[A report by an expert group headed by Suresh Tendulkar, formerly chairman
of Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, now estimates poverty at
37.2 per cent, an increase of roughly 10 per cent over the earlier
estimates of 27.5 per cent in 2004-05. This means, an additional 110
million people have slipped below the poverty line in just four years.

The number of poor is multiplying at a time when the number of billionaires
has also increased. Economic growth however does not reflect the widening
economic disparities. For instance, the economic wealth of mere 30-odd rich
families in India is equivalent to one third of the country’s growth. The
more the wealth accumulating in the hands of these 30 families, the more
will be country’s economic growth. A handful of rich therefore hide the
ugly face of growing poverty.]

http://devinder-sharma.blogspot.in/2009/12/indias-poverty-line-is-actually.html

India's poverty line is actually a Starvation line
<http://devinder-sharma.blogspot.com/2009/12/indias-poverty-line-is-actually.html>
There is something terribly wrong with growth economics. After all, 18
years after India ushered in economic liberalisation, the promise of high
growth to reduce poverty and hunger, has not worked. In fact, it has gone
the other way around: the more the economic growth, the higher is the
resulting poverty.

***A report by an expert group headed by Suresh Tendulkar, formerly chairman
of Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, now estimates poverty at
37.2 per cent, an increase of roughly 10 per cent over the earlier
estimates of 27.5 per cent in 2004-05. This means, an additional 110
million people have slipped below the poverty line in just four
years.*** [Emphasis added.]

***The number of poor is multiplying at a time when the number of billionaires
has also increased. Economic growth however does not reflect the widening
economic disparities. For instance, the economic wealth of mere 30-odd rich
families in India is equivalent to one third of the country’s growth. The
more the wealth accumulating in the hands of these 30 families, the more
will be country’s economic growth. A handful of rich therefore hide the
ugly face of growing poverty.*** [Emphasis added.]

If these 30 families were to migrate to America and Europe, India’s GDP,
which stands at 7.9 per cent at present, will slump to 6 per cent. And if
you were to discount the economic growth resulting from the 6th pay
commission, which is 1.9 per cent of the GDP, India’s actual economic
growth will slump to 4 per cent.

Anyway, the complicated arithmetic hides more than what it reveals. Poverty
estimates were earlier based on nutritional criteria, which means based on
the monthly income required to purchase 2,100 calories in the urban areas
and 2,400 calories in the rural areas. Over the years, this measure came in
for sharp criticism, and finally the Planning Commission suggested a new
estimation methodology based on a new basket of goods that is required to
survive – includes food, fuel, light, clothing and footwear.

Accordingly, the Tendulkar committee has worked out that 41.8 per cent of
the population or approximately 450 million people survive on a monthly per
capita consumption expenditure of Rs 447. In other words, if you break it
down to a daily expenditure, it comes to bare Rs 14.50 paise. I wonder how
can the rural population earning more than Rs 14 and less than say even Rs
25 a day be expected to be over the poverty line. It is quite obvious
therefore that the entire effort is still to hide the poverty under a veil
of complicating figures.

India’s poverty line is actually a euphemism for a starvation line. The
poverty line that is laid out actually becomes the upper limit the
government must pledge to feed. People living below this line constitute
the Below the Poverty Line (BPL) category, for which the government has to
provide a legal guarantee to provide food. It therefore spells out the
government subsidy that is required to distribute food among the poor. More
the poverty line more is the food subsidy.

If the government accepts Tendulkar committee report, the food subsidy bill
will swell to Rs 47,917.62-crore, a steep rise over the earlier subsidy of
Rs 28,890.56-crore required to feed the BPL population with 25 kg of
grains. This is primarily the reason why the government wants to keep the
number of poor low. In other words, the poverty line reflects the number of
people living in acute hunger. It should therefore be called as a
starvation line.

I remember a few years back, a group of charitable organisations in England
presented a list of demands to the government for helping the poor. Unlike
India, where BPL category only receives food rations, and that too severely
short the minimum nutritional requirement for a human body, the first
demand of the UK charities was to provide the poor in England with washing
machines.

India’s poverty estimates therefore are the most stringent in the world. I
don’t know the economic justification of hiding the true figures, but
politically it makes terrible sense. Each government therefore is happy to
gloss over the starvation figures in the guise of poverty estimates. I
wonder when India will include a basket of essential good like footwear,
cycles, sewing machines, solar lamps, water purifiers etc for the poor.
This is simple economics, and not political compulsion as the media will
like us to believe.

Going back to the poverty line arithmetic, the 2007 Arjun Sengupta
committee report (officially the report of the National Commission on
Enterprise in Unorganised Sector), which had estimated that 77 per cent of
the population or 836 million people, were unable to spend more than Rs 20
a day, is probably a correct reflection of the extent of prevailing
poverty.

In addition to monthly income, poverty estimates must incorporate the human
development index as prepared by the United Nations Development Programme.
India should therefore have two ways to classify the poor. The Starvation
line, needing direct cash transfers in addition to the basic requirement of
food supplies. And a Poverty line, needing not only food (but in lesser
quantities) but also other economic necessities like sewing machines,
water-purifiers, pressure cookers etc

*A smaller version of the article appeared in Deccan Herald Dec 22 2009*



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