http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2009/965/eg1.htm

17 - 23 September 2009
Issue No. 965
Egypt Published in Cairo by AL-AHRAM established in 1875

Light at the end of the year

Egyptian mediation between Palestinians and Israelis on the one hand and 
Palestinians and Palestinians on the other is making little progress, but hope 
lies ahead, Dina Ezzat reports 

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This morning, Thursday 17 September, President Hosni Mubarak is expected to 
meet George Mitchell, the US Middle East envoy for the Middle East. During 
their talks at the Heliopolis presidential headquarters, Mitchell is expected 
to brief Mubarak on the outcome of his talks with Palestinians and Israelis to 
set the ground for the re-launching of Palestinian-Israeli peace talks that are 
expected to be called for during US President Barack Obama's address before the 
UN on 24 September. 

Mitchell, sources say, is making decent progress in trying to persuade the 
Israelis to agree to a comprehensive -- rather than full -- halt of the 
construction of illegal settlements in occupied Palestinian territories. 

Mubarak is expected to share with his US guest the outcome of Egyptian 
mediation between Hamas, in control of Gaza since the summer of 2007, and 
Fatah, isolated in Ramallah for the past two years. Egyptian mediation to 
promote Palestinian reconciliation is "developing", as one source close to the 
negotiations for reconciliation, said. Mubarak will also inform Mitchell about 
the outcome of Egyptian-Palestinian consultations on the chances of a prompt 
resumption of peace talks. 

One diplomatic source told Al-Ahram Weekly that Egypt is still expecting 
Mitchell to deliver a declared Israeli commitment to check the Israeli 
construction of illegal settlements in the West Bank, even on a gradual basis. 
The same source added that Egypt was of the view that Palestinian President 
Mahmoud Abbas, the leader of Fatah, cannot accept much longer the current 
standstill. "We are of the view that Abbas should agree to the meeting that 
Obama wishes to arrange for him and [Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin] Netanyahu 
on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly," the Egyptian diplomat said. He 
added that during his talks with Netanyahu in Cairo on Sunday, President 
Mubarak advised the Israeli prime minister to "make use of the historic 
opportunity that President Obama is offering and move ahead towards making 
peace so that the region can get over the file of conflict and start a new 
phase of cooperation."

And according to the same source, the Mubarak-Netanyahu talks this week offered 
a sense of openness towards the serious possibility of resuming talks between 
Palestinians and Israelis before the end of this year. "I think we are talking 
about some elementary meetings -- pre-negotiation talks -- that Egypt might 
host and then a peace conference to re-launch the peace process in Washington 
in November, to be followed by a conference under the auspices of the Union for 
the Mediterranean, to launch considerable Arab-Israeli cooperation moves before 
Christmas this year," the source added.

A communiqué issued by the office of official presidential spokesman Suleiman 
Awwad said that Mubarak pressed Netanyahu into refraining from all moves, 
especially the aggressive settlement scheme, that could block the way to the 
resumption of peace talks.

Egypt is telling Palestinians -- the Abbas-chaired Palestinian Authority and 
Hamas -- that they need to cope with the current international diplomatic 
momentum by forging a reconciliation pact. "We are increasingly hearing calls 
and suggestions to start Palestinian-Israeli talks in order for an agreement to 
be reached on the West Bank, excluding Gaza. This is very serious and it would 
harm the already endangered Palestinian interests," said an Egyptian diplomat 
in Washington who asked that his name be withheld. He added that Egypt was 
increasingly calling on all parties concerned to abandon the scheme, as it 
would aggravate already shaky Palestinian relations and consequently endanger 
any possible peace deal that could be concluded.

An Arab foreign ministers meeting scheduled to convene in New York on Tuesday 
22 September would offer an opportunity for a collective Arab stance to be 
adopted ahead of the Obama speech.

Meanwhile, Egypt is "pressuring" Hamas and Fatah to move ahead in making 
"positive" responses to a proposed reconciliation deal that Egyptian 
negotiators say "accommodates the points of view of each side."

"We are hoping to get them to meet and to agree on a process of gradual 
reconciliation. The deal that should be signed in Cairo on the third week of 
October should be comprehensive but its application should be gradual and would 
take up to a year or a little less and would be observed by Egypt," the 
negotiator said.

Moreover, Egypt, in cooperation with Germany, is trying to fast- track the 
completion of a prisoner swap deal that would allow for the release of Israeli 
soldier Gilad Shalit -- Israel hopes by later this month -- in return for a few 
hundred Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails. "We believe that this would 
help everyone. It would please the Netanyahu government and make it willing to 
move positively towards imposing a moratorium on settlement construction; it 
would please Hamas whose prisoners would be released, and it would also please 
Abbas whose position would be strengthened," the Egyptian diplomat stressed. 
He, however, refrained from speculating on a potential date for the deal to be 
struck. "Things are moving in the right direction but there are no guarantees 
that they will keep moving in this direction." This, he said, applies to the 
prisoner swap deal as much as to Palestinian reconciliation and the potential 
resumption of Palestinian-Israeli peace talks. "It should all be happening 
before this year comes to an end but it could all fall apart if Israel keeps on 
exercising its intransigence without any firm US pressure," he added.


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