No one has a clue what kind of president Donald Trump will be

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/no-one-has-a-clue-what-kind-of-president-donald-trump-will-be/2016/11/12/5c05b192-a8e7-11e6-8fc0-7be8f848c492_story.html

President-elect Donald Trump listens as President Obama speaks at a news
conference in the Oval Office on Nov. 10. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington
Post)
By Dan Balz <http://www.washingtonpost.com/people/dan-balz> November 12
at 1:31 PM
<mailto:[email protected]?subject=Reader%20feedback%20for%20%27No%20one%20has%20a%20clue%20what%20kind%20of%20president%20Donald%20Trump%20will%20be%27>


The battle for Donald Trump’s presidency is underway, and there’s
nothing orderly about it. Washington is rife with rumor, speculation and
trepidation. The rest of the country is in the dark and divided. Trump
always said he liked to be unpredictable, and so it is left to others
right now to imagine how all the conflicts, contradictions and questions
will be resolved.

Two signs of the absence of clarity came Friday when Trump reshuffled
the leadership of his transition team, jettisoning New Jersey Gov. Chris
Christie and some of his loyalists and installing Vice President-elect
Mike Pence to run the show. At the same time came suggestions that Trump
might back away from several key campaign pledges, raising once again
the question of what his real convictions are. These might just be
hiccups. If not, look out.

One big question ahead is which Donald Trump will emerge after
Inauguration Day. Will it be the bombastic Trump of the campaign, the
one who insulted his rivals and offended one group of people after
another? Or will it be the more temperate, subdued and
inclusive-sounding Trump who has been on display since the electoral
college vote turned stunningly and decisively in his favor early
Wednesday morning?

Republicans spent months encouraging Trump to “pivot” to a more
presidential style. He resisted, believing that what got him the
nomination and would get him the presidency was to knock his rivals as
hard as possible and to be as provocative as he could at his campaign
rallies. That was the role he adopted to win. No one has a clue as to
how he envisions the role of president — how he will address the
American people, how he will interact with members of Congress, how he
will deal with allies and adversaries.

Trump ran as the outsider who would shake up the capital. By doing that,
he became the tribune of the aggrieved, the left out, the people who
have little regard for the views of Washington’s elites. But he is a
lifelong dealmaker, and Washington is the ultimate dealmaking town. But
dealmaking connotes backrooms dominated by insiders making compromises.
Do Trump’s core followers want Washington to work better, or do they
expect him to be more disruptive, a president who puts the establishment
in its place

The Post’s Marc Fisher explains how some of President-elect Donald
Trump’s traits could inform his leadership style when he takes office.
(Video: Bastien Inzaurralde/Photo: Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)

/[Pence replaces Christie as Trump transition leader
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/11/11/pence-to-lead-trump-transition-effort/?hpid=hp_rhp-top-table-main_pence-250pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory>]/


A third issue is playing out daily as the president-elect begins to
populate the government he will take over in January. He promised in the
closing weeks of the campaign to “drain the swamp” in Washington. That
is the rallying cry for a populist movement — Trump’s movement.
Inevitably, well-connected political insiders — lobbyists, lawyers,
think-tank experts and members of the foreign policy establishment —
will populate his transition. Who really will control a Trump
government, the 45th president or those who could surround and smother him

Still another question is Trump’s relationship to the Republican Party.
Republicans now have what they’ve dreamed about for years: control of
the presidency, Congress and, assuming Trump gets his way, eventually
the Supreme Court. They also control most of the governorships and state
legislatures. Republicans have lost the popular vote in six of the past
seven presidential elections, but their grip on power is pervasive.

Republican congressional leaders are salivating over the prospect of
having a free hand to enact a conservative agenda. But is their agenda
the Trump agenda? House Speaker Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.) has an agenda
ready to go, but how much will Trump go along? They differ on trade and
entitlements, among other things. Trump wants to spend big on roads,
bridges, schools, hospitals and airports, and put millions of people to
work doing so. If that isn’t a big-government, Democratic initiative,
what is?

