That's pretty unsettling.

Even if it comes to pass, most will perhaps develop immunity, which would
last at least for a while - after having been infected once.

But, a much smaller fraction - still too huge in terms of absolute number,
will perish.

In the meanwhile, what happens to the economy?
What about earning livelihood?
How do stuff necessary to maintain "life" get produced and disbursed?
How do even the "immune" ones survive?

Sukla

https://news.yahoo.com/u-virus-plan-anticipates-18-190626012.html?soc_src=community&soc_trk=fb

U.S. Virus Plan Anticipates 18-Month Pandemic and Widespread Shortages

The New York Times
Peter Baker and Eileen Sullivan
,The New York Times•March 19, 2020

WASHINGTON — A federal government plan to combat the coronavirus warned
policymakers last week that a pandemic “will last 18 months or longer” and
could include “multiple waves,” resulting in widespread shortages that
would strain consumers and the nation’s health care system.

The 100-page plan, dated Friday, the same day President Donald Trump
declared a national emergency, laid out a grim prognosis for the spread of
the virus and outlined a response that would activate agencies across the
government and potentially employ special presidential powers to mobilize
the private sector.

Among the “additional key federal decisions” listed among the options for
Trump was invoking the Defense Production Act of 1950, a Korean War-era law
that authorizes a president to take extraordinary action to force American
industry to ramp up production of critical equipment and supplies such as
ventilators, respirators and protective gear for health care workers.

“Shortages of products may occur, impacting health care, emergency
services, and other elements of critical infrastructure,” the plan warned.
“This includes potentially critical shortages of diagnostics, medical
supplies (including PPE and pharmaceuticals), and staffing in some
locations.” PPE refers to personal protective equipment.

The plan continued: “State and local governments, as well as critical
infrastructure and communications channels, will be stressed and
potentially less reliable. These stresses may also increase the challenges
of getting updated messages and coordinating guidance to these
jurisdictions directly.”

The plan, which was unclassified but marked “For Official Use Only // Not
For Public Distribution or Release,” was shared with The New York Times as
Trump escalated his efforts to curb the spread of the virus. After weeks of
playing down the seriousness of the pandemic, saying it would miraculously
disappear, Trump began shifting to a more sober tone during a news
conference Friday announcing the national emergency.

Much of the plan is bureaucratic in nature, describing coordination among
agencies and actions that in some cases have already been taken, like
urging schools to close and large events to be canceled. But its discussion
of the Defense Production Act came as lawmakers and others urged Trump to
invoke its powers.

“While the administration’s response has so far lacked the urgency this
crisis has called for, there are still steps you can take to mitigate the
damage,” Sen. Bob Menendez, D-N.J., wrote in a letter to Trump on Tuesday.
“Invoking the powers vested in the DPA will enable the federal government
to step up and take the type of aggressive steps needed in this time of
uncertainty.”

Another letter sent last week by 57 House Democrats led by Rep. Andy Levin
of Michigan made similar points: “During World War II, our country adapted
to the demands of the time to produce mass quantities of bombers, tanks,
and many smaller items needed to save democracy and freedom in the world.
We know what the demands of this time are, and we must act now to meet
these demands.”

Sen. Jack Reed, D-R.I., said that Defense Secretary Mark T. Esper told him
on Tuesday that the Pentagon would provide federal health workers with 5
million respirator masks and 2,000 specialized ventilators. “The American
public is on wartime footing in terms of battling the spread of this
disease, and the Pentagon has to be part of the effort to help protect the
health and safety of the American people,” Reed said.

But Trump said on Tuesday that he was not ready to invoke the Defense
Production Act. “We’re able to do that if we have to,” he told reporters.
“Right now, we haven’t had to, but it’s certainly ready. If I want it, we
can do it very quickly. We’ve studied it very closely over two weeks ago,
actually. We’ll make that decision pretty quickly if we need it. We hope we
don’t need it. It’s a big step.”

Passed in 1950 shortly after U.S. troops went to war defending South Korea
against an invasion from North Korea, the Defense Production Act was based
on powers used during World War II and authorized the president to require
businesses to prioritize and accept contracts necessary for national
defense.

Over the years, its scope has been expanded to include domestic
preparedness and national emergencies. A president can make direct loans or
loan guarantees and purchase commitments, subsidies or other incentives to
influence industry to help in times of crisis.

Other key decisions outlined as options for the president include
distributing medical supplies and equipment from the Strategic National
Stockpile, providing money to states to help them meet demands caused by
the coronavirus outbreak and prioritizing the distribution of essential
resources to focus on areas most in need.

“The spread and severity of COVID-19 will be difficult to forecast and
characterize,” the government plan said. It warned of “significant
shortages for government, private sector, and individual U.S. consumers.”

This article originally appeared in The New York Times.
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