[We have seen enough explanations by the Narendra Modi government of
the provocation for the demonetisation bombshell. The first and the
foremost justification was that it would reduce the huge pile-up of
black money into a pulp of waste paper. It had also cited counterfeit
currency menace as an equally important urgency. Tagged with it was
also the reason of terrorist funding with counterfeit currency to
unleash mayhem in India. At last came the cashless economy argument.
But with almost all the cancelled old currency notes now set to return
to banks, the black money argument appears to be fast petering out.
And with terrorist attacks continuing, the efficacy of demonetisation
in containing the menace has also come into serious questioning. Now
remains the cashless economy argument to support the move.
...
Jaitley claimed on Thursday that demonetisation has led to doubling of
plastic currency use percentage at fuel outlets from 20 to 40 pc. He
has also announced rebate on such transactions, which he said would
reduce the need for hard currency notes. Fair enough. But the question
is do all these things need demonetisation as a necessary
prerequisite? If the government would have announced Rs 10 lakh
insurance cover for railway commuters using online reservation
facility even without demonetisation, it would still have hugely
enhanced the use of plastic currency. Clearly, demonetisation was not
needed to encourage use of plastic currency or digital transactions.
In fact, demonetisation wouldn’t have caused as much damage as it has
done now had it been effected after significantly enhancing the use of
plastic currency and digital transactions first thereby vastly
reducing dependence on hard cash currency use.
(In a country like india, however, with high poverty and illiteracy
levels, low banking penetration, comparatively lower use of smart
phones and unreliable network connecctions - in the smaller towns and
the countryside in particular, the single-minded drive for cashless
economy while exacting a great price of the poor and unlettered can at
best achive only a limited success.)]

http://indianexpress.com/article/blogs/demonetisation-narendra-modi-government-cashless-economy-cash-crunch-reasons-and-excuses-that-seem-more-like-afterthoughts-4420233/

Demonetisation: Reasons and excuses that seem more like afterthoughts

Two things that the government itself is not denying are hardships
caused to people and setback to economy. It is, however, rationalising
these as the "price we need to pay to clean up the system".

Written by Vivek Deshpande | Updated: December 10, 2016 8:12 pm

Of late, however, the main thrust of the government justification has
been on the need to shift to cashless economy.(Illustration by C R
Sasikumar)

***We have seen enough explanations by the Narendra Modi government of
the provocation for the demonetisation bombshell. The first and the
foremost justification was that it would reduce the huge pile-up of
black money into a pulp of waste paper. It had also cited counterfeit
currency menace as an equally important urgency. Tagged with it was
also the reason of terrorist funding with counterfeit currency to
unleash mayhem in India. At last came the cashless economy argument.
But with almost all the cancelled old currency notes now set to return
to banks, the black money argument appears to be fast petering out.
And with terrorist attacks continuing, the efficacy of demonetisation
in containing the menace has also come into serious questioning. Now
remains the cashless economy argument to support the move.***
[Emphasis added.]

Over the last one month, the government announced a slew of measures
to minimize the severe inconvenience caused to ordinary citizens,
labourers, farmers and other poor sections across the board. The huge
setback caused to the country’s economy due to slowing down of trades
and businesses on the wake of currency crunch is being passed of as
temporary. As recent as on Thursday, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley
announced many rebates and incentives to encourage digital
transactions.

While many economists of highest stature have dissected the black
money argument of the government to show how the demonetisation move
is actually going to end up as a vain bid to stamp out corruption,
most of the supporters and even top leaders from the ruling BJP have
been citing “common people’s support” to the move to drive home its
sanctity. Not many Modi-supporting economists have tried to put out
any strong economic calculations and arguments to rebut the claims
made by the critics of demonetisation.
Two things that the government itself is not denying are hardships
caused to people and setback to economy. It is, however, rationalising
these as the “price we need to pay to clean up the system”.

Of late, however, the main thrust of the government justification has
been on the need to shift to cashless economy. Surprisingly, however,
some very respected experts have virtually condoned the negative
impact of the move by pushing arguments that don’t befit their
intellectual acumen and integrity. Nandan Nilekani, architect of
Aadhar card, was trying to stress that the impetus the move is likely
to be the universalisation of Aadhar-based digitisation of financial
and administrative transactions. A very eminent administrator like
former Chief Election Commissioner S Y Quraishi has also ventured to
say that demonetisation will be to good effect if it is going to take
us forward on the path of long-cherished electoral reforms, chiefly
funding of political parties and elections.

***Jaitley claimed on Thursday that demonetisation has led to doubling
of plastic currency use percentage at fuel outlets from 20 to 40 pc.
He has also announced rebate on such transactions, which he said would
reduce the need for hard currency notes. Fair enough. But the question
is do all these things need demonetisation as a necessary
prerequisite? If the government would have announced Rs 10 lakh
insurance cover for railway commuters using online reservation
facility even without demonetisation, it would still have hugely
enhanced the use of plastic currency. Clearly, demonetisation was not
needed to encourage use of plastic currency or digital transactions.
In fact, demonetisation wouldn’t have caused as much damage as it has
done now had it been effected after significantly enhancing the use of
plastic currency and digital transactions first thereby vastly
reducing dependence on hard cash currency use.***

Similarly, it is difficult to understand how and why electoral reforms
couldn’t have been undertaken without demonetisation. They could and
should still have been. Not only would it have prevented  rise of
speculation and conspiracy theories about the ruling political party
getting the privilege to exhaust its suspect funds before the
announcement but would also have lent a great “charity begins at home”
credibility to its reformist countenance.

Clearly, the measures and steps being undertaken now as also the
silver lining that some experts are preferring to view about
demonetisation didn’t need demonetisation and are either afterthoughts
or benign overlooking of the unnecessary and avoidable disturbance
demonetisation caused to national life.

Views of the author are personal
-- 
Peace Is Doable

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