Terima kasih Pak
si Abah
On Wed, July 6,
2011 12:41 pm, [email protected] wrote:
> Blok ENI di
Muara bakau abah
> Powered by Telkomsel BlackBerry®
>
> -----Original Message-----
>
From: "Yanto
R.Sumantri" <[email protected]>
> Date: Wed, 6 Jul 2011
10:13:30
> To: iagi-net<[email protected]>
>
Reply-To: <[email protected]>
> Subject: Re: [iagi-net-l]
Re: Success ratio
>
>
>
> Aater dan
Jangkriknya Eni ditemukan di blok mana Mas ?
>
> si
> Abah
>
>
> On Wed, July 6, 2011 8:30
am,
> [email protected] wrote:
>> Oom
Madon,
>>
>> Sebagai gambaran pengembangan
eksplorasi di 1 dekade terakhir
> setelah
>> menerawang
kembali data-data yang ada, rata-rata 1 dari
> 6 penemuan
>> eksplorasi disetujui pengembangannya, jadi 10 tahun
>
terakhir ESR kita
>> hanya sekitar 16-17% (yang di email
sebelumnya
> saya bulatkan jadi 20%),
>> namun bila
dilihat dari masa
> produksinya (baca : cadangan lapangan tidak
>> besar),
> lapangan-lapangan baru ini tidak terlalu
lama, sehingga dalam
>>
> kurun waktu ± 5 tahun
sudah mengalami penurunan produksi atau
> depleted.
>>
>> Hal ini memang menjadi tantangan pada
>
strategi eksplorasi masa mendatang,
>> karena kecenderungan
> discovery lebih besar ada di cekungan yang sudah
>>
berproduksi
> yang secara nota bene "mungkin" akan lebih
sulit untuk para
>> operator menemukan lapangan yang cukup
besar, sehingga perlu
> dipikirkan
>> bagaimana
melakukan ekspansi ke daerah-daerah perawan
> atau belum
tergarap
>> dengan baik dengan harapan menemukan
>
lapangan yang cukup besar, kalo
>> bahasa optimis para
> eksplorasionis BIG FISH BIG TRAP HIGH RISK HIGH
>>
REWARD.
>>
>> Sekedar catatan, penemuan-penemuan
signifikan di
> indonesia (lebih banyak
>> gas)
terakhir kali terjadi di era akhir
> tahun 90-an ke awal tahun
2000 an,
>> sebutlah kompleks tangguh nya
> BP dan
abadi nya inpex, sementara aster (?)
>> dan jangkrik (?) nya
> ENI yang ditemukan terakhir belum memasuki tahap
>>
> pengembangan.
>>
>>
>> Salam
>>
>>
> JAP
>> Powered by Telkomsel
BlackBerry®
>>
>>
> -----Original
Message-----
>>
>
From: [email protected]
>> Date: Wed, 6 Jul 2011 00:06:52
>> To:
>
<[email protected]>
>> Reply-To:
>
<[email protected]>
>> Subject: Re: [iagi-net-l] Re:
> Success ratio
>> Om JA Paju yang stratigrafi mania,
kira2 bisa
> dibocorkan tidak berapa
>> angka POD yang
di approve selama 10
> tahun terakhir berbanding dengan
>> discovery nya ? Terlepas dari
> apakah kemudian POD tsb
dijalankan atau
>> tidak karena kumpeninya
> ndak punya
uang, punya masalah dengan perijinan di
>> surface dll?
> Mgkn angka tsb lebih bisa memberi gambaran mengenai GSR dan
>> ESR
> tsb..
>>
>> Matur suwun
>>
>> Maradona
> Mansyur
>>
>> -----Original Message-----
>>
>
From:
[email protected]
>> Date: Tue, 5 Jul 2011
>
10:50:08
>> To: <[email protected]>
>>
Reply-To:
> <[email protected]>
>> Subject: Re:
[iagi-net-l] Re:
> Success ratio
>> Mas vicky,
>>
>> Hanya sedikit ide
> tentang definisi :
>>
>> Mungkin definisinya jadi ESR
> (economic
success ratio), kalau GSR
>> sepertinya hanya dipakai
>
pada saat (geological success ratio) sumur tsb
>> discovery,
tapi
> ketika sumur itu ekonomis utk dikembangkan maka levelnya
>> akan
> berpindah dari GSR menjadi ESR, memang pada
kenyataannya selama 1
>> dekade terakhir ESR indonesia hanya
berkisar di angka 20% dari
> GSR
>>
>>
Salam
>> JAP
>> Powered by
> Telkomsel
BlackBerry®
>>
>> -----Original
>
Message-----
>>
>
From: Rovicky Dwi Putrohari
> <[email protected]>
>> Date: Tue, 5 Jul 2011
16:22:14
>> To: <[email protected]>
>>
Reply-To:
> <[email protected]>
>> Subject:
[iagi-net-l] Re: Success
> ratio
>> Mas Sugeng
sebenernya yg saya cari success rasio dari
> explorasi satu
>> blok. Jadi berapa jumlah blok yg success
> dibandingkan
blok yg di-award
>> (ditandatangani).
