I almost hate to give this answer, but the correct response to this is simply 
IT DEPENDS.  I have worked in a number of different shops, and your answer for 
this depends greatly on the type of workload you have on the machine along with 
expected/required level of performance and SLA's.  At my current shop there are 
a couple of VERY busy days during the month and also once a year during year 
end processing - and I would not use these small amounts of excess 
workload/demand to try and justify a bigger box.  In this case I just monitor 
average workload during the peak work days (say 10 AM to 4 PM M-F). 

I have also worked at shops where the machine held a fairly steady level all 
day, so in that case either answer (average or peak) would work.  The main 
question is can your shop survive if you hit a peak of 10-20% more work for say 
30-45 minutes or longer during the day? 

Normally you can probably just look at the average versus peaks during your 
busiest work times.  If the difference in the peak and the average during your 
"busy" times is less than say 20%, then average might be a good measure.  

The bottom line is that there is not one "right" answer to this question.   It 
depends greatly on your shop environment.   

C. Todd Burrell 
PMP, MCSE 2003:Security
MCTS (640,642,643)
Security+, Network+
ITIL V3 Foundations
CSC Lead z/OS Systems Programmer 
ITSO 
(404) 723-2017 (Cell) 
  

-----Original Message-----
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of 
Ward, Mike S
Sent: Friday, April 15, 2011 4:58 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: CPU utilization/forecasting

Hello all, can someone tell me if it's better to use CPU peak or CPU
average to project growth. My way of thinking is if you use peak then
you're sure to show where you need extra horse power. In other words if
you can't process during your peaks what good are the averages.

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