["In reality, ***there was no breakthrough--only sleights-of-hand***
[emphasis added] to substitute administrative memoranda for proper
laws enacted after prolonged legislative debate. This trick, meant to
please US nuclear suppliers at the expense of India's public, falls
foul of Parliament's intent. But it still won't work. Westinghouse and
GE, now owned by Japanese capital, are unlikely to sell reactors to
India so long as an element of liability exists."

For a detailed explication, may look up this commentator's 'The
"Breakthrough" (or "Breakthrough Understanding"?) on Nuclear Agreement
between Modi and Obama: A Reality Check' at
<http://www.sacw.net/article10629.html>.]

http://www.dnaindia.com/analysis/column-four-years-after-fukushima-india-still-flogs-a-nuclear-dead-horse-2069971

 Four years after Fukushima, India still flogs a nuclear dead horse
  Thursday, 19 March 2015 - 5:00am IST | Place: Mumbai | Agency: dna | From
the print edition

   -     <http://www.dnaindia.com/authors/praful-bidwai>

   Praful Bidwai <http://www.dnaindia.com/authors/praful-bidwai>


 It's a telling comment on the state of the Indian media that most of it
blacked out the fourth anniversary of the still-continuing Fukushima
nuclear catastrophe, which fell on March 11. The same media reported
breathlessly on the Indian government's plans to triple domestic nuclear
power-generation capacity by 2020-21, and on the "breakthrough" achieved on
the nuclear liability issue during Barack Obama's recent visit to India.

   -

 It's a telling comment on the state of the Indian media that most of it
blacked out the fourth anniversary of the still-continuing Fukushima
<http://www.dnaindia.com/topic/fukushima> nuclear catastrophe, which fell
on March 11. The same media reported breathlessly on the Indian
government's plans to triple domestic nuclear power-generation capacity by
2020-21, and on the "breakthrough" achieved on the nuclear liability issue
during Barack Obama's recent visit to India.

In reality, there was no breakthrough--only sleights-of-hand to substitute
administrative memoranda for proper laws enacted after prolonged
legislative debate. This trick, meant to please US nuclear suppliers at the
expense of India's public, falls foul of Parliament's intent. But it still
won't work. Westinghouse and GE, now owned by Japanese capital, are
unlikely to sell reactors to India <http://www.dnaindia.com/topic/india> so
long as an element of liability exists.

As for the projected capacity tripling, it belongs to an established
pattern of extravagant promises and poor performance: if the Department of
Atomic Energy's 1967 projection had materialised, India by 2000 would have
had 43,500 MW in capacity; it had 2,700 MW! Tripling assumes that 19
reactors would be started and completed in six years, when average global
construction time is 10 years. Eight reactors are to be imported, an
unlikely prospect given that companies like "nuclear champion" Areva, for
which the Jaitapur site is earmarked, are on bankruptcy's verge.

More important than all this is the Indian policymakers'-and-shapers'
disconnect from reality and obsession with nuclear technology, inherited
from Homi Bhabha. Contrary to pet myths, nuclear power
<http://www.dnaindia.com/topic/nuclear-power> is rapidly shrinking
worldwide. Its share in global power generation has declined from a peak of
17.6 percent in 1996 to 10.8 percent. Its contribution to the world's
commercial primary energy production has also fallen from the 1984 trough
of 4.5 percent to a new low (4.4 percent).

The number of nuclear reactors operating worldwide peaked in 2002 at 438.
It now stands at 390. (
www.worldnuclearreport.org/World-Nuclear-Reactor-Status-as-of.html).
Nuclear has witnessed no major technological innovation for decades: 170
reactors (44 percent of total) are 30 years old/older. But only 65 new
reactors are under construction, four fewer than a year ago. Reactor
capital costs have more than doubled over a decade. Operating costs have
risen 16 percent in three years in some countries, just as renewable
wind-power and solar photovoltaics get cheaper every month.

Fukushima, the world's worst-ever nuclear accident (
http://gu.com/p/46fjj/sbl), has probably sounded the death-knell of the
global nuclear industry. It brutally exposed the unaffordable nature of
nuclear risks even in developed societies, and has made atomic power
publicly unacceptable everywhere. In 2014, no nuclear reactor generated
power in Japan--for the first time since 1963. The Fukushima clean-up will
take four decades and cost $200 billion. No bank or insurance company will
back nuclear--unless crony-capitalist governments subsidise it.

India would commit a historic blunder by expanding nuclear power
generation, given both its generic and domestic safety record (itself
appalling), its high costs--Jaitapur power will cost Rs 15-plus a unit and
bankrupt Maharashtra's consumers--and the popular opposition it faces at
every site. This last is the greatest barrier to nuclear activities
everywhere: it pits the nuclear establishment directly against the public
and raises serious questions regarding the democratic content of
decision-making about energy, people's needs and their right to veto
projects they consider unsafe.

Nuclear has nothing going for it--not when wind and solar energy annually
grow worldwide at 25% and 40%-plus, when their generation costs fall to
those of gas- or coal-based power, and their modularity and flexibility
establish their unparalleled versatility.

*The author is a writer, columnist and social science researcher based in
Delhi*




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Peace Is Doable

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