Well said, Fran. I think my biggest adjustment (other than that I retired from 
my main job in January and moved, which was pretty big) has been that I cannot 
simply run out and get something if I need it. So I’ve had to learn to plan 
grocery trips/deliveries for the first time in many years.  And I really want 
to be able to go to a fabric shop.  Since I also moved in January, I downsized 
a bunch of stuff never dreaming I wouldn’t be able to run out and get more if I 
needed it… Oh well. And I do not know which shops in my new area stock what I 
want. 
I always said I’d work from stash when I retired… it is time to do so now. 
Especially since a lot of the travel I had planned in the next year or so 
probably will not happen.

I know it is not historical, but I picked up a new pattern from 
www.Fabric-stores.com <http://www.fabric-stores.com/> recently.  Have any of 
you worked with any of their patterns?  I have a length of cotton that will 
become one of these tunics in the not to distant future...
-Megan

> On May 6, 2020, at 4:26 AM, Lavolta Press <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> Just because we don't have truly reliable Covid-19 tests (many false 
> positives and negatives) for either the active disease or antibodies, does 
> not mean we never will.  Or that we don't have some good tests developed 
> already.  It's just that disorganization, shoddy production, lack of quality 
> control, and in some cases poor test administration--even mixups at the 
> lab--have rendered many test results unreliable.  Obviously, the tests have 
> to be carefully, well, tested, then the reliable ones mass produced, and then 
> administered on a wide scale. We can find out how long antibodies last by 
> using a truly reliable antibody test and then keeping track of the people 
> with proven antibodies. I don't believe that most people in the US who had 
> flu-like or cold-like symptoms in the fall actually had Covid-19.
> 
> Just because we don't have an effective treatment (other than trying to 
> support the patient with oxygen and hoping their body fights off the 
> infection) does not mean we never will. Remdesivir (which prevents the virus 
> from replicating) has only provided modest improvements in ICU patients. I am 
> hoping it is more effective if administered early in the disease, before the 
> patient is ill enough to need the ICU. I understand that Remdesivir is being 
> tested for early use, also different ways of administrating it. And many 
> other drugs are being developed and tested.
> 
> I am also hoping that administering oxygen early, with the kind of machines 
> used for sleep apnea, will be something of a game changer.  Treatment is new 
> and as far as I can tell, the epidemic went on for weeks before doctors 
> discovered that merely flipping the patients onto their stomachs provided 
> their organs with significantly more oxygen.
> 
> Just because we don't have a vaccine now doesn't mean we never will. There 
> are over 100 currently at some stage of development and even testing. Plus 
> there is some hope an old tuberculosis vaccine will help. Flu is a 
> coronavirus, and there are effective flu vaccines.  They have to be 
> administered annually, but so what? As far as I can tell, there are no 
> effective vaccines for the common cold because they would not be profitable 
> enough to develop. There will be huge profit in developing an effective 
> Covid-19 vaccine, which is a good incentive for drug companies.
> 
> So, we will eventually get effective testing, contact tracing, treatment, and 
> vaccines.  I don't think masks are any kind of substitute for social 
> distancing, but they are useful *in addition to* social distancing.  I'll 
> believe the disease is transmitted by aerosols until it's proven otherwise. 
> I'd wear an N95 mask if I could get one, but I can't, so I have to make do 
> with homemade cloth masks.  And yes, I want other people to wear them too. 
> Anyone can have Covid-19 and be asymptomatic.
> 
> I am not one of the people who claims that no one will get a serious case of 
> Covid-19 unless they are old, or younger with an immune system problem.  That 
> is clearly not true.  However, deaths are highly concentrated in those 
> groups. Though many young, otherwise healthy people have died too, and a few 
> very old people have survived. It is not clear to me how common long-term 
> damage to the body may be (from things like blood clots and organ damage from 
> insufficient oxygen) but some people are experiencing damage even after 
> "recovery."  I am healthy but I'm 65; my husband is healthy but 68. The 
> immune system declines with age.  We're at high risk right there.  Also, 
> deaths are skewed to the over-60 group because of triage.  Overwhelmed 
> hospitals in many places--even New York from what I hear--are simply refusing 
> to treat older patients, and in some cases disabled patients.  So yeah, most 
> of those patients die. And the more cases there are in the community, the 
> less likely people like me will be to get any treatment.  And the more cases 
> there are in the community, the less likely *anyone* will be able to get 
> treatment for any other diseases.
> 
> So I am all for sheltering in place.  It's really quite comfortable.  My 
> husband and I sold our San Francisco house in 2016 and moved to a house in 
> the Sacramento area with 4,800 square feet of living space and 1.8 acres of 
> landscaped grounds. We have fountains, numerous beds of roses, covered patio, 
> mature trees, everything.  The price was an exact trade for our San Francisco 
> house. It's not a dense area, at all, and we are right across the street from 
> a golf course. We can run or walk around the neighborhood at any time of day, 
> and not encounter anyone. I work on my business. My husband has a to-do list 
> of home improvement projects. We both do lots of reading. I sew. We have a 
> very large personal library of books and DVDs, many years' worth of them to 
> enjoy for the first time.
> 
> We do everything we did before Covid-19 except go out to restaurants--which 
> we seldom did anyway.  We can do great cooking at home. We aren't going to 
> the dentist for checkups, but we didn't do that for fun, and our dentist is 
> open for emergencies (though only for emergencies) if we have any.  We don't 
> go to the hairdresser. But I only have my hair cut once or twice a year, I 
> always dye my own hair, and I can cut my husband's. And we order groceries 
> online from any of four local stores and get curbside pickup. They put the 
> groceries in the trunk, no contact. The local hardware stores also offer 
> curbside pickup. Ever since there was an Internet, we've done most of our 
> other shopping online, including for fabric, so that's nothing new.
> 
> So I'm not "cowering in place."  Life is just like usual. I'm more likely to 
> survive than if I insisted on personally picking out my produce in the 
> grocery store--which isn't much fun anyway.
> 
> I'm not looking forward to the "second wave" of Covid-19 in the fall, because 
> I don't think there will be a vaccine by then. But Governor Newsom is doing a 
> sensible job of handling sheltering in place in California.  (Though even he 
> approved triage guidelines to deny medical care to both older people and 
> disabled people. Those guidelines were taken down after several 
> anti-discrimination groups protested, but I don't know what is being used 
> instead.) There are a number of other states where I really, really don't 
> want to be during a pandemic.  Because that second wave will come, in fact in 
> some states the first wave just won't go away.  Not looking forward to the 
> death counts.  I care more about lives than the economy, but a high death 
> toll is also bad for the economy.
> 
> Fran
> 
> Lavolta Press
> 
> www.lavoltapress.com
> 
> 
> 
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