I. Based on the *trends*, as of now: As it looks, the BJP may not touch 300. Maybe, around 295. Last time it was 282.
The Congress would be, most likely, 50 +/_. Unlikely to touch 55, the qualifying number (?) to be considered as the Leader of the Opposition. In any case, in the emergent scenario, that may not amount to much. Last time: 44. RJD is leading in 1. That gives the Bihar picture. TMC has suffered a major setback. Though still much the largest. But, if we look at the trajectory of the fall of the LF, then... Moreover, now, there's a chance of the state government being dislodged/dismissed. The UDF appears to have done pretty well in Kerala. So has the DMK-led front in Kerala. The ruling coalition has done poorly in Karnataka. The Congress appears to have done well in Punjab. II. What happens now??? AA. Dislodging/dismissal of a few state governments may now be in the pipeiline. BB. Attack on opposition parties, to demoralise and/or break them up by using carrots and sticks (ED/IT/CBI etc.) CC. Further intensification of non-state physical violence. DD. In terms of policy moves: (i) An early roll-out of the NRC nationwide. (ii) Mega sale of PSUs. (iii) Trashing of environmental norms and safeguards. (iv) Tightening the grip over the education infrastructure and institutions. (v) Further defanging of watchdog institutions. (vi) Attacks on civil society organisations. (vii) More repressive laws, if felt necessary. ... Sukla ---------- Forwarded message --------- From: Sukla Sen <[email protected]> Date: Wed, 22 May 2019 at 19:13 Subject: 'Inside Modi's playbook to winning elections: Instead of fixing glitches, Modi often moved onto the next challenge in a hurry to announce more victories.' [Actively aided by the Election Commission and the mainstream media - the electronic media even more so, this, effectively, became a Pulwama-Balakot election. The opponents had hardly any means to counter. On top of that, the way the actual poll process, including the, yet to be taken up, counting, is conducted. 《Modi changed the narrative after a clash with Pakistan in February following a terrorist attack in the disputed state of Kashmir that killed at least 40 security personnel, sparking outrage among Indians. On the campaign trail, Modi repeatedly invoked the need to hit back hard at Pakistan, an archrival of India since partition in 1947. ***“Your vote on the lotus will mean dropping 1000 kilogram bombs on terrorist camps,” one BJP leader said earlier this month, referring to the party’s symbol—a lotus—which is featured along with other party insignia on electronic voting machine buttons.*** [Emphasis added.] [In fact, Modi himself had asked the (first-time) voters to dedicate their votes to the martyrs of Pulwama and the heroes of Balakot.] The calls to patriotism—and overt appeals to his Hindu nationalist base—appear to be resonating, with exit polls showing his coalition may sweep to a large majority once again.》 (Excerpted from the post below.) Also look up: I. < https://mobile.twitter.com/ECISVEEP/status/1131068070078763009/photo/1?fbclid=IwAR0MXRKic6pwsFAq1L3K6n5CcGYWvw613G4wXRGg2kCRR5ZAKd5i5cXKtPE >. II. <https://twitter.com/Dr_Uditraj/status/1131061207878819840>.] https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/elections/lok-sabha/india/inside-modis-playbook-to-winning-elections/articleshow/69439462.cms?fbclid=IwAR0nd-zm3e49jzf2c9Zkg076zRW-1LahMnEyvb0WCeNDpS4l-5NQv04Ft5w&from=mdr Inside Modi's playbook to winning elections Instead of fixing glitches, Modi often moved onto the next challenge in a hurry to announce more victories. Bloomberg|May 22, 2019, 10.46 AM IST by Iain Marlow Snipped -- Peace Is Doable -- Peace Is Doable -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Green Youth Movement" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To post to this group, send an email to [email protected]. Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/greenyouth. To view this discussion on the web, visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/greenyouth/CACEsOZiLiCCm%3D4EE-KA6HiUBn2LZ4_VAvdg2KOvX719BWg%3DRDQ%40mail.gmail.com. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