>> Tadi
> ngobrol bentar dg Pak Naryanto (Migas) pada satu periode 5 atau
>>
> 10 tahun, jumlah blok yg ditandatangani ada 150 (ntah
dari berapa blok
>> yg ditawarkan). Dari 150 blok itu ada 15
blok yg ada discovery
>> wellnya, tapi hanya 5 yg mengajukan
POD.
>> Jadi sepertinya
> success rasionya 5/150. Atau
hanya 3% success rasionya.
>> Tentunya
> ini sangat
rendah ya.
>> Nanti kalau sampai jkt saya coba bongkar
> data base saya.
>>
>> Rdp
>>
>>
>>
> On 05/07/2011, Sugeng Hartono
<[email protected]>
> wrote:
>>>
Yth. Abah and All,
>>>
>>> Kalau
> per
block saya rasa Block Jabung di Jambi (jamannya Santa Fe
>>>
> Energi
>>> dan Devon Energy,
sekarang PetroChina) mempunyai
> angka "success
ratio"
>>> yang
>>>
>>>
bagus.
>>> Dari sekitar 40 sumur (baik eksplorasi,
>
delineasi dan pengembangan)
>>> yang
>>> dibor
hanya
> dua sumur yang "dry hole" yang sebenarnya masih
ada oil
>>> shows.
>>> Hal ini pernah ditulis
di majalah IPA edis
> bbrp tahun yll.
>>>
>>> Salam,
>>> sugeng
>>>
>>>
>>> ----- Original Message -----
>>>
>
From: "Yanto R.Sumantri"
>
<[email protected]>
>>> To:
<[email protected]>
>>> Sent: Tuesday, July 05, 2011
3:08 PM
>>> Subject: RE:
> [iagi-net-l] Success
ratio
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Betul Leonard , jadi
>
tidak ada tuh SR di Indonesia bla bla bla , kerna
>>>>
kan
>>>> beda beda .
>>>>
>>>> si Abah
>>>>
>>>> On
Tue, July 5, 2011 12:27 pm, Leonard
> Lisapaly wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>> Abah,
>>>>>
>>>>> Kalau success ratio
adalah jumlah
> sumur yang mengalirkan hidrokarbon
>>>>> dibagi
>>>>> jumlah total sumur
yang dibor di daerah itu, mestinya
> lebih "field
>>>>> independent".
>>>>>
>>>>> LL
>>>>>
>>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>>>
>
From: Yanto R.Sumantri
[mailto:[email protected]]
>>>>>
> Sent:
Tuesday, July 05, 2011 11:52 AM
>>>>> To:
>
[email protected]
>>>>> Subject: Re: [iagi-net-l]
> Success ratio
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
SETUJU , kita sebagai ilmuwan
> jangan sok "Onani Otak"
, maaf memalai
>>>>>
> istilah yang agak
"rough".
>>>>> Dengan demikian
>
"success ratio" harus diklsifikasikan dengan dasar
>>>>> perhitungan / daerah / blok / atau play - nya.
>>>>>
>>>>> Sebagai contoh apabila
satu
> kumpeni yang bekerja di Sumatera Selatan
>>>>>
> meng"claim" bahwa SR - nya 60 %
, maka SR ini tentunya akan
> berbeda
>>>>>
"harga"nya dengan SR dari Blok
> Natuna Timur atau
daerah Aru.
>>>>> Atau sebaliknya 20 %
> di
Blok Aru tentunya lebih "berharga" daripada
>>>>> 40
>>>>> %
>>>>> SR di
> Cekungan Jawa Timur.
>>>>>
>>>>> Pokoke
> kalau
bicara SR harus ada catatan catatan dibelakangnya.
>>>>>
>>>>> si Abah
>>>>>
>>>>> On Tue, July 5, 2011 8:47
am, Rovicky Dwi Putrohari
> wrote:
>>>>>>
Sering kita melihat sukses rasio
> pengeboran yg menunjukkan di
>>>>>> Indonesia cukup
> bagus. Average
success rasio 50% utk seluruh
>>>>>>
>
Indonesia. Tapi kenapa kok ga kliatan hasilnya saat ini ?
>>>>>> Mungkin ini alasannya :
>>>>>> -
> Sumur eksplorasi kebanyakan dibor
oleh kkks komersial. (Cost
>>>>>> recovered)
>>>>>> - Prospect yg
> lowrisk (appraisal,
step-out)) masuk dlm klasifikasi
>>>>>>
eksplorasi.
