"[EMAIL PROTECTED]" writes:
>  i am still curious if a serious study has been done on the subject
(since i've seen so many different figures, and the 20-30% one at least
came from an academic source) but my access to veterinary literature
isn't the greatest...


Hello!
   As a Professor at Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, let me give you my 
understanding of why different studies report different percentage of horses 
that develop SE (ranging from ~20% to over 80%).
   At least a large part of this difference is the precise location of the 
horses being studied (both the country and the micro-climate of the farms in 
their survey).
   Quite simply, the more culicoides exposure, the higher the percentage of 
horses that develop SE!  
Factors that most influence culicoides levels include:
-  the pasture's closeness to wetlands or even being normally moist itself 
(areas where culicoides breed), 
-  the general humidity (which culicoides love), 
-  the presence of high, damp grass (which encourages the culicoides to travel 
there), and 
-  frequent lack of a breeze.  (The common breeze level is really important; a 
breezy hilltop can have virtually no cullicoides, while a nearby protected area 
can be filled with them, so it depends greatly on precisely where the farm is 
located.)   
   Other factors influencing the reported percentage of SE horses include:
-  how long after import the data are collected (often surveys include horses 
only 1 or 2 years after import, but horses can develop SE more than 5 years 
after import -- and generally it is in a year with a particularly damp spring 
and a humid summer), 
-  the length of the SE season in the country being surveyed, and 
-  whether the horses are kept in a clean stall at dusk and dawn (as in many 
big barns, which are frequently surveyed).
   And studies financed by a donor that would like Icelandic horses to be sold 
abroad might be somewhat influenced which horses to survey.
   Probably the most useful data, for what fraction of horses develop SE if put 
into a SE-conducive location, are those that specifically focus on horses in 
such locations, like Anneliese Virro's important observations.  Over the years 
she almost assuredly has received a representative cross-section of Iceys, and 
a very large fraction contract SE.  So a very large percentage is prone to 
developing SE.  Yet, since Anneliese finds that their US-born children 
virtually never get SE, it is not that they are genetically pre-determined to 
get this allergy.  
   Please also note that a horse born and raised in a dry area of the US 
southwest, and then brought to central Florida as an adult, has a good chance 
of developing SE, too.  Just like the Iceland-born Iceys, they did not get 
exposed to the culicoides' allergens when their immune systems were being 
programmed with what is "self", what they will not develop antibodies against, 
which includes the bugs they are regularly exposed to in the first few months 
of life.
  I hope this helps.
yours,  Barbara
Barbara Sollner-Webb
Biological Chemistry Department


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