Trump presumably will want to put his stamp on things. If he regarded
those congressional leaders as a corner of the swamp he wants to drain,
as he suggested by his occasional tweets during the campaign, how does
he avoid capitulating to the pressure now to act like a generic
conservative Republican? Congressional leaders might see Trump as
someone happy to delegate the substantive agenda to others. Trump knows
the importance of developing and keeping his brand.

When Bill Clinton was newly elected in the fall of 1992, he held a
summit with congressional leaders and, in essence, ceded power to them
to set the legislative agenda. Campaign proposals to clean up Washington
— symbolic or otherwise — were pushed to the back burner in deference to
entrenched powers. His signature proposal to reform the welfare system,
the centerpiece of his effort to redraw the image of his own party, took
a back seat to other initiatives in part because there was no appetite
to confront the party’s liberal base. Clinton later came to regret his
decision to defer to Democratic congressional leaders.

The analogy is imperfect but nonetheless holds lessons for Trump. The
more he turns over the direction and priorities of his administration to
congressional leaders, the more his anti-establishment message will fade
to the background. Perhaps he doesn’t care, but the people who supported
him so passionately should.

Local Politics Alerts

Breaking news about local government in D.C., Md., Va.

People look at a home in Youngstown, Pa., that features a huge cutout of
President-elect Donald Trump. (Michael S. Williamson/The Washington Post)

/[Trump advisers hedge on key campaign promises
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-and-aides-hedge-on-major-pledges-including-obamacare-and-the-wall/2016/11/11/9196b364-a82f-11e6-8fc0-7be8f848c492_story.html?hpid=hp_rhp-top-table-main_lede-desktoponly%3Ahomepage%2Fstory>]/


Trump has had little to say publicly since his victory. That has allowed
the speculation machine to go into overdrive about his plans and the
direction he intends to set. Because his operation speaks with many
voices, because of the many factions now vying for attention and power,
few people really know what Trump is thinking.

One early indicator of that thinking will be the selection of a White
House chief of staff. From various reports, the competitors include
Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus, a true insider
and the favorite of GOP congressional leaders, and Steve Bannon, the
architect of Breitbart News, a keeper of the alt-right flame and one of
the key strategists for Trump in the final few months of the campaign

At this point eight years ago, then-President-elect Barack Obama had
held his first news conference and had named his chief of staff. The
identities of other top White House officials were well known. Trump has
promised to move swiftly on top Cabinet positions and key White House
jobs. Everyone knows that Trump prizes loyalty and has a long memory for
slights and disparagements. What his governing principles and policy
touchstones, particularly on foreign policy, amount to will be revealed
in the choices he begins to make.

Trump won the election by riding a populist revolt driven by people
angry, as Dan McGinn and Peter Hart wrote in the Wall Street Journal, at
the failure of elected officials, at the absence of secure borders, at
the arrogance of the affluent and well educated, at the media and the
smugness of many journalists, at their place in the new economy and
about “being mocked and vilified as rubes, racists and ‘deplorables.’ ”
They are likely to cut Trump considerable slack as president, but they
did not vote for him to succumb and become part of the swamp.

One more thing. In the campaign between Trump and Democrat Hillary
Clinton, one side or the other was destined to come out of the election
desperately unhappy and discouraged. These first days since Trump won
have put people in leadership positions on their best behavior, despite
the shocks to the political system and in particular to Clinton and her
devastated team and Obama and his team, who now see the potential of his
legacy unraveling.

Clinton was gracious in her concession speech. The president said his
priority is to ensure a smooth transition. Trump was respectful and
appeared sobered by his 90-minute meeting in the Oval Office. But the
street protests remind everyone of the toll the campaign has taken and
of the divisions that remain. It will take more than a smooth transition
to overcome all that.




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Peace Is Doable

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