[The first thing that needs be kept in mind that exit poll results are just that. These are not official poll outcome. Two, a high voter turn out indicates a wave, but is no indicator of direction.
Two previous comments of this commentator one may find rather relevant in the current context. I. In the days immediately ahead, there will be four main sites of contest: (i) the parliament, which will legislate new laws and deliberate executive actions; (ii) the law courts, where various human/democratic rights and environment related issues, and such other matters, will have to be brought up; (iv) the society in general, including the media and and the streets; and (iv) ***the forthcoming state assembly election[s], the outcomes of which will further help legitimise or delegitimise the Modi regime*** [emphasis now added]. (This was on June 9 last year.) II. Regardless of the merits and demerits of the AAP, a defeat for the BJP in the Delhi election will act as a serious deflator; no doubt about that. Here is an interesting comment by a friend on his FB timeline: "The AAP may not be the answer to the country's problems, but if this party of smoke and mirrors, headed by a fascist-minded megalomaniac with a murderous right-hand man by his side, gets a good kick in the teeth from the AAP, it can only be a positive thing." Amit Shah, in a recent interview (to the Hindu) boastfully claimed that he has conducted 41 elections in his political life and not lost a single one. (See: <http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/bjp-agrees-with-obama-on-religious-freedom-amit-shah/article6845532.ece>.) That (manufactured) air of invincibility, both for him and his mentor Modi, will suffer a serious jolt. That could very well trigger its domino effects. Just not on the people (all along) opposed to it, but also within the party/parivar itself. There are people within who're just waiting for the opportune moment to arrive. That could further accelerate the opposition outside. (That was on Feb. 4 last, three days back.)] I/IV. http://www.indiatimes.com/news/referendum-or-not-how-delhi-polls-will-impact-india-230082.html Referendum Or Not! How Delhi Polls Will Impact India TNN February 7, 2015 NEW DELHI: For all its assertions to the contrary, the outcome in Delhi will have repercussions for BJP and the Modi government. A win will further cement BJP's status as the country's strongest political formation, boost the party's spirits ahead of the coming battles for Bihar and Bengal and give the central government the confidence to attempt difficult reforms. Conversely, an adverse result will re-energize opponents, spur efforts for replicating the "BJP-versus-rest" scenario of the sort that's unrolled in Delhi and be a fi llip for moves to hinder government from implementing its agenda, beginning with enactment of laws to replace the ordinances it has brought. BJP never expected its opponents to help it implement measures it has outlined to push growth, and was determined, as indicated by the promulgation of ordinances and readiness to convene joint sessions of Parliament, to press ahead with its plans despite continuing opposition. AAP's win will insert a new element in play even if does not change the numbers in Parliament. With his penchant for high-wattage fights, Arvind Kejriwal can be a thorn in the Modi government's side. Kejriwal as CM cannot implement quite a few of his promises, like placing Delhi Police under state government control, if the Centre is not on the same page. Some of these demands, for instance statehood for Delhi, may be impossible to meet and can be the ground for political attrition. Chances of AAP, with its savvy for agitations and rallying people around difficult demands, putting the blame on the Centre are high. PM Narendra Modi seemed to acknowledge the risk when he told one of his rallies that the Delhi results might distract his attention from his agenda. ***AAP's victory will revive the appeal of populism just after an election where it had come a cropper and will be a deterrent against prescriptions such as user must pay for utilities. This will be at odds with the known Modi government belief that consumers don't mind paying so long as they are assured of availability and quality of services.