---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: john hallam <[email protected]>
Date: Sun, 26 Mar 2017 17:51:23 +1100
Subject: Zia Mian - The Coming Ban on Nuclear Weapons


MAR 24, 2017 6

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/united-nations-nuclear-weapons-ban-treaty-by-zia-mian-2017-03

The Coming Ban on Nuclear Weapons

PRINCETON – On March 27, the United Nations will start negotiations on
an international treaty to ban nuclear weapons. It will be a milestone
marking the beginning of the end of an age of existential peril for
humanity.

This day was bound to come. From the beginning, even those who set the
world on the path to nuclear weapons understood the mortal danger and
moral challenge confronting humanity. In April 1945, US Secretary of
War Henry Stimson explained to President Harry Truman that the atomic
bomb would be “the most terrible weapon ever known in human history.”
Stimson warned that “the world in its present state of moral
advancement compared with its technical development would be
eventually at the mercy of such a weapon. In other words, modern
civilization might be completely destroyed.”

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Soon afterwards, the newly created UN, established with the express
purpose “to save succeeding generations from the scourge of war,” took
the threat posed by nuclear arms as its first priority. In January
1946, in its very first resolution, the UN called for a plan “for the
elimination from national armaments of atomic weapons.”

The Soviet Union submitted such a plan that June. Now largely
forgotten, the Gromyko Plan included a “Draft International Convention
to Prohibit the Production and Employment of Weapons Based on the Use
of Atomic Energy for the Purpose of Mass Destruction.” At the time,
only the United States had nuclear weapons, and it chose to maintain
its monopoly. But it couldn’t hold onto it for long. Where it led,
others soon followed, forcing humanity to endure the decades of
weapons development, arms races, proliferation, and nuclear crises
that followed.

Anti-nuclear movements took root, and, in a phrase made famous by the
historian E.P. Thompson, began to protest to survive. They found
allies in a growing number of countries. In November 1961, the UN
General Assembly declared that “any state using nuclear and
thermonuclear weapons is to be considered as violating the Charter of
the United Nations, as acting contrary to the laws of humanity, and as
committing a crime against mankind and civilization.”

As the number and destructive power of nuclear weapons grew, and as
even developing countries began to acquire them, recognition of the
danger gave rise to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, which
entered into force in 1970. “Considering the devastation that would be
visited upon all mankind by a nuclear war,” the NPT begins, there is a
“consequent need to make every effort to avert the danger of such a
war and to take measures to safeguard the security of peoples.”

To this end, the treaty committed all signatories to “undertake
negotiations in good faith on effective measures relating to cessation
of the nuclear arms race at an early date and to nuclear disarmament.”
The US, the Soviet Union, and Britain signed the NPT. France and
China, the only other nuclear weapon states at the time, held out for
more than 20 years, until 1992. Israel, India, and Pakistan have never
signed, while North Korea signed and then withdrew. Although all
professed support for achieving a nuclear-weapon-free world,
disarmament negotiations never began.

Countries without nuclear weapons – the overwhelming majority – took
matter into their own hands. Through the UN General Assembly, they
asked the International Court of Justice to rule on the legality of
the threat or use of nuclear weapons. In July 1996, the ICJ issued an
advisory opinion, with two key conclusions. First, “the threat or use
of nuclear weapons would generally be contrary to the rules of
international law applicable in armed conflict, and in particular the
principles and rules of humanitarian law.” And, second, “There exists
an obligation to pursue in good faith and bring to a conclusion
negotiations leading to nuclear disarmament in all its aspects under
strict and effective international control.”

But, in the 20 years since the highest court in the international
system issued its judgment, the states affected by it have still
failed to launch “negotiations leading to nuclear disarmament.”
Instead, they have set out on long-term programs to maintain,
modernize, and in some cases augment their nuclear arsenals.

Non-weapon states began to take action through a series of
international conferences and UN resolutions. Finally, in October
2016, the UN General Assembly’s First Committee, which is responsible
for international peace and security, voted “to convene in 2017 a
United Nations conference to negotiate a legally binding instrument to
prohibit nuclear weapons, leading towards their total elimination.” On
December 23, the General Assembly ratified the decision, with 113
countries in favor, 35 opposed, and 13 abstentions.

The new resolution’s instructions are straightforward: “States
participating in the conference” should “make their best endeavors to
conclude as soon as possible a legally binding instrument to prohibit
nuclear weapons, leading towards their total elimination.” The treaty
could be ready before the end of the year.

The nine nuclear weapon states will finally be put to the test. Will
they keep their promises to disarm and join the treaty, or will they
choose their weapons over international law and the will of the global
community? The non-weapon states that join the treaty will be tested,
too. How will they organize to confront those countries in the world
system that choose to be nuclear outlaws?


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Peace Is Doable

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