Pak Rovicky yang kreatif,

Saya barusan mengitung secara kasar sumur-2 eksplorasi di blok Jabung yang dibor sejak Januari 1995 (N.Geragai-1) sampai sekarang seluruhnya ada 34 sumur, ini belum termasuk yang delineasi. Dari 34 ini yang discovery dan dikembangkan ada 21 sumur, jadi s.r. 61,7%.
Tentunya ini angka yang cukup menggembirakan yha.
Semoga berguna.

sugeng

nb. Apakah semalam lihat Metro tivi, ada pak Kurtubi dan pak Anggito....


----- Original Message ----- From: "Rovicky Dwi Putrohari" <[email protected]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Tuesday, July 05, 2011 4:22 PM
Subject: [iagi-net-l] Re: Success ratio


Mas Sugeng sebenernya yg saya cari success rasio dari explorasi satu
blok. Jadi berapa jumlah blok yg success dibandingkan blok yg di-award
(ditandatangani).
Tadi ngobrol bentar dg Pak Naryanto (Migas) pada satu periode 5 atau
10 tahun, jumlah blok yg ditandatangani ada 150 (ntah dari berapa blok
yg ditawarkan). Dari 150 blok itu ada 15 blok yg ada discovery
wellnya, tapi hanya 5 yg mengajukan POD.
Jadi sepertinya success rasionya 5/150. Atau hanya 3% success rasionya.
Tentunya ini sangat rendah ya.
Nanti kalau sampai jkt saya coba bongkar data base saya.

Rdp


On 05/07/2011, Sugeng Hartono <[email protected]> wrote:
Yth. Abah and All,

Kalau per block saya rasa Block Jabung di Jambi (jamannya Santa Fe Energi
dan Devon Energy, sekarang PetroChina) mempunyai angka "success ratio" yang

bagus.
Dari sekitar 40 sumur (baik eksplorasi, delineasi dan pengembangan) yang
dibor hanya dua sumur yang "dry hole" yang sebenarnya masih ada oil shows.
Hal ini pernah ditulis di majalah IPA edis bbrp tahun yll.

Salam,
sugeng


----- Original Message -----
From: "Yanto R.Sumantri" <[email protected]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Tuesday, July 05, 2011 3:08 PM
Subject: RE: [iagi-net-l] Success ratio




Betul Leonard , jadi tidak ada tuh SR di Indonesia bla bla bla , kerna
kan
beda beda .

si Abah

On Tue, July 5, 2011 12:27 pm, Leonard Lisapaly wrote:

Abah,

Kalau success ratio adalah jumlah sumur yang mengalirkan hidrokarbon
dibagi
jumlah total sumur yang dibor di daerah itu, mestinya lebih "field
independent".

LL

-----Original Message-----
From: Yanto R.Sumantri [mailto:[email protected]]
Sent: Tuesday, July 05, 2011 11:52 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [iagi-net-l] Success ratio



SETUJU , kita sebagai ilmuwan jangan sok "Onani Otak" , maaf memalai
istilah yang agak "rough".
Dengan demikian "success ratio" harus diklsifikasikan dengan dasar
perhitungan / daerah / blok / atau play - nya.

Sebagai contoh apabila satu kumpeni yang bekerja di Sumatera Selatan
meng"claim" bahwa SR - nya 60 % , maka SR ini tentunya akan berbeda
"harga"nya dengan SR dari Blok Natuna Timur atau daerah Aru.
Atau sebaliknya  20 % di Blok Aru tentunya lebih "berharga" daripada 40
%
SR di Cekungan Jawa Timur.

Pokoke kalau bicara SR harus ada catatan catatan dibelakangnya.

si Abah

On Tue, July 5, 2011 8:47 am, Rovicky Dwi Putrohari wrote:
Sering kita melihat sukses rasio pengeboran yg menunjukkan di
Indonesia cukup bagus. Average success rasio 50% utk seluruh
Indonesia. Tapi kenapa kok ga kliatan hasilnya saat ini ?
Mungkin ini alasannya :
- Sumur eksplorasi kebanyakan dibor oleh kkks komersial. (Cost
recovered)
- Prospect yg lowrisk (appraisal, step-out)) masuk dlm klasifikasi
eksplorasi.
- sumur discoverynya "disimpan", tidak dikembangkan. Sering dipakai
utk bargain power ktika akan memperbaharui kontrak.
- .... ??

Yg jarang dilakukan atau dipresentasikan adalah melihat sukses rasio
dari sebuah blok. Berapa sukses rasio dari blok yg dieksplorasi
menjadi blok yg komersial ? Ini yg akan mencerminkan sejauh mana
eksplorasi menghasilkan produksi dan keuntungann.

Salam eksplo

Rdp

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