*** [Emphasis added.] There'll be consequences for the authority of Modi and party chief Amit Shah. BJP insists it has the upper hand in the battle. But even optimists concede the local unit has been found wanting and made heavy weather of what promised to be a smooth election a couple of months ago. The party's prospects hinge on the estimate that the Modi factor hasn't lost its potency and that Shah's "booth management" efforts will help the party compensate for organizational weaknesses. Both will gain in stature if the party stops short of snatching a defeat from the jaws of a win. But ***a setback will embolden those who've been criticizing the Modi-Shah duopoly furtively. Frustrated aspirations within the party have been anxiously waiting for such an opening.*** [Emphasis added.] II/IV. http://www.thehindu.com/elections/delhi2015/live-delhi-elections-2015/article6868165.ece Updated: February 7, 2015 22:02 IST As it happened: Delhi goes to polls INTERNET DESK Voters stand in long queue to cast their vote at Chhatarpur poling station, in New Delhi on Saturday. Photo: Meeta Ahlawat The Hindu Voters stand in long queue to cast their vote at Chhatarpur poling station, in New Delhi on Saturday. Photo: Meeta Ahlawat Kejriwal after casting his vote at BK Dutt colony in New Delhi. Photo: Prashant Nakwe Kejriwal after casting his vote at BK Dutt colony in New Delhi. Photo: Prashant Nakwe Kiran Bedi after casting her vote. Photo: Meeta Ahlawat The Hindu Kiran Bedi after casting her vote. Photo: Meeta Ahlawat The closely watched Delhi Assembly elections have turned out to be a direct contest between the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Aam Aadmi Party unlike the 2013 elections which threw up a fractured mandate. ***8.15 pm: Final voter turnout is 67.08%, 89 lakh voters exercised their franchise, reports Jaideep Deo Bhanj.*** [Emphasis added.] 7.37 pm: Exit polls put AAP past the halfway mark, with the third giving them 35 out of 70 seats. Read more 7.20 pm: Prime Minister Narendra Modi had a meeting with top BJP leaders and discussed the political situation. Read more 7.17 pm: All exit poll figures are till 3 pm; heavy polling was seen frm 3 to 6 pm: Kiran Bedi, reports Mahim Pratap Singh. 7.16 pm: Kiran Bedi thanks Delhiites for coming out to vote in large numbers. 7.00 pm: 53,000 litres liquor, Rs. 40 lakh cash seized during Delhi polls. Read more 6.47 pm: In view of the heavy voter turnout, the Election Commission extended the voting time beyond the scheduled deadline of 6 pm to enable those in the queues to exercise their franchise. 6.40 pm: 67% turnout as of 6 pm as per Election Commission sources. 6.10 pm: 5.51 pm: Anyone in line at 6 pm will be allowed to vote, EC official says turnout likely to beat record 5.50 pm: Turnout at 5 pm - 63.83% in Central 65.22% in East 58.7% in New Delhi 64.29% in North 66.44% in NE 62.05% in NW 61.7% in South 64% in SW 64.31% in West 5.49 pm: Seelampur tops with highest turnout at 72.71% at 5 pm, Chandni Chowk lowest with 52.51%, reports Jaideep Deo Bhanj 5:15 pm: An old man at a waiting area made at a model polling station at B Block vasant Kunj in New Delhi. Photo: Meeta Ahlawat 4.21 pm: Less than 2 hours to go till polls close, voters still stream in. 4.18 pm: Around 1.3 crore voters had exercised their franchise by 3 p.m, Election Commission officials said. 4.10 pm: President Mukherjee did not cast his vote today, because he is a registered voter in Kolkata not Delhi. 3:12 pm: CEC H.S. Brahma tells The Hindu that polling in Delhi has been smooth so far. Says he expects the polling percentage to be in the range of 70 per cent. According to Mr. Brahma, the campaign has been a tough one - mainly between the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Aam Aadmi Party. 2:52 pm: 2:50 pm: AAP has filed a complaint against BJP's chief ministerial candidate Kiran Bedi with the Election Commission over an alleged violation of the Model Code of Conduct in her constituency, Krishna Nagar. 