[To briefly conclude, the crisis of global warming is rendered
qualitatively different and gains even greater urgency if one
considers its impacts on other species. With so much havoc already
occurring across ecosystems at current levels — 0.9 degrees Celsius —
of average warming, one shudders to think what further warming might
imply for an untold number of species in India.
And in turn for us humans — the livelihoods of millions of people
depend on the location and well-being of other species. How marginal
farmers, fisherpeople and other communities in different parts of
India are being affected by impact on other species merits much more
detailed investigation. As the world heads towards the crucial COP21
negotiations in Paris in December, one can only hope that political
elites are keeping an ear out for what other species are trying to
tell us about global warming as they struggle to cope. Life is an
interconnected web, and we ignore what they tell us at our peril.]

http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/these-migrants-need-attention-too/article7735245.ece

Updated: October 8, 2015 02:07 IST
These migrants need attention, too
NAGRAJ ADVE

LOSING GROUND Important fish species such as mackerel have been, over
the years, forced to extend their range owing to global warming.
Picture shows the Indian mackerel. Photo: CC-BY-ND 2.0: BBM EXPLORER;
FLICKR.COM

When species shift northward or higher, not all in an ecosystem may
move, disrupting the interconnectedness that has evolved over decades

Our fish are moving north.

Until about the mid-1980s, important fish species such as mackerel and
oil sardines used to be present no further north than the Malabar
upwelling zone off the Kerala coast. Because of global warming, sea
surface temperatures along India’s west coast rose by 0.6 degrees
Celsius over 1967-2007, according to the Kerala State Action Plan on
Climate Change. Consequently, these fish species began to find the
ocean waters further north also rather salubrious. In the last thirty
years, the northern boundary of their range — the geographical area
over which any given species is to be found — has extended a
staggering 650 kilometres. Having moved beyond Karnataka and
Maharashtra, they can now be found in waters off Gujarat. Off India’s
eastern coast too, the mackerel’s range has shifted north, from the
Andhra coast earlier to waters off parts of West Bengal presently.

This shift in the range of species is also taking place in India’s
rivers. Along the Ganga for instance, four species of warm water fish
can now be found swimming further north, up to Haridwar, as the
average minimum temperatures of river waters in this stretch had
warmed by 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2009 over the 1970-1986 average.

Shifts or extensions in species’ range because of global warming are
occurring with innumerable species in every region, terrain and
ecosystem in India. Rising temperatures are the most obvious cause,
but changing rainfall patterns is also a factor. And in some cases, a
species itself may not need to move but is forced to shift because its
food/prey may have. This phenomenon is not unique to India.
Meta-surveys of published papers covering hundreds of marine and
land-based species the world over have found that, as the globe warms,
three-quarters of all marine species studied have shifted their ranges
poleward, as have half of all land-based species. Many are also
creeping up mountain slopes.

Moving treelines

In fact, as the Indian Himalayas have warmed by 1.5 degrees Celsius on
average in the past few decades, a number of species now find lower
altitudes too warm for comfort. The case of Himachali apples, which no
longer thrive in the lower Kullu Valley, is the most well-known, but
scarcely the only one. The treeline in Uttarakhand has itself moved
higher by over a thousand feet since the 1970s. In the eastern
Himalayas, innumerable species — of reptiles, butterflies, birds,
deer, bees — have all had to shift higher. One study alone from Sikkim
listed twenty-five such species.

Species in India also suffer other effects of global warming: heat
stress, ocean acidification, greater pest attacks, and droughts. But
no phenomenon captures the chaos it is causing in the natural world
more than the changing timing of annual lifecycle events – or
phenology – of plants and animals. Changes studied elsewhere include
the timing of first flowering, bud emergence, birds nesting, the
timings of frogs breeding, etc.

Scientists at the G.B. Pant Institute in Almora examined long-term
records of the flowering dates of rhododendrons since 1893; they are
now flowering earlier by over forty days. They also found a clear
correlation of this phenomenon with rising temperatures. Numerous
species across the Himalayan range have been similarly affected. One
has heard of similar changed timings of flowering or of budburst
happening with mangoes in my village in coastal Karnataka, figs in
Manipal, chironji (Buchanania lanzan) in Orissa, coffee in Kerala. And
as the ocean waters off Chennai have warmed, two fish species have
shifted their annual spawning to the period between October and March.
The other months have become too warm.

Shifts in range or in the timing of lifecycle events are climate
change adaptations by species. But it would be optimistic to assume
they can all cope. When timings change in plants, it creates problems
for other species dependent on them for food. When species shift,
northward or higher, not all species in an ecosystem may move, and the
interconnectedness that has evolved over decades gets disrupted. And
in their sometimes desperate effort to shift, species may be hindered
by urban growth. Or by natural barriers: what happens as sea waters
warm, one expert asked, to the famous Bombay duck (bombil), whose
northern boundary is landlocked Gujarat? Extinctions of
mountain-restricted frogs and toad species due to global warming have
occurred in Europe as they had nowhere higher to climb. A number of
studies in India have voiced concern about extinctions here too in the
not too distant future affecting endemic species and alpine plants at
the top of mountain ecosystems, forest species of pine and sal in
central India, the Nilgiri tahr in the montane forests down South
among others.

***To briefly conclude, the crisis of global warming is rendered
qualitatively different and gains even greater urgency if one
considers its impacts on other species. With so much havoc already
occurring across ecosystems at current levels — 0.9 degrees Celsius —
of average warming, one shudders to think what further warming might
imply for an untold number of species in India.*** [Emphasis added.]

***And in turn for us humans — the livelihoods of millions of people
depend on the location and well-being of other species. How marginal
farmers, fisherpeople and other communities in different parts of
India are being affected by impact on other species merits much more
detailed investigation. As the world heads towards the crucial COP21
negotiations in Paris in December, one can only hope that political
elites are keeping an ear out for what other species are trying to
tell us about global warming as they struggle to cope. Life is an
interconnected web, and we ignore what they tell us at our peril.***
[Emphasis added.]

*(Nagraj Adve is a member of the India Climate Justice collective. He
works and writes on issues related to global warming.
[email protected] )*

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Peace Is Doable

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