>>>>>> - sumur
> discoverynya
"disimpan", tidak dikembangkan. Sering dipakai
>>>>>> utk bargain power ktika akan memperbaharui
> kontrak.
>>>>>> - .... ??
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Yg jarang
dilakukan atau dipresentasikan adalah
> melihat sukses rasio
>>>>>> dari sebuah blok. Berapa
> sukses rasio
dari blok yg dieksplorasi
>>>>>> menjadi
>
blok yg komersial ? Ini yg akan mencerminkan sejauh mana
>>>>>> eksplorasi menghasilkan produksi dan
>
keuntungann.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
Salam
> eksplo
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Rdp
>>>>>>
>>>>>> --
>>>>>> Sent from my
mobile device
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
*"Everybody is
> safety leader, You can stop any unsafe
operation !"*
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>> ---
>>>>>> PP-IAGI
2008-2011:
>>>>>> ketua umum: LAMBOK HUTASOIT,
[email protected]
>>>>>> sekjen: MOHAMMAD
SYAIFUL,
> [email protected]
>>>>>>
* 2 sekretariat (Jkt
> & Bdg), 5 departemen, banyak biro...
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>> ---
>>>>>> Ayo siapkan
> diri....!!!!!
>>>>>> Hadirilah Joint
Convention
> Makassar (JCM), HAGI-IAGI, Sulawesi,
>>>>>> 26-29
>>>>>> September
2011
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Indonesia (IAGI)
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Mulia
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>>>>>>
> A/n: Shinta Damayanti
>>>>>> IAGI-net Archive 1:
>>>>>>
>
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>>>>>> IAGI-net Archive 2:
>
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>>>>>>
>
---------------------------------------------------------------------
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>>>>>> posted
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>>>>>>
> event
>>>>>>
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>>>>>> limited
>>>>>>
to
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damages of any kind whatsoever,
>>>>>>
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>
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>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
--
>>>>>_______________________________________________
>>>>> Nganyerikeun hate batur hirupna mo bisa campur,
> ngangeunahkeun hate
>>>>> jalma
>>>>>
> hirupna pada ngupama , Elmu tungtut dunya
siar Ibadah kudu lakonan.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>> ---
>>>>> PP-IAGI 2008-2011:
>>>>> ketua umum: LAMBOK HUTASOIT, [email protected]
>>>>> sekjen: MOHAMMAD SYAIFUL,
[email protected]
>>>>> * 2 sekretariat (Jkt
& Bdg), 5 departemen, banyak
> biro...
>>>>>
>
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>> ---
>>>>> Ayo siapkan
diri....!!!!!
>>>>> Hadirilah Joint Convention
Makassar (JCM), HAGI-IAGI,
> Sulawesi, 26-29
>>>>> September 2011
>>>>>
>
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>> To unsubscribe, send email to:
>
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subscribe,
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>>>>>
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> iuran anggota ditujukan ke:
>>>>> Bank Mandiri Cab. Wisma
> Alia Jakarta
>>>>> No. Rek: 123 0085005314
>>>>>
Atas nama: Ikatan Ahli Geologi Indonesia (IAGI)
>>>>>
Bank BCA KCP. Manara Mulia
>>>>> No.
>
Rekening: 255-1088580
>>>>> A/n: Shinta Damayanti
>>>>> IAGI-net Archive 1:
>>>>>
> http://www.mail-archive.com/iagi-net%40iagi.or.id/
>>>>>
> IAGI-net Archive 2:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/iagi
>>>>>
>
---------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>> DISCLAIMER: IAGI disclaims all warranties with
regard
> to information
>>>>> posted
>>>>> on its
> mailing lists, whether posted by
IAGI or others. In no event
>>>>> shall
>>>>> IAGI or its members be
> liable for any,
including but not limited to
>>>>>
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>>>>> or
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or
> damages of any kind whatsoever, resulting from
>>>>>
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>>>>>
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---------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>> PP-IAGI 2008-2011:
>>>>> ketua
umum:
> LAMBOK HUTASOIT, [email protected]
>>>>> sekjen:
> MOHAMMAD SYAIFUL,
[email protected]
>>>>> * 2
>
sekretariat (Jkt & Bdg), 5 departemen, banyak biro...
>>>>>
>
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>> Ayo siapkan diri....!!!!!
>>>>>
> Hadirilah Joint Convention Makassar
(JCM), HAGI-IAGI, Sulawesi, 26-29
>>>>> September
2011
>>>>>
>
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
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>
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>>>>>
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>>>>> Bank Mandiri Cab. Wisma
> Alia Jakarta
>>>>> No. Rek: 123 0085005314
>>>>>
Atas nama: Ikatan Ahli Geologi Indonesia (IAGI)
>>>>>
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>>>>> No.