2:45 pm: People of North East origin show their inked fingers after casting their vote at Lodhi estate. Photo: S.Subramanium 2:35 pm: Trilokpuri, which was hit by riots recently, has registered the second highest voters turnout with 41 23 % votes till 1 pm 2:30 pm: Exuding confidence of a BJP victory, Ms. Bedi appealed to the people to come out in large numbers and vote. Full story 2:15 pm: Mohd. Islam & Harkesh want quotas for visually challenged to translate into actual jobs, reports Jatin Anand 2:00 pm: AAP complains to EC against Kiran Bedi; allege she violated model code of conduct by asking for votes in Krishna Nagar. 1:50 pm: Mr. Saraswat, a voter from Patparganj says he wants a corruption free government, reports Kritika Sharma 1:33 pm: Voter turnout till 1 p.m. is 35.82 % Delhi EC confirms. District-wise split: 38.62% in North East Delhi, 37.14% in North West Delhi, 35.08% in South Delhi, 37.30% in South West Delhi & 35.84% in West Delhi; Central - 32.3 %; 37.41% - in East Delhi; 32.78% in New Delhi 1:24 pm: AAP workers pushed, manhandled my sisters; we'll complain to police and EC: BJP candidate Nupur Sharma 1:15 pm: Trilokpuri, which saw riots in October, 2014, comes out to vote. Photo: Sandeep Saxena 1:06 pm: BJP president Amit Shah to meet leaders, take stock of polling in Delhi elections so far. 1:05 pm: BJP workers are demoralised, they have already given up and know they are losing, says AAP chief Arvind Kejriwal. 12:50 pm: Kritika Sharma reports from Trilokpuri: "We have moved over communal issues. All we want is good infrastructure for our area," say residents. Women in Trilokpuri come out to vote in large numbers. The area had seen riots last year. Photo: Kritika Sharma 12:45 pm: From our reporter Shubhomoy Sikdar: A group of Congress supporters near a polling station in Chandani Chowk believe that rejecting Shahi Imam's support might work against AAP. 12.30 pm: A man wearing AAP sweatshirt and cap was asking voters to vote for AAP; when we confronted him, he started misbehaving: Nupur Sharma 12.23 pm: BJP candidate Nupur Sharma accuses AAP workers of molesting her at India Gate. 12.14 pm: "We have confined ourselves to raising real issues. Unlike other parties, we have not resorted to petty politics," Congress campaign chief Ajay Maken said after casting his vote. Read here 12.10 pm: 12.06 pm: Voters at Laxmi Nagar model polling station. Photo: Sandeep Saxena 12.02 pm: Tilak Vihar says he 'still remembers 1984'. Photo: Jatin Anand 11.52 am: Voter turnout, split district-wise as of 11 a.m.: Central 15.52% East 20.9% New Delhi 18.56% North 17.7% North East 22.5% North West 20.3% South 19.5% South West 21.3% West 19.6% 11.48 am: Voter turnout stands at 19.59% as of 11 a.m. 11.47 am: Voters line up at a Chhattarpur polling station. Photo by Meeta Ahlawat 11.43 am: Ajay Maken after casting his vote. Photo: Shiv Kumar Pushpakar 11.41 am: Highest voter turnout in North East; lowest in Central Delhi constituencies, reports Jaideep Deo Bhanj 11.39 am: Several high profile voters including Vice President Hamid Ansari, Congress president Sonia Gandhi, Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi, Lieutenant Governor Najeeb Jung, besides the chief ministerial candidates of AAP and BJP, Kiran Bedi and Arvind Kejriwal, were among the first to vote at different polling centres. Read here 11.38 am: My comment on support to AAP was twisted by media, says Congress leader and former Delhi CM Sheila Dikshit. 11.34 am: Paramilitary forces march through Krishna Nagar constituency. Photo: Sandeep Saxena 11.31 am: Former AAP leader and now BJP member Shazia Ilmi says no one wants a hung Assembly, and BJP will win with big margin. 11.30 am: Election Commissioner of India Syed Nasim Ahmad Zaidi after casting his vote at Nirman Bhavan. Photo: R.V. Moorthy 11.26 am: Jatin Anand reports: Tara Singh, 90, says he can't recall how many elections he has seen in his lifetime. 11.23 am: A look at the education details of candidates: 11.00 am: Two constituencies, Delhi Cantonment and New Delhi, are using EVMs with voter-verified paper trail facility. 10.55 am: 10.50 am: Kiran Bedi accuses AAP leaders of intimidating voters. Watch video: 10.48 am: 10.45 am: Cops show up to break up a "friendly" faceoff between AAP and BJP supporters in the narrow lanes of Chirag Dilli, reports Sowmiya Ashok 10.42 am: As the number of critical polling booths has increased by 107 since the last Delhi Assembly elections, the number of security personnel has also gone up. Read here 10.40 am: Its utterly disgusting. I have no words: Kiran Bedi reacts to allegations of AAP supporters clashing with BJP workers 10.39 am: Dharampal (71) holding on to at least 10 phones for voters gone into poll booth. 