MARCH 2, 2005

NEWS ANALYSIS:TECHNOLOGY
Olga Kharif
http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/mar2005/tc2005032_0932_tc119.
htm?campaign_id=rss_techn

Less Impact from the "Slashdot Effect"

Links on the tech news site no longer harvest the overwhelming numbers of
readers they used to. Chalk it up to the ever-expanding Web
A couple of years ago, Omid Rahmat, general manager and publisher of TG
Publishing's TomsHardware.com, would practically do cartwheels every time a
story from his site ended up on Slashdot.org. Attracting millions of techies
from all over the world with its links to the most important tech news of
the day, Slashdot would send Tom's traffic up by 30%, providing the site
with much-needed exposure.

This "Slashdot effect" has rippled through the tech news industry, where
higher traffic numbers tend to translate into greater ad revenues. In the
past several years, many editors encouraged reporters to pick story ideas
that were likely to make it onto Slashdot. Some writers even submit their
own stories to Slashdot in hopes of generating more traffic to their home
page and earning kudos from their bosses.

Ethical considerations aside, such efforts don't have the payoff they used
to. Over the past year, the Slashdot effect has begun to fizzle. Nowadays, a
mention on Slashdot typically increases Tom's traffic by just 5% to 10%,
Rahmat says. The boost also is more temporary, "usually peaking within one
to two hours and almost completely over in three," Joel Johnson, editor of
gadgets site Gizmodo.com, writes in an e-mail to BusinessWeek Online. In
fact, he writes, Gizmodo.com now gets as much traffic from other sites, like
Fark.com, which collects offbeat news.

GROWING AUDIENCE.  A year ago, Slashdot contributed 5.5% of all traffic
going to tech news sites like CNET (CNET), Wired, and Gizmodo. But by last
month, its power had fallen considerably, estimates Bill Tancer, an analyst
at online measurement company Hitwise in Redwood City, Calif. When Tancer
measured traffic going from Slashdot to several recent stories to which it
linked, he found that, in one case, Slashdot increased a site's traffic by
4%. In the case of one Reuters wire-service story, no one clicked on the
link at all.

That's happening even though Slashdot's traffic continues to grow, according
to co-founder Rob Malda. At 300,000 to 500,000 visitors a day, it has six to
seven times more visitors than it had four years ago.

How can this be? The number of news sites Slashdot is linking to has
skyrocketed. And that has reduced the impact Slashdot can make on each
individual site's traffic. The number of tech news sites, run by traditional
media companies, reaches 360 today, up 20% from 300 just one year ago,
according to Hitwise. These sites have proliferated following a revival in
U.S. online ad spending, which is projected to grow by more than 20% in
2005, to more than $11 billion, according to e-commerce consultancy
eMarketer.

BLOG INVASION.  The end result is a watering down of the Slashdot effect.
Readers are still jumping from Slashdot to other sites. Indeed, Slashdot
probably has more readers than ever, but they're going out into a far larger
Internet news world. While their impact on the Web as a whole is still
significant, the effect on individual sites or even particular stories is a
lot less than it used to be.

Slashdot's growth is still healthy, but it, too, faces a more crowded online
news world, with competition from look-alikes such as Geek.com and Gizmodo
as well as blogs kept by individuals, such as Sun Microsystems' (SUNW )
President Jonathan Schwartz. Slashdot says its traffic multiplied six to
seven times in four years, but Internet traffic has more than kept pace,
doubling every year. And scores of blogs have seen even more dramatic
growth. "In aggregate, they might be taking away some of the visits," says
Tancer.

Is a link on Slashdot still worthy of a cartwheel? If you're a small site,
probably so. Eric Perlman, a graduate computer science student at the Johns
Hopkins University in Baltimore who hosts several friends' Web sites on his
server for free, was overwhelmed on Feb. 24, when Slashdot linked to one of
them: His traffic suddenly spiked from 1,000 to 100,000 visitors per day.
But for the major tech news sites, Slashdot is looking more and more like a
big fish in a huge and growing pond.


Kharif is a reporter for BusinessWeek Online in Portland, Ore. 



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