>
Rekening: 255-1088580
>>>>> A/n: Shinta Damayanti
>>>>> IAGI-net Archive 1:
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>>>>>
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>>>>>
>
---------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>> DISCLAIMER: IAGI disclaims all warranties with
regard
> to information
>>>>> posted on its
mailing lists, whether
> posted by IAGI or others. In no
>>>>> event
>>>>> shall IAGI or its
members be liable for any, including
> but not
>>>>> limited
>>>>> to
>>>>> direct or indirect damages, or damages of any
kind
> whatsoever,
>>>>> resulting
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arising out of or in connection
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>>>>>
>
---------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> --
>>>>_______________________________________________
>>>> Nganyerikeun hate batur hirupna mo bisa campur,
> ngangeunahkeun hate
>>>> jalma
>>>> hirupna pada
> ngupama , Elmu tungtut dunya
siar Ibadah kudu lakonan.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>> PP-IAGI 2008-2011:
>>>> ketua umum:
LAMBOK
> HUTASOIT, [email protected]
>>>>
sekjen: MOHAMMAD SYAIFUL,
> [email protected]
>>>> * 2 sekretariat (Jkt &
> Bdg), 5
departemen, banyak biro...
>>>>
>
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>> Ayo siapkan diri....!!!!!
>>>>
Hadirilah Joint
> Convention Makassar (JCM), HAGI-IAGI, Sulawesi,
26-29
>>>>
> September 2011
>>>>
>
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
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>>>> Pembayaran iuran anggota
> ditujukan ke:
>>>> Bank Mandiri Cab. Wisma Alia Jakarta
>>>> No. Rek: 123 0085005314
>>>> Atas
nama: Ikatan
> Ahli Geologi Indonesia (IAGI)
>>>>
Bank BCA KCP. Manara
> Mulia
>>>> No. Rekening:
255-1088580
>>>> A/n:
> Shinta Damayanti
>>>> IAGI-net Archive 1:
>
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>>>>
> IAGI-net Archive 2:
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>>>>
>
---------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>> DISCLAIMER: IAGI disclaims all warranties with regard
to
> information
>>>> posted on its mailing
lists, whether posted
> by IAGI or others. In no
>>>> event
>>>>
>>>> shall
IAGI or its members be liable for any, including but
> not
limited
>>>> to
>>>>
>>>>
> direct or indirect damages, or damages of any
kind whatsoever,
>>>> resulting
>>>>
from loss of use, data or
> profits, arising out of or in
connection
>>>> with
>>>> the use of any
information posted on IAGI mailing list.
>>>>
>
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>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
> “Save a Tree” –
Please consider the environment before
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>>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> “Save a
Tree” –
> Please consider the environment
before printing this
>>>
> email.
>>>
>>
>> --
>> Sent from my
mobile
> device
>>
>> *"Everybody is
safety leader, You can
> stop any unsafe operation !"*
>>
>>
>
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>> PP-IAGI 2008-2011:
>> ketua umum: LAMBOK
HUTASOIT,
> [email protected]
>> sekjen: MOHAMMAD
SYAIFUL,
> [email protected]
>> * 2 sekretariat
(Jkt & Bdg), 5
> departemen, banyak biro...
>>
>
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>> Ayo siapkan diri....!!!!!
>> Hadirilah Joint
Convention
> Makassar (JCM), HAGI-IAGI, Sulawesi, 26-29
>> September 2011
>>
>
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
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>
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Website:
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>> Pembayaran iuran
anggota ditujukan ke:
>> Bank Mandiri Cab. Wisma Alia
Jakarta
>> No. Rek: 123
> 0085005314
>> Atas
nama: Ikatan Ahli Geologi Indonesia (IAGI)
>> Bank BCA KCP.
Manara Mulia
>> No. Rekening: 255-1088580
>> A/n:
Shinta Damayanti
>> IAGI-net Archive 1:
>
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>>
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> Archive 2: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/iagi
>>
>
---------------------------------------------------------------------
>> DISCLAIMER: IAGI disclaims all warranties with regard to
> information
>> posted on its mailing lists, whether
posted by IAGI
> or others. In no event
>> shall IAGI
or its members be liable for
> any, including but not limited
to
>> direct or indirect damages, or
> damages of any
kind whatsoever, resulting
>> from loss of use, data
>
or profits, arising out of or in connection with
>> the use of
any
> information posted on IAGI mailing list.
>>
>
---------------------------------------------------------------------
>>
>>
>
>
> --
>
_______________________________________________
> Nganyerikeun
hate
> batur hirupna mo bisa campur, ngangeunahkeun hate jalma
hirupna pada
> ngupama , Elmu tungtut dunya siar Ibadah kudu
lakonan.
>
>
--
_______________________________________________
Nganyerikeun hate
batur hirupna mo bisa campur, ngangeunahkeun hate jalma hirupna pada
ngupama , Elmu tungtut dunya siar Ibadah kudu lakonan.