10.28 am: A lot of cash and liquor were distributed in Delhi last evening. Voters know which party did it. Dont vote for such parties: Arvind Kejriwal 10.24 am: The BJP's "social media war room" continued to churn out Facebook messages and tweets on the Delhi polls. Read here 10.22 am: Arvind Kejriwal appeals to Delhiites not to vote for parties which distributed alcohol, money. 10.20 am: Key constituency battle: Chhatarpur awaits better infrastructure CONSTITUENCY WATCH - CHHATARPUR THREE MAIN CONTENDERS IN 2015 BJP: Brahm Tanwar AAP: Kartar Singh Congress: Balram Tanwar Polling percentage in 2013: 66.12% Winner: Brahm Tanwar (BJP) Runner-Up: Balram Tanwar (Congress) Winning Margin: 16,000 Total Electors: 1,80,965 Women: 74,720 Men: 1,06,240 Polling Stations: 143 10.17 am: Over 300 voters above the age of 100 years will be exercising their franchise. Read here 10.16 am: Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi arrives at Aurangzeb lane polling booth to cast his vote. Congress vice president Rahul Gandhi along with New Delhi Assembly candidate Kiran Walia after casting his vote. Photo: V. Sudershan 10.14 am: Voter turnout till 9 a.m. is 5.7% overall, 4.3 in Central, 6.2 in East, 5.1 in New Delhi and 5.6 in North, reports Jaideep Deo Bhanj 10.09 am: Arvind Kejriwal arrives at BK Dutt Colony polling station Media waiting for Arvind Kejriwal to arrive at polling station in Dutt colony. Photo: Prashant Nakwe 10.08 am: The people's will be done, says AICC president Sonia Gandhi after casting her vote at Nirman Bhawan, reports Mahim Pratap Singh 10.04 am: Every election is a challenge. Don't let this opportunity go to bring about a change, says BJP New Delhi candidate Nupur Sharma 9.57 am: The Delhi Assembly polls in numbers. The central figure in the Delhi campaign is AAP chief Arvind Kejriwal, who transformed a loosely knit anti-corruption movement that had social activist Anna Hazare as its mascot, into a thriving political movement and party. Today it appears to be a credible challenger to the Modi juggernaut. 9.55 am: Key constituency battle: Matia Mahal - Where victory symbol changes, not the face CONSTITUENCY WATCH - MATIA MAHAL THREE MAIN CONTENDERS IN 2015 Congress: Shoaib Iqbal AAP: Aasim BJP: Anjuman Dahalwi Polling percentage in 2013: 65.77% Winner: Shoaib Iqbal (JD(U)) Runner-Up: Mirza Javed Ali (Congress) Winning Margin: 2891 Total Electors: 1,09,130 Women: 50947 Men: 58174 Polling Stations: 131 9.52 am: Asha Rathore, mother of a 9 month old child, works as a security guard. She will rush back home after her shift to vote. Photo: Sowmiya Ashok 9.50 am: Delhi EC says voter turnout in the first hour of polling is 5.40% 9.48 am: A look at the results of the 2013 elections. Witnessing a triangular electoral contest for the first time, the electorate in Delhi sprung a surprise by throwing a situation where no party was in a clear position to form the government on its own. 9.47 am: Our reporter Sowmiya Ashok tweets out a few pictures of a model polling station. 9.46 am: Some BJP supporters wearing saffron caps told to take them off by cops at BK Dutt Colony polling booth in New Delhi, reports Shubhomoy Sikdar. 9.45 am: Former Delhi Chief Minister Sheila Dixit speaking to the media in front of Nirman Bhavan. Photo: R. V. Moorthy 9.42 am: Arvind Kejriwal is expected to arrive at the polling booth in BK Dutt Colony around 10 a.m. 9: 35 am: When asked to comment on the polls, Congress leader Sonia Gandhi said, "Whatever the people want will happen." Read here 9.30 am: 90 year-old Ramkali arrives to cast her vote. She says she is voting for the 64th time. Photo: Kritika Sharma 9.26 am: AAP Greater Kailash candidate Saurabh Bhardwaj says voters are more vocal this time, people voting for AAP confidently. 9.25 am: Congress leader Ajay Maken: Lets cut across party lines and work for Delhi after the elections. 9.24 am: Kiran Bedi asks Delhiites to vote for a safe city 9.23 am: President Pranab Mukherjee visited the model polling station in Rashtrapati Bhavan. 