but said there
must be "tangible actions" to defuse the crisis.

U.S. Vice President Joe Biden spoke with Poroshenko on Tuesday and
"underscored the importance of having monitors in place to verify
violations of the ceasefire, as well as the need to stop the supply of
weapons and militants from across the border," the White House said.

Even the limited sanctions already imposed by Washington and the EU have
chilled investor sentiment in Russia at a time when its economy is already
on the brink of recession.

However, signs that the crisis in eastern Ukraine may be easing have helped
markets regain ground. News of Putin's decision on Tuesday pushed the
rouble-based MICEX .MCX up 2.2 percent to its highest level since November,
and the dollar-denominated RTS index .IRTS up 3.8 percent to its highest
close since January.

At 1730 GMT, the rouble RUB= was up 0.9 percent against the dollar, which
fell below 34 roubles for the first time since January.

There was no word on the progress of peace talks, at which Russia and the
Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe are represented
alongside rebel leaders and Kiev's representative, former president Leonid
Kuchma.

But it was clear that the ceasefire, due to expire on Friday morning, was
under heavy strain.

The Ukrainian helicopter downed near the rebel stronghold of Slaviansk was
carrying technicians who were installing equipment to monitor violations of
the peace plan, the government said.

Igor Strelkov, the top rebel commander in Slaviansk, was quoted on a rebel
Facebook page as saying: "Talks with them (the Kiev government) are
possible only from a position of strength."

Elsewhere, a witness said rebels had opened fire on two Ukrainian armoured
personnel carriers leaving Donetsk airport, which is under government
control. Kiev said three servicemen were killed in rebel attacks on
military posts and checkpoints. But rebels accused government forces of
firing first.

Putin himself appeared to cast doubt on a central element of Poroshenko's
plan: that rebels should lay down their weapons.

He said it was "pointless" to demand this when far-right militants who had
helped to topple Moscow-backed president Viktor Yanukovich in February had
not been disarmed by Kiev.

Russia itself has already pulled back tens of thousands of troops it had
moved close to the border earlier in the crisis.

Those troops had also provided an unspoken threat to support the
well-equipped but sometimes disunited rebels in eastern Ukraine against
government forces trying to wrest back the towns and administration
buildings they had seized.

Like many of eastern Ukraine's Russian speakers, Moscow was infuriated by
the fall of Yanukovich after he pulled out of an association agreement with
the EU in favour of closer relations with Moscow, Kiev's former master
within the old Soviet Union.

Russia denies accusations from Kiev and the West that it has helped foment
the separatist unrest and knowingly allowed military equipment to cross
into Ukraine or built up forces along the 1,900-km (1,200-mile) joint
border.

However, the election last month of billionaire businessman Poroshenko as
president appears at least to have reduced fears in Moscow and eastern
Ukraine that the ex-Soviet republic was being run by far-right nationalists
ready to trample over the rights of the large Russian-speaking minority in
the east.

Since then, the rebels have been gradually losing ground in a conflict
where scores have been killed on both sides.

On Friday, Poroshenko is set to sign a free trade agreement with the EU -
the very pact that Yanukovich rejected in January under heavy pressure from
Russia, which had wanted Ukraine's 45 million people to join its own
Eurasian Economic Union.

Russia is certain to respond by raising trade barriers to Ukrainian exports
in order to protect its markets, further fraying an economic relationship
already badly soured by Ukraine's refusal to accept an increase in the
price of Russian gas, imposed after Yanukovich was ousted.

Russia's Gazprom GAZP.MM has now cut off the gas, and its CEO Alexei Miller
repeated on Tuesday in Vienna that Kiev must settle $1.95 billion of its
debt and pay up front for future supplies before the taps can be reopened.

(Additional reporting by Alissa de Carbonnel and Gabriela Baczynska; and
Jeff Mason in Washington; Writing by Kevin Liffey; Editing by Mark Heinrich
and Ken Wills)

II.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-28002993

24 June 2014 Last updated at 21:27

Ukraine army helicopter shot down despite ceasefire
Before Tuesday, the rebels had shot down at least two Ukrainian army
helicopters and a plane

The Ukrainian military says one of its helicopters has been shot down by
pro-Russian rebels in the east, killing all nine people on board.

It says the Mi-8 helicopter was hit by a rocket shortly after take-off
outside the rebel-held city of Sloviansk.

It comes a day after the rebels vowed to observe a ceasefire until Friday,
in response to a government peace plan.

But Ukraine's president said he may end it due to "constant violation by
rebels who are controlled from abroad".

A statement from Petro Poroshenko's office said "the head of state does not
exclude that the ceasefire regime may be revoked ahead of schedule".

In a further sign that the truce might be unravelling, Alexander Borodai,
leader of the self-styled Donetsk People's Republic which is defying the
Ukrainian government, said that in his view there was no point keeping to
the ceasefire.

"I say officially now that there has been no ceasefire and, judging by
everything, there will not be any," he told Russian television .

"In general, all that is left to us is to continue fighting," he added. On
Monday, Mr Borodai said his forces would observe a ceasefire until Friday
morning.

*Analysis: David Stern, BBC News, Kiev*

One would suspect that the Ukrainian government's truce in the east is now
a dead letter. President Petro Poroshenko's plans to respond to the attack
are still unclear, but public outrage alone would seem to demand some sort
of military retaliation.

And if the Ukrainian government uses force, then very likely the Ukrainian
insurgents and their Russian comrades-in-arms will answer in kind. An
escalation seems inevitable.

At this point, it is close to impossible to determine why the militants
decided to carry out such a provocative act, just one day after they
declared a ceasefire. Maybe this was some rogue element. Maybe the
insurgents were never serious. Maybe Moscow told them to do it.

Whatever the reason, the hopes of just 24 hours ago, that Ukraine's east
could finally see peace, if only temporarily, ring especially hollow.
[image: line]

Russian President Vladimir Putin said the truce should be extended to try
to hold "substantive talks" between the Ukrainian government and the
separatists.

The rebels have not commented publicly on the downing of the helicopter.

Before Tuesday, the separatists - who continue to hold towns in the regions
of Donetsk and Luhansk - had shot down at least two Ukrainian army
helicopters and a plane.

'Russian world'

Earlier in the day, President Putin asked the Russian parliament to revoke
the right of military intervention in Ukraine.

The move was aimed at "normalising the situation" in the eastern regions of
Ukraine, Mr Putin's press secretary said.

The parliament authorised Mr Putin to use force in Ukraine on 1 March.

Mr Poroshenko said Mr Putin's latest move was a "first practical step"
towards settling the crisis in the east. It came after Russia had
officially supported Ukraine's peace plan, which included the week-long
ceasefire.

But speaking later during a visit to Austria, Mr Putin stressed that
revoking the right on using force did not mean that Russia would stop
protecting "ethnic Russians in Ukraine... who consider themselves part of
the broad Russian world".

Since March, Moscow has annexed Ukraine's southern Crimea peninsula - a
move condemned by Ukraine and Western leaders.

The takeover achieved with the help of troops without insignia. Despite
initial denials, Mr Putin later admitted that they were Russian armed
forces.

However, Russia denies accusations by Ukraine that Russian troops are
helping and arming the separatists in eastern Ukraine.

-- 
Peace Is Doable

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