http://www.paulgraham.com/submarine.html

April 2005

"Suits make a corporate comeback," says the New York Times. Why does this
sound familiar? Maybe because the suit was also back in February, September
2004, June 2004, March 2004, September 2003, November 2002, April 2002, and
February 2002.

Why do the media keep running stories saying suits are back? Because PR
firms tell them to. One of the most surprising things I discovered during my
brief business career was the existence of the PR industry, lurking like a
huge, quiet submarine beneath the news. Of the stories you read in
traditional media that aren't about politics, crimes, or disasters, more
than half probably come from PR firms.

I know because I spent years hunting such "press hits." Our startup spent
its entire marketing budget on PR: at a time when we were assembling our own
computers to save money, we were paying a PR firm $16,000 a month. And they
were worth it. PR is the news equivalent of search engine optimization;
instead of buying ads, which readers ignore, you get yourself inserted
directly into the stories. [1]

Our PR firm was one of the best in the business. In 18 months, they got
press hits in over 60 different publications. And we weren't the only ones
they did great things for. In 1997 I got a call from another startup founder
considering hiring them to promote his company. I told him they were PR
gods, worth every penny of their outrageous fees. But I remember thinking
his company's name was odd. Why call an auction site "eBay?"

Symbiosis

PR is not dishonest. Not quite. In fact, the reason the best PR firms are so
effective is precisely that they aren't dishonest. They give reporters
genuinely valuable information. A good PR firm won't bug reporters just
because the client tells them to; they've worked hard to build their
credibility with reporters, and they don't want to destroy it by feeding
them mere propaganda.

If anyone is dishonest, it's the reporters. The main reason PR firms exist
is that reporters are lazy. Or, to put it more nicely, overworked. Really
they ought to be out there digging up stories for themselves. But it's so
tempting to sit in their offices and let PR firms bring the stories to them.
After all, they know good PR firms won't lie to them.

A good flatterer doesn't lie, but tells his victim selective truths (what a
nice color your eyes are). Good PR firms use the same strategy: they give
reporters stories that are true, but whose truth favors their clients.

For example, our PR firm often pitched stories about how the Web let small
merchants compete with big ones. This was perfectly true. But the reason
reporters ended up writing stories about this particular truth, rather than
some other one, was that small merchants were our target market, and we were
paying the piper.

Different publications vary greatly in their reliance on PR firms. At the
bottom of the heap are the trade press, who make most of their money from
advertising and would give the magazines away for free if advertisers would
let them. [2] The average trade publication is a bunch of ads, glued
together by just enough articles to make it look like a magazine. They're so
desperate for "content" that some will print your press releases almost
verbatim, if you take the trouble to write them to read like articles.

At the other extreme are publications like the New York Times and the Wall
Street Journal. Their reporters do go out and find their own stories, at
least some of the time. They'll listen to PR firms, but briefly and
skeptically. We managed to get press hits in almost every publication we
wanted, but we never managed to crack the print edition of the Times. [3]

The weak point of the top reporters is not laziness, but vanity. You don't
pitch stories to them. You have to approach them as if you were a specimen
under their all-seeing microscope, and make it seem as if the story you want
them to run is something they thought of themselves.

Our greatest PR coup was a two-part one. We estimated, based on some fairly
informal math, that there were about 5000 stores on the Web. We got one
paper to print this number, which seemed neutral enough. But once this
"fact" was out there in print, we could quote it to other publications, and
claim that with 1000 users we had 20% of the online store market.

This was roughly true. We really did have the biggest share of the online
store market, and 5000 was our best guess at its size. But the way the story
appeared in the press sounded a lot more definite.

Reporters like definitive statements. For example, many of the stories about
Jeremy Jaynes's conviction say that he was one of the 10 worst spammers.
This "fact" originated in Spamhaus's ROKSO list, which I think even Spamhaus
would admit is a rough guess at the top spammers. The first stories about
Jaynes cited this source, but now it's simply repeated as if it were part of
the indictment. [4]

All you can say with certainty about Jaynes is that he was a fairly big
spammer. But reporters don't want to print vague stuff like "fairly big."
They want statements with punch, like "top ten." And PR firms give them what
they want. Wearing suits, we're told, will make us 3.6 percent more
productive.

Buzz

Where the work of PR firms really does get deliberately misleading is in the
generation of "buzz." They usually feed the same story to several different
publications at once. And when readers see similar stories in multiple
places, they think there is some important trend afoot. Which is exactly
what they're supposed to think.

When Windows 95 was launched, people waited outside stores at midnight to
buy the first copies. None of them would have been there without PR firms,
who generated such a buzz in the news media that it became self-reinforcing,
like a nuclear chain reaction.

I doubt PR firms realize it yet, but the Web makes it possible to track them
at work. If you search for the obvious phrases, you turn up several efforts
over the years to place stories about the return of the suit. For example,
the Reuters article that got picked up by USA Today in September 2004. "The
suit is back," it begins.

Trend articles like this are almost always the work of PR firms. Once you
know how to read them, it's straightforward to figure out who the client is.
With trend stories, PR firms usually line up one or more "experts" to talk
about the industry generally. In this case we get three: the NPD Group, the
creative director of GQ, and a research director at Smith Barney. [5] When
you get to the end of the experts, look for the client. And bingo, there it
is: The Men's Wearhouse.

