Melihat US begitu yakin untuk menambang saat ini, mungkin mereka sudah memiliki teknologi terbaru (yg efisien/menekan ongkos produksi, sekaligus ramah lingkungan). Ditambah/dikombinasi dengan faktor ekonomi (harga crude yg tinggi), membuat mereka berkesimpulan, "inilah saatnya..." WS
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: > Vicky Kalau saya sich , agak "pesimis" dari segi lingkungan disamping ongkos produksi yang selalu mengikuti trend "crude price". Tetapi dalam azaz ekonomi liberal berlaku azaz permintaan dan penawaran, termasuk dalam penyesuaian harga. Dus .akan ada waktunya bahwa antara sisa minyak dan biaya produksi oilshale plus biaya lingkungan menjadi berat ke-arah "harus ada minyak dari oil shale" . Nah tentunya juga akan ada parameter "technology" (yg ramah -Alingkungan), mungkin saat itu akan bisaus/har dimanfaatkan oil shale ???? Atau ada alternatif energi lain ? Geothermal misal-nya. Rasa rasanya untuk Indonesia , kok geothermal lebih realistis ya. Si- Abah ____________________________________________________________________________ Memang banyak yg menduga seperti abah bahwa oil-shale akan ekonomis > apabila harga minyak bumi berharga tinggi (>50 USD/bbl) tetapi lupa > bahwa ongkos produksi apapun saat ini selalu dikaitkan dengan harga > minyak. Akhirnya ongkos produksi oil-shale juga meningkat sejalan > dengan harga minyak. > > Asumsi ongkos produksi yang 20$ tadi ketika harga minyak 10-15 $. > Coba berapa ongkos utk memanaskan oilshale tadi, berapa harga pipa > pabriknya, berapa biaya utk mengambil batuan (oilshale) dr bawah > keatas ....??? > > Lah sampai kapanpun ya ndak akan nututi (kesampaian). > Ongkos pematangan oil-shale menjadi minyak sudah dilakukan oleh alam > yang gratis sekian juta tahun yang lalu.Jadi ada satu proses > "pemasakan" yg harus dilewati oil shale utk menjadi minyakbumi dengan > ongkos yang jelas tidak murah. > > nah Indonesia memilki 40% cadangan Geothermal dunia juga ngga > nyampai-nyampai untuk menjadi sumber listrik, karena ongkos produksi > geothermal juga akan terkait dengan harga minyak (harga energi). > > RDP > > On 7/13/06, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: >> > >> Rekan >> >> Seingat saya beberapa puluh tahun lalu (more than 15 tahun) , pernah >> jadi trend . AAPG malahan telah benyak menerbitkan laporan riset >> mengenai oil shale. >> Akhirnya terbentur pada "prod cost" dan akibat yang ditimbulkan-nya >> pada >> lingkungan. (Harga minyak pada saat itu sekitar US$ 15 - 10). >> Dengan harga minyak saat ini diatas US$ 50.- maka jadi ekonomis ! >> Bagaimana dengan dampak lingkungan ? >> >> Saya "dengar" sudah ada perusahaan yang melihat kemungkinan oil shale >> di >> Indonesia . >> Katamnya "prod cost"-nya sekitar US$ 20,- >> >> Bagaimana dengan payung hukum-nya , apa pakau UU Pertambangan ataukah >> UU Migas ? >> >> Si - Abah >> >> __________________________________________________________________________ >> >> >> Apakah kita juga punya cadangan jenis 'oil shale' dalam jumlah yg >> > signifikan ..? >> > +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ >> > The U.S. Govt's >> > Secret Colorado >> > Oil Discovery >> > Hidden 1,000 feet beneath the surface of the Rocky Mountains lies >> the >> > largest untapped oil reserve in the world more than 2 TRILLION >> > barrels. On August 8, 2005 President Bush mandated its extraction. >> Three >> > companies have been chosen to lead the way. Test drilling has already >> > begun... >> > >> > >> > Dear Reader, >> > >> > Very recently, the U.S. Energy Department announced the results of a >> land >> > survey... >> > It was conducted to determine the official amount of oil a thousand >> feet >> > deep in the Rocky Mountains... >> > They reported this stunning news: >> > >> > We have more oil inside our borders, than all the other proven >> reserves on >> > earth. >> > >> > Here are the official estimates: >> > >> > 8-times as much oil as Saudi Arabia >> > 18-times as much oil as Iraq >> > 21-times as much oil as Kuwait >> > 22-times as much oil as Iran >> > 500-times as much oil as Yemen >> > ...And it's all right here in the Western United States. >> > >> > James Bartis, lead researcher with the study says, "We've got more oil >> in >> > this very compact area than the entire Middle East." >> > More than 2 TRILLION barrels. Untapped. >> > "That's more than all the proven oil reserves of crude oil in the >> world >> > today," reports The Denver Post. >> > When asked about America's least-publicized oil supply, Utah Senator >> > Orrin Hatch said: >> > "The amounts of oil are staggering. Who would have guessed that in >> just >> > Colorado and Utah, there is more recoverable oil than in the Middle >> > East?" >> > Here's the kicker... >> > The U.S. government already owns the land. It's been right there >> under >> > our noses the whole time. >> > In fact, the government's appointed a small group of companies to >> begin >> > the drilling. >> > Test drilling has already begun. >> > And the profit forecasts are ridiculous. According to the RAND >> > Corporation (a public-policy think tank for the government), this >> small >> > region can produce: >> > Three million barrels of oil per day... That translates into more >> than >> > $20 BILLION a year. >> > These are the conservative estimates. The U.S. Energy Dept. >> estimates an >> > eventual output of 10 million barrels of oil per day. At that rate, >> the >> > money flow would be even greater. >> > >> > I've written this letter to tell you everything I've learned about >> this >> > rarely publicized oil reserve... who's drilling it... and how to get a >> > piece of the world's biggest, untapped oil supply before it's too >> late. >> > Here's the full