9.22 am: Key constituency battle: New Delhi - From Congress' safe seat to venue for big fight? CONSTITUENCY WATCH - NEW DELHI THREE MAIN CONTENDERS IN 2015 BJP: Nupur Sharma AAP: Arvind Kejriwal Congress: Kiran Walia Polling percentage in 2013: 66.93% Winner: Arvind Kejriwal (AAP) Runner-Up: Sheila Dixit(Congress) Winning Margin: 25,000 Total Electors: 1,36,189 Women: 61,110 Men: 75,071 Polling Stations: 211 9.15 am: Union Minister Harsh Vardhan says he is confident of BJP's win this election. "CM will be from Krishna Nagar only," he says, reports Kritika Sharma. 9.10 am: Former CM Shiela Dikshit waiting for Sonia Gandhi at the Nirman Bhavan. Photo: R.V. Moorthy 9.05 am: A wheelchair bound voter outside a polling booth. Photo: V. Sudershan 9.05 am: Kiran Bedi after casting her vote: Today is a historic day for Delhiites, said Kiran Bedi. Read here 9.00 am: Key constituency battle: Ballimaran - Can Congress continue its reign? CONSTITUENCY WATCH - BALLIMARAN THREE MAIN CONTENDERS IN 2015 Congress: Haroon Yusuf BJP: Shyam Lal Morwal AAP: Imraan Polling percentage in 2013: 67.47% Winner: Haroon Yusuf (Congress) Runner-Up: Moti Lal Sodhi (BJP) Winning Margin: 8,093 votes Total Electors: 1,37,574 Women: 58,076 Men: 73,491 Polling Stations: 158 8.55 am: From our reporter, Mahim Pratap Singh: 8.45 am: Kiran Bedi climbs atop her car outside the polling station. Photo: Akanksha Jain 8.44 am: Ms. Bedi's sister Anu, and former mayor Arti Mehra are also with her. 8.40 am: From our reporter Pheroze Vincent: 8.38 am: Congress candidate from G.K. Sharmistha Mukherjee says she's confident of winning, reports Sowmiya Ashok. 8: 36 am: Arvind Kejriwal urged the voters in Delhi to cast their ballot in the assembly election. Read here 8.35 am: Here is where Arvind Kejriwal will vote at B K Dutt Colony. Photo: Shanker Chakravarty 8.30 am: Nirman Bhawan polling station, where Sonia Gandhi will cast her vote. Photo: R.V. Moorthy 8.30 am: Key constituency battle: Mangolpuri - Will 'giant killer' Rakhi strike again? CONSTITUENCY WATCH - MANGOLPURI THREE MAIN CONTENDERS IN 2015 BJP: Surijeet Kumar AAP: Rakhi Birla Congress: Raj Kumar Chauhan Polling percentage in 2013: 69.73% Winner: Rakhi Birla (AAP) Runner-Up: Raj Kumar Chauhan (Congress) Winning Margin: 10,585 Total Electors: 1,65,962 Women: 76,664 Men: 89,291 Polling Stations: 151 8.28 am: From our reporter Sowmiya Ashok: Lots of senior citizens out to cast their vote bright and early some with the help of walking sticks and others after a brisk morning walk! 8.15 am: Delhiites after casting their votes. 8.11 am Congress' GK candidate Sharmishta Mukherjee out to cast her vote. Photo: Sowmiya Ashok. After casting her vote, Sharmishta Mukherjee plans to visit all polling booths in the GK constituency to support partyworkers. KEY CANDIDATES: CONGRESS Ajay Maken Sadar Bazar Pitted against Somdutt (AAP), Praveen Jain (BJP). Read more Haroon Yusuf Ballimaran Pitted against Imran Hussain (AAP), Shyam Lal Morwal (BJP). Read more Shoaib Iqbal Matia Mahal Pitted against Shakeel Anjum Delhvi (BJP), Asim Ahmed Khan (AAP). Read more Kiran Walia New Delhi Pitted against Arvind Kejriwal (AAP), Nupur Sharma (BJP). Read more Sharmishtha Mukherjee Greater Kailash Pitted against Saurabh Bharadwaj (AAP), Rakesh Gulia (BJP). Read more 8.08 am: Here's what some of our readers said about the Delhi Elections over a live chat with our correspondents and political editors. Read here 8.00 am: BJP chief ministerial candidate Kiran Bedi casts her vote. Kiran Bedi prays before casting her vote. Photo: Sushil Kumar Verma 7.55 am: The central figure in the Delhi campaign is AAP chief Arvind Kejriwal, who transformed a loosely knit anti-corruption movement that had social activist Anna Hazare as its mascot, into a thriving political movement and party. Today it appears to be a credible challenger to the Modi juggernaut. Read Editorial 7.53 am: For the first time, voters on Saturday's Delhi Assembly election will be inked by using a brush and not a stick. Delhi Chief Electoral Officer Chandra Bhushan Kumar said on Thursday that ink applied with a brush dries much faster. Read here 7.50 am: Policewoman stationed outside a polling station where Kiran Bedi is expected