Not surprising, considering The Men's Wearhouse was at that moment running
ads saying "The Suit is Back." Talk about a successful press hit-- a wire
service article whose first sentence is your own ad copy.

The secret to finding other press hits from a given pitch is to realize that
they all started from the same document back at the PR firm. Search for a
few key phrases and the names of the clients and the experts, and you'll
turn up other variants of this story.

Casual fridays are out and dress codes are in writes Diane E. Lewis in The
Boston Globe. In a remarkable coincidence, Ms. Lewis's industry contacts
also include the creative director of GQ.

Ripped jeans and T-shirts are out, writes Mary Kathleen Flynn in US News &
World Report. And she too knows the creative director of GQ.

Men's suits are back writes Nicole Ford in Sexbuzz.Com ("the ultimate men's
entertainment magazine").

Dressing down loses appeal as men suit up at the office writes Tenisha
Mercer of The Detroit News.

Now that so many news articles are online, I suspect you could find a
similar pattern for most trend stories placed by PR firms. I propose we call
this new sport "PR diving," and I'm sure there are far more striking
examples out there than this clump of five stories.

Online

After spending years chasing them, it's now second nature to me to recognize
press hits for what they are. But before we hired a PR firm I had no idea
where articles in the mainstream media came from. I could tell a lot of them
were crap, but I didn't realize why.

Remember the exercises in critical reading you did in school, where you had
to look at a piece of writing and step back and ask whether the author was
telling the whole truth? If you really want to be a critical reader, it
turns out you have to step back one step further, and ask not just whether
the author is telling the truth, but why he's writing about this subject at
all.

Online, the answer tends to be a lot simpler. Most people who publish online
write what they write for the simple reason that they want to. You can't see
the fingerprints of PR firms all over the articles, as you can in so many
print publications-- which is one of the reasons, though they may not
consciously realize it, that readers trust bloggers more than Business Week.

I was talking recently to a friend who works for a big newspaper. He thought
the print media were in serious trouble, and that they were still mostly in
denial about it. "They think the decline is cyclic," he said. "Actually it's
structural."

In other words, the readers are leaving, and they're not coming back.

Why? I think the main reason is that the writing online is more honest.
Imagine how incongruous the New York Times article about suits would sound
if you read it in a blog:

    The urge to look corporate-- sleek, commanding, prudent, yet with just a
touch of hubris on your well-cut sleeve-- is an unexpected development in a
time of business disgrace.

The problem with this article is not just that it originated in a PR firm.
The whole tone is bogus. This is the tone of someone writing down to their
audience.

Whatever its flaws, the writing you find online is authentic. It's not
mystery meat cooked up out of scraps of pitch letters and press releases,
and pressed into molds of zippy journalese. It's people writing what they
think.

I didn't realize, till there was an alternative, just how artificial most of
the writing in the mainstream media was. I'm not saying I used to believe
what I read in Time and Newsweek. Since high school, at least, I've thought
of magazines like that more as guides to what ordinary people were being
told to think than as sources of information. But I didn't realize till the
last few years that writing for publication didn't have to mean writing that
way. I didn't realize you could write as candidly and informally as you
would if you were writing to a friend.

Readers aren't the only ones who've noticed the change. The PR industry has
too. A hilarious article on the site of the PR Society of America gets to
the heart of the matter:

    Bloggers are sensitive about becoming mouthpieces for other
organizations and companies, which is the reason they began blogging in the
first place. 

PR people fear bloggers for the same reason readers like them. And that
means there may be a struggle ahead. As this new kind of writing draws
readers away from traditional media, we should be prepared for whatever PR
mutates into to compensate. When I think how hard PR firms work to score
press hits in the traditional media, I can't imagine they'll work any less
hard to feed stories to bloggers, if they can figure out how.



Notes

[1] PR has at least one beneficial feature: it favors small companies. If PR
didn't work, the only alternative would be to advertise, and only big
companies can afford that.

[2] Advertisers pay less for ads in free publications, because they assume
readers ignore something they get for free. This is why so many trade
publications nominally have a cover price and yet give away free
subscriptions with such abandon.

[3] Different sections of the Times vary so much in their standards that
they're practically different papers. Whoever fed the style section reporter
this story about suits coming back would have been sent packing by the
regular news reporters.

[4] The most striking example I know of this type is the "fact" that the
Internet worm of 1988 infected 6000 computers. I was there when it was
cooked up, and this was the recipe: someone guessed that there were about
60,000 computers attached to the Internet, and that the worm might have
infected ten percent of them.

Actually no one knows how many computers the worm infected, because the
remedy was to reboot them, and this destroyed all traces. But people like
numbers. And so this one is now replicated all over the Internet, like a
little worm of its own.

[5] Not all were necessarily supplied by the PR firm. Reporters sometimes
call a few additional sources on their own, like someone adding a few fresh
vegetables to a can of soup.

Thanks to Ingrid Basset, Trevor Blackwell, Sarah Harlin, Jessica Livingston,
Jackie McDonough, Robert Morris, and Aaron Swartz (who also found the PRSA
article) for reading drafts of this.

Correction: Earlier versions used a recent Business Week article mentioning
del.icio.us as an example of a press hit, but Joshua Schachter tells me it
was spontaneous.



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