[The study, conducted by the All India Manufacturers’ Organisation
(AIMO), has also projected a drop in employment of 60 per cent and
loss in revenue of 55 per cent before March 2017. The AIMO represents
over 3 lakh micro, small scale, and medium and large scale industries
engaged in manufacturing and export activities.
...
Among the major findings of the study are:
# Medium and large scale industries engaged in infrastructure
projects, such as big-ticket road construction, reported a 35 per cent
cut in employment and 45 per cent revenue loss. The number of jobs and
revenue are expected to dip by 40 per cent by March.
# Medium and large scale industries, including foreign companies,
engaged in export-oriented activities reported 30 per cent job losses
and 40 per cent revenue fall. This is likely to be 35 per cent and 45
per cent, respectively, by March.
# In the manufacturing sector, medium and large scale industries
reported the least job-losses in the first 34 days (5%) and took a
revenue hit of 20 per cent. This dip is likely to be 15 per cent for
both by March.]

http://indianexpress.com/article/india/demonetisation-35-per-cent-job-losses-50-per-cent-revenue-dip-says-study-by-largest-organisation-of-manufacturers-4465524/

Demonetisation: 35 per cent job losses, 50 per cent revenue dip, says
study by largest organisation of manufacturers
The study, conducted by AIMO, has also projected a drop in employment
of 60 per cent and loss in revenue of 55 per cent before March 2017.

Written by Arun Janardhanan | Chennai | Updated: January 9, 2017

This was the third such study conducted by the AIMO on the impact of
demonetisation and was circulated among members last month.
(Representational image)

In the first 34 days since demonetisation, micro-small scale
industries suffered 35 per cent jobs losses and a 50 per cent dip in
revenue, according to a study conducted by India’s largest
organisation of manufacturers.

***The study, conducted by the All India Manufacturers’ Organisation
(AIMO), has also projected a drop in employment of 60 per cent and
loss in revenue of 55 per cent before March 2017. The AIMO represents
over 3 lakh micro, small scale, and medium and large scale industries
engaged in manufacturing and export activities.*** [Emphasis added.]

[Video]

The study stated that almost all industrial activities have come to a
standstill, with the Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) sector
worst-hit. “While AIMO understands certain immediate repercussions of
such a bold step (demonetisation) by the government, it did not
anticipate or was prepared for such a jolt to industries even after
one month,” said the study.

This was the third such study conducted by the AIMO on the impact of
demonetisation and was circulated among members last month. A fourth
study is expected soon.

***Among the major findings of the study are:

# Medium and large scale industries engaged in infrastructure
projects, such as big-ticket road construction, reported a 35 per cent
cut in employment and 45 per cent revenue loss. The number of jobs and
revenue are expected to dip by 40 per cent by March.

# Medium and large scale industries, including foreign companies,
engaged in export-oriented activities reported 30 per cent job losses
and 40 per cent revenue fall. This is likely to be 35 per cent and 45
per cent, respectively, by March.

# In the manufacturing sector, medium and large scale industries
reported the least job-losses in the first 34 days (5%) and took a
revenue hit of 20 per cent. This dip is likely to be 15 per cent for
both by March.*** [Emphasis added.]

According to the study, the factors that contributed to the impact
are: zero cash inflow, rules curtailing cash withdrawals, staff
absenteeism, a weaker rupee, choked fundraising options, inability of
banks to work on proposals, derailed real estate sector, fear among
foreigners, poor preparedness, and uncertain status of GST.

K E Raghunathan, national president, AIMO, said the studies were
conducted by an expert committee set up by the organisation. He
delined to provide details of the committee but said that it includes
industrialists, SMEs and export sector experts, chartered accountants,
consultants and lawyers.

Raghunathan said that AIMO had sent periodical reports about their
findings to the Union commerce and finance ministries, on November 12,
November 25 and December 12. “Unfortunately, there was no response of
acknowledgement or reply from these ministries. Since the study is
extremely critical of the Centre’s failed plan, we are unable to
reveal the identity of the experts preparing these reports,” he said.

Referring to the government’s approach, Raghunathan said, “They turned
a blind eye towards this emergency situation. They simply closed their
ears, kept patting themselves or their bosses. Among all the states,
Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu are the worst affected. The impact in these
two states is still being ignored, thanks to an inefficient government
in Tamil Nadu and a Maharashtra government that is bound to support
the demonetisation drive,” he said.

The AIMO represents about 13,000 direct members and 3 lakh indirect
members in India, including nearly 3,000 industries and associations
in Maharashtra and 1,200 in Tamil Nadu.

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