[Let's see whether these two, competing and cooperating, despots got pushed
into producing some positive result.
A way to dodge the impending huge massacre.

<<The leaders of Russia and Turkey have agreed to establish a
de-militarised zone in Syria's Idlib province, in a move that ostensibly
puts on hold a threatened all-out assault by government forces on Syria's
last rebel bastion.
The announcement was made on Monday during a press conference in the Black
Sea resort of Sochi, where Russian President Vladimir Putin hosted his
Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
Speaking alongside Erdogan, Putin said the 15-20km-wide zone would be
established by October 15.>>]

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/09/erdogan-putin-agree-de-militarised-zone-syria-idlib-180917142241897.html

Idlib assault on hold as Russia, Turkey agree on buffer zone
Erdogan and Putin announce de-militarised zone between opposition and
Syrian government forces in last rebel bastion.

11 hours ago

Erdogan said cooperation between Turkey and Russia would bring 'hope to the
region' [Halil Sagirkaya/Anadolu]

The leaders of Russia and Turkey have agreed to establish a de-militarised
zone in Syria's Idlib province, in a move that ostensibly puts on hold a
threatened all-out assault by government forces on Syria's last rebel
bastion.

The announcement was made on Monday during a press conference in the Black
Sea resort of Sochi, where Russian President Vladimir Putin hosted his
Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

Speaking alongside Erdogan, Putin said the 15-20km-wide zone would be
established by October 15.

This would entail a "withdrawal of all radical fighters" from Idlib,
including the al-Nusra Front, Putin said, referring to Hay'et Tahrir
al-Sham (HTS), which is dominated by a rebel faction previously known as
al-Nusra Front before renouncing its ties to al-Qaeda.

Putin added that heavy weapons would be withdrawn from all opposition
forces by October 10 - an approach supported by the government of Syrian
President Bashar al-Assad.

By the end of 2018, transportation routes linking Syria's key port of
Latakia with major cities Aleppo and Hama must also be restored, added the
Russian president, a major Assad ally.

Describing the agreement as a "serious result", Putin said that "Russia and
Turkey have confirmed their determination to counter terrorism in Syria in
all its forms".

For his part, Erdogan said both his country and Russia would carry out
coordinated patrols in the de-militarised zone, and reiterated that the
biggest threat to Turkey was the Syrian Kurdish People's Protection Units
(YPG), who control swaths of territory in northeast Syria.

"We decided on the establishment of a region that is cleaned of weapons
between the areas which are under the control of the opposition and the
regime," said Erdogan, whose administration backs certain rebel groups in
Idlib.

"In return, we will ensure that radical groups, which we will designate
together with Russia, won't be active in the relevant area," he added.

"We will prevent a humanitarian tragedy which could happen as a result of
military action."

The United Nations has warned that a large-scale offensive on the
northwestern province, home to three million people, would result in a
"bloodbath" and lead to the "worst humanitarian catastrophe in the 21st
century".



Following the press conference, Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu said
the agreement between Putin and Erdogan meant that no military action would
be taken against Idlib, according to Russian news agencies.

READ MORE
Thousands rally against looming offensive on northwest Syria
Al Jazeera's Rory Challands, reporting from Russia's capital, Moscow, said
the deal ruled out an imminent offensive on Idlib.

"Essentially, this boils down to a fairly significant diplomatic success
for Erdogan as he has been voicing his strong opposition for some time now
to the assault on Idlib," Challands said.

"We are now looking at a very different scenario that is going to be
playing out by October 15."

Turkey's 'huge leverage'
The Syrian government had recently announced plans to launch a major
military offensive on Idlib province, long controlled by various armed
opposition groups, after managing to claw back swaths of rebel-held
territory.

Since the beginning of September, dozens of people have been killed and
wounded in air raids and attacks by the Syrian government and allied
Russian fighter jets, according to activists on the ground.

Russia and Iran, who back the Syrian government, want to eliminate what
they call "terrorist groups" in the province, which borders Turkey.

Ankara wants a stable ceasefire in the region to disarm these groups while
keeping the peace in Idlib.

Turkish officials had repeatedly warned Russia and the Syrian government
against attacking Idlib, saying it would lead to another massive wave of
refugees heading towards Turkey.

Over the past week, Turkey has deployed reinforcements and expanded
defensive structures at about a dozen observation points across
opposition-held territories in Idlib, western Aleppo, and northern Hama
provinces.

The outposts were established after a "de-escalation" agreement was reached
between Turkey, Russia, and Iran in July 2017.



Marwan Kabalan, director of the Arab Center for Research and Policy
Studies, said that following the deployment of troops, Turkey seemed to
have "the right forces on the ground" in order to enforce Monday's
agreement.

"The Turks seem to be very confident that they can actually implement this
because they have a huge leverage right now on the 'radical' groups in
Idlib," he told Al Jazeera in Qatar's capital, Doha.

"Otherwise, there will be a military retaliation by the Russians - what the
Turks are doing right now is providing some protection cover for these
groups from any Russian attack. So these groups now, in my opinion, must
bow to the Turkish pressure and try to cooperate."

On the other hand, Kabalan noted that a major military offensive "would had
been very costly" for Russia.

"Firstly, they don't have enough manpower on the ground to start the
operation," he said.

"Secondly, the agreement shows that Turkey has become a very important
partner for Russia in Syria, and the Russians didn't want to sacrifice
their partnership with Turkey in order to go and fight the opposition in
Idlib.

"And thirdly, the Russians are more attentive right now to the United
States' position on Idlib, which in recent days became even stronger
against any military operation."

On Friday, thousands took to the streets across Idlib, a densely populated
province where about half of the population are internally displaced
persons, to protest against the threatened offensive.

Kabalan said the agreement signalled that when it comes to Idlib's fate,
"it's only Putin and Erdogan, not even Iran" that are calling the shots,
adding that both leaders "need each other right now in Syria ... for any
political solution".

-- 
Peace Is Doable

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