story >> > The Next American Oil Boom >> > There's a new source of oil in the American West. >> > Today, it sits idle untapped inside more than 16,000 square >> miles of >> > rock and sand. >> > Geologists call what lies in this region, oil shale. >> > What is oil shale? >> > At first glance, oil shale looks like an ordinary black rock. >> > It feels grainy to the touch and... greasy. You see, what's inside >> oil >> > shale has huge governments, Big Oil, venture capitalists, and even >> > everyday investors scrambling to stake a claim. >> > Oil shale when heated oozes bubbling crude. >> > >> > This precious resource is rare found only in a few select countries. >> > Places like China, Brazil, Estonia, Morocco, and Australia. >> > But the real story is how much untapped oil shale lies beneath U.S. >> > soil. As the chart to the right indicates, there's 4-times more oil >> > shale in the U.S. than in all other countries combined. >> > Over the past 125 years, oil shale has been the secret oil source >> for a >> > handful of nations. Specifically, those fortunate enough to have it... >> > >> > China's been using oil shale since 1929. Today, China is the >> largest >> > producer of oil from oil shale. It plans to double the daily rate of >> > production soon. >> > >> > Estonia is an oil shale dependent economy. Over 90% of the >> country's >> > electricity is fueled by shale oil. In fact, electricity run on oil >> > shale is a chief export. >> > >> > In 1991, Brazil built the world's largest oil shale facility. >> They've >> > already produced more than 1.5 MILLION tons of oil to make high >> quality >> > transportation fuels. >> > Jordan, Morocco, and Australia have recently announced plans to >> utilize >> > their oil shale resources. All 3 governments are currently working to >> > build oil shale facilities. >> > But all these countries' oil shale resources pale in comparison to >> the >> > U.S. supply. As you can see from the table to the right, the United >> > States dominates the oil shale market with over 72% of the world's >> oil >> > shale resources. >> > Our gargantuan supply of oil lies beneath an area called the Green >> River >> > Formation a barren stretch of land covering portions of Colorado, >> > Utah, and Wyoming. >> > World-renowned geologist Walter Youngquist calls the oil beneath the >> > Green River Formation, "a national treasure." >> > Congress calls this area simply, "the next Saudi Arabia." >> > It's easy to see why... >> > This region holds the largest known oil reserve on the planet... >> > Colorado's Oil Lands Restricted for 76 Years, Now Open for >> Drilling >> > There are over 16,000 square miles of oil shale in the Green River >> > formation... >> > Each acre holds 2 million barrels of oil it's the most >> concentrated >> > energy source on earth, according to the Energy Department. >> > The federal government owns 80% of this oil-rich land. >> > In fact, the government placed protective legislation on this land >> in >> > 1930, forbidding anyone to touch it. >> > You see, the government always knew this land was saturated with oil >> >> > but getting it out has always been expensive. >> > Buying oil from foreign countries was always the cheaper bet. It has >> > been for the past 80 years. >> > Wisely, the government kept the land around for a "rainy day", >> > protecting it with 1930s legislation. >> > I'm sure you're aware of today's situation at the gas pump. Buying >> oil >> > from foreign countries has gotten out of hand. The price of oil is >> > sky-high. It's way too expensive to keep buying foreign oil. In other >> > words, the "rainy day" has finally arrived. >> > The timing couldn't be more perfect. Oil shale technologies have >> begun >> > to advance drastically. >> > Companies are coming up with ways to extract oil from the Green >> River >> > Formation very cheaply. >> > >> > For example, one Utah-based company says it can extract the oil for as >> > little as $10 a barrel. In fact dozens of companies have stepped >> forward >> > with similar claims. With oil prices approaching $70 a barrel these >> are >> > pretty significant breakthroughs. >> > That's all the government needed to hear. >> > On August 8, 2005, President Bush signed into law, a mandate lifting >> the >> > protective legislation on the Green River Formation. >> > This mandate is called The Energy Policy Act of 2005. It calls for >> the >> > opening phases of oil extraction in the Green River Formation the >> > world's most concentrated energy source. >> > We're finally ready to tap the largest oil reserve on the planet... >> > "The United States Could become 'The New Middle East'" >> > ~ U.S. Energy Department Survey >> > +++++++++++++++++++ >> > Lebih Lengkapnya di... >> > http://www.stansberryonline.com/OIL/20060515-OIL-COL.asp?pcode=WOILG551&alias=200604OIL >> > >> > >> > >> > --------------------------------- >> > The all-new Yahoo! Mail goes wherever you go - free your email >> address >> > from your Internet provider. >> >> >> >> --------------------------------------------------------------------- >> ----- PIT IAGI ke 35 di Pekanbaru >> ----- Call For Papers until 26 May 2006 >> ----- Submit to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] >> --------------------------------------------------------------------- >> To unsubscribe, send email to: iagi-net-unsubscribe[at]iagi.or.id >> To subscribe, send email to: iagi-net-subscribe[at]iagi.or.id >> Visit IAGI Website: http://iagi.or.id >> Pembayaran iuran anggota ditujukan ke: >> Bank Mandiri Cab. Wisma Alia Jakarta >> No. Rek: 123 0085005314 >> Atas nama: Ikatan Ahli Geologi Indonesia (IAGI) >> Bank BCA KCP. 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