to cast her vote. Photo: Meeta Ahlawat 7.46 am: A scene outside a polling station in Delhi before sunrise. Photo: Sandeep Saxena 7.45 am: Delhi Vidhan Sabha was spruced up for a new era. Read here 7.43 am: Bookmakers, punters and gamblers in the Capital are putting their money on a clean sweep by the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) even as intelligence agencies insisted that the AAP and the BJP were still neck and neck in the race for the Delhi Assembly. Read here KEY CANDIDATES: BJP Kiran Bedi Krishna Nagar Pitted against Bansi Lal (Congress), S.K. Bagga (AAP). Read more Jagdish Mukhi Janak Puri Pitted against Suresh Kumar (Congress), Rajesh Rishi (AAP). Read more Krishna Tirath Patel Nagar (SC) Pitted against Rajesh Lilothia (Congress), Hazari Lal Chauhan (AAP). Read more Vinod Kumar Binni Patpar Ganj Pitted against Anil Kumar (Congress), Manish Sisodia (AAP). Read more Nupur Sharma New Delhi Pitted against Kiran Walia (Congress), Arvind Kejriwal (AAP). Read more 7:42 am: The number of candidates with criminal cases against them rose from 16 per cent in 2013 to 17 per cent this year. The BJP holds the dubious distinction of fielding the most candidates with pending criminal charges, with 39 per cent of its 70 contenders facing cases. The AAP comes in second with 33 per cent and the Congress at third with 30 per cent of their candidates facing charges. 7.40 am: PM Narendra Modi tweeted urging young voters to turn up in large numbers. 7.30 am: "I am confident about the people of Delhi, their judgement. Whoever they vote for, I will request them to vote for the truth" Read here KEY CANDIDATES: CONGRESS Ajay Maken Sadar Bazar Pitted against Somdutt (AAP), Praveen Jain (BJP). Read more Haroon Yusuf Ballimaran Pitted against Imran Hussain (AAP), Shyam Lal Morwal (BJP). Read more Shoaib Iqbal Matia Mahal Pitted against Shakeel Anjum Delhvi (BJP), Asim Ahmed Khan (AAP). Read more Kiran Walia New Delhi Pitted against Arvind Kejriwal (AAP), Nupur Sharma (BJP). Read more Sharmishtha Mukherjee Greater Kailash Pitted against Saurabh Bharadwaj (AAP), Rakesh Gulia (BJP). Read more 7.27 am: Delhi Jama Masjid Shahi Imam Syed Ahmed Bukhari's appeal to Muslims on Friday to vote for the Aam Aadmi Party triggered a controversy with the party turning down the support and the BJP warning against "fatwa politics." Read here 7.25 am: A day ahead of voting for the 70 Assembly seats, Union Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said the AAP was more "comfortable on the streets" than in the Secretariat. The 49 days of AAP rule in 2013-14 were "nightmarish," he said at a press conference. Read here 7.20 am: The number of candidates with criminal cases against them rose from 16 per cent in 2013 to 17 per cent this year. Those with serious charges against them, however, have gone down from 12 per cent to 11 per cent. As per ADR, serious charges include electoral offences, murder, assault and crimes against women. Read here A look at some of the pictures that captured the mood in the capital ahead of the polls. 7.15 am: As the short, but heated and occasionally unsavoury campaign for the Delhi Assembly elections concluded, the Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) appeared to have mounted a strong challenge to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which seemed to be on a winning streak in the beginning. Read here: Breaking down the poll list: financial assets Keywords: Delhi Assembly polls, Delhi polls, Arvind Kejriwal, AAP, BJP, Delhi campaigns III/IV. http://www.dnaindia.com/india/report-delhi-polls-what-the-surveys-and-polls-say-2058866 Delhi polls: Who is going to win? What the 5 surveys say Saturday, 7 February 2015 - 2:35pm IST | Place: Mumbai | Agency: dna webdesk Shubhashish 14 Shares Facebook Twitter Google+ Reddit Comments Delhi, with a total of 13 million registered voters has gone to polls on Saturday to select a new government. 7% votes have already been cast. In 2013, Delhi saw a record 66.5% votes being cast. File Photo dna Research & Archives Delhi, with a total of 13 million registered voters has gone to polls on Saturday to select a new government. 7% votes have already been cast. In 2013, Delhi saw a record 66.5% votes being cast. As the political parties across the spectrum and analysts expect Delhi to come out in full force and break the record of 2013, dna brings you an outline of what the opinion polls have predicted so far. Zee Media - Taleem Research Foundation As per the latest survey of Zee Media together with Taleem Research Foundation, BJP is expected to get 39.7% votes while AAP would bag 46%. Congress, according to the poll stands to gain 14.3% votes from the people of Delhi. India Today-Cicero Survey This survey predicted AAP to get anywhere between 38 to 46 seats in the 70-seat Delhi Assembly as against 28 seats in the 2013 polls. The survey said that BJP and Congress is likely to get 19 to 25 and 3 to 7 seats, respectively, this time around. ABP-Nielsen survey The ABP-Nielsen survey said that AAP will be the biggest party with 35 seats followed by BJP at 29 and Congress at 6 seats. If this survey is to be believed then AAP will fall short of majority by just one seat. Elections.In This website tracking the Delhi elections has predicted that AAP will get anywhere between 30 to 34 seats while BJP is expected to garner a similar number. Out of all the polls, Elections.In is most optimistic about Congress and has predicted the party to get between 6 to 10 seats. HT-C Fore survey This survey gives the best results for AAP out of all other surveys and polls. It said that AAP is to get between 36-41 seats, which means a clear majority. BJP, it said, will get 27 to 32 seats while Congress is expected to come in third with 2 to 7 seats. A clear trend among all the above polls and surveys is that AAP is going to be the largest party to emerge out these Delhi elections. However, two polls have predicted absolute majority for AAP while two say that it will be short by a seat or two. Only the best case scenario in Zee Media and Taleem Foundation Research survey the BJP gets the majority of 36 seats. IV. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/Delhi-assembly-elections-2015-Exit-poll-results/liveblog/46156815.cms Delhi voted for the 70-seat assembly today. A record 67.21% voters exercised their franchise. Stay tuned for the exit poll results here. 2 New Updates 11:10 PM BJP is worried that if Modi juggernaut stops, they will find it difficult to restart it: Raghav Chadha, AAP 10:52 PM According to Today's Chanakya, this is how different castes voted in the Delhi poll. 10:37 PM It's a challenge for Modi to counter AAP: Ashish Khetan 10:35 PM We are extremely disappointed as a party: Congress leader Sanjay Jha 10:25 PM Arvind Kejriwal thanks Delhi voters 09:56 PM Exit polls snapshot 09:25 PM AAP's an idea which has come to stay: AAP's Ashish Khetan 09:17 PM Delhi assembly elections 2015: Exit poll results predict win for Kejriwal's AAP 09:16 PM Delhi exit poll results in figures and graphics 08:40 PM My gratitude to Delhiites for their support: Kejriwal 08:34 PM Will Delhi elections be a game changer? 08:28 PM Don't take exit polls seriously: Kiran Bedi 08:08 PM AAP to get around 48 seats, remaining 22 seats for BJP: Chanakya exit poll 07:53 PM AAP has gained both at the expense of BJP and Congress: Neerja Chowdhury, political commentator 07:45 PM My soul still says BJP will win: Kiran Bedi 07:40 PM Chanakya exit poll seat share 07:26 PM AAP to get 39-43 seats, BJP around 25-29 seats: News Nation 07:24 PM AAP to get 39 seats, BJP to come second with 28 seats: ABP-Nielsen 07:18 PM News Nation exit poll: AAP is expected to get 39 to 43 seats, BJP 25 to 29 and Congress 1 to 3 07:17 PM Cicero: AAP is expected to get 39 seats, BJP 26 and Congress 3 07:14 PM Kiran Bedi says exit polls take voting up to 3pm and there was heavy voting till 6pm, so don't take exit polls seriously 07:03 PM AAP to get 31-39 seats, BJP around 27-35 seats: C-Voter 06:59 PM ABP-Nielsen Exit Poll Seat Share 06:37 PM C-Voter: AAP is expected to get 31 to 39 seats; BJP 27 to 35; Congress 2 to 4 Top Stories Live: Delhi assembly election exit poll resultsDelhi exit poll results in figures and graphicsDelhi exit poll results predict win for KejriwalJD(U) denies it has expelled Manjhi from party -- Peace Is Doable -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Green Youth